WildWisconsinWeather Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 If the winter trends other than one storm hold true it will end up a subtle 999 mb over chicago We've had one storm this year track near Chicago, wouldn't mind that outcome, but hasn't happened that often lately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 Isn't that what happened a lot last winter as well? Haha, I actually think if the first wave trends north and stronger, it would help suppress this second storm a bit as stronger storms tend to dig troughs a bit more directly after.North stronger? What does that mean? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 North stronger? What does that mean? I know, slim chance of it happening, that's what Money and I probably need, otherwise we may miss this first wave south and the second wave passes to the north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 I know, slim chance of it happening, that's what Money and I probably need, otherwise we may miss this first wave south and the second wave passes to the north.At this point in the winter I just want to track a wound up winter storm. To be honest I dont even care if it pounds on minneapolis or madison. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 If the Canadian verifies, Nebraska gets a good hit from wave #3 from Tuesday night to Wednesday. I am sure there will many changes coming in the next few days so nothing is set in stone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 Tom, how did the 0z euro ensembles look? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 If the Canadian verifies, Nebraska gets a good hit from wave #3 from Tuesday night to Wednesday. I am sure there will many changes coming in the next few days so nothing is set in stone.Models will struggle with these waves inside of 48 hours just not enough energy spits out at once to really latch onto a solution Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 GGEM. Yes please. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 GGEM Total for 2 waves: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015022612/gem_asnow_us_31.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015022612/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_22.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015022612/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_23.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 GGEM has been pretty consistent with it's track and strength, hopefully it's on to something Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 Euro's gonna go big. 992 in E. CO already at HR 120. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 990.8 in S/C MI at HR 144 Interested to see the snow maps. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 This one's going north, will this finally be MSP's storm? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 How did the Euro look for Lincoln? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 Wow way north this run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 12z Euro...combining 1st wave and second wave... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 How did the Euro look for Lincoln? not well, .21 from first wave (all snow) then .24 from 2nd (mostly rain) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 Doesn't look like much! On to the next. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 not well, .21 from first wave (all snow) then .24 from 2nd (mostly rain)ugly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 I'd say give it until tomorrow and then models will have a better grip on what to forecast down the road. FWIW; Possibly another storm by end of next week. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 Have to watch for the potential of frozen surfaces in areas that get rain. It's been so cold this month with no warmup in sight beforehand that even 33-34 2m temps could cause a lot of problems. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 Have to watch for the potential of frozen surfaces in areas that get rain. It's been so cold this month with no warmup in sight beforehand that even 33-34 2m temps could cause a lot of problems. Ya someplace is gonna get at least front end ZR. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 Would be a pretty big coup if the GGEM and the UKIE take down the GFS/EURO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 The model trend is disappointing. Instead of big snow, it's little snow followed by rain. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 I cant stand rain in the winter. Hoping for better trends in the coming days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 I cant stand rain in the winter. Hoping for better trends in the coming days. I'd rather get a dumping of snow, but next week will be meteorological spring so we have to start expecting more rain. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 Pretty darn close to a sure bet there's No Major Snowstorm this weekend early next week. It was fun while it lasted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 18z NAM...Euro Ensembles are slow to load today... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 I cant stand rain in the winter. Hoping for better trends in the coming days.Except it'll be spring by then. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 Kansas City AFD says 4-8" of snow from the first wave in last night's overnight discussion. They look to be doing pretty good, even if it will all melt right away with the next wave of precip Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IAWXFan1 Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 Except it'll be spring by then. Weather doesn't read calendars luckily. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 So far 12z Euro Ensembles following the southern trend for the first wave. Hitting KC/N MO/C IL/C IN/N OH the hardest...1-3" in N IL/S IA/S MI... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 Way to much spread on the 12z Euro Ensembles...lots of wound up storms cutting near Chicago and points SE, tons of sheared waves, some with no system at all. Not enough consistency yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 26, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 18z GFS...first wave... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 Local WFO calling for 1-2" here this weekend. Definitely a big disappointment from the high totals that were showing up for quite a while on most of the models earlier last weekend and beginning of this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 Thing is getting weaker every run. Gary Lezak going 1-4" here which is a good bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 My local weatherman just said that SEMI will receive 3-6 inches with Sundays storm. I'll sign up for that! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trinomial Posted February 26, 2015 Report Share Posted February 26, 2015 18z GFS has a little more qpf for N IL than the 12z. Not that it's a lot, but I'm curious to see the 00z runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted February 27, 2015 Report Share Posted February 27, 2015 2.1" final call for the first wave. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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