Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 8 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: This winter hasn’t been a torch at all. December finished -2.1 here and we’re only +0.3 for January right now. Not to mention one of the best winter events in the 21st century last month. With the inversion pattern likely dominating the rest of the month we can definitely pull off our coldest January since 2017…not saying much though since they’ve all torched in recent years. Jan 2017 was a genuinely cold January when stacked historically, which is pretty remarkable for modern day Jan climo. It's nice to be approaching the coldest one since then, even if the years proceeding have been torchy. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Jan 2017 was a genuinely cold January when stacked historically, which is pretty remarkable for modern day Jan climo. It's nice to be approaching the coldest one since then, even if the years proceeding have been torchy. I still think we end up +1-1.5 above normal this month but that would still be cooler than the last 4. As for February…it’s definitely reminding me of the lead up to 2019 I just can’t see something close to the longevity of that happening again... considering we just had an event with decent staying power just a couple weeks ago. Something like February 2017 or 2018 or maybe even 2006 seems likely to me. Several days in the low-mid 30s with 1 maybe 2 snow chances. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: I still think we end up +1-1.5 above normal this month but that would still be cooler than the last 4. As for February…it’s definitely reminding me of the lead up to 2019 I just can’t see something close to the longevity of that happening again... considering we just had an event with decent staying power just a couple weeks ago. Something like February 2017 or 2018 or maybe even 2006 seems likely to me. Several days in the low-mid 30s with 1 maybe 2 snow chances. If we get a day or two below freezing with snow on the ground, this winter gets an A, minimum. 4 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Back to the current weather it’s a very boring 47 with drizzle. 0.03” so far today. Wake me up when it’s February. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 This winter is currently at a B+ for me. Has slipped a bit due to the typical January doldrums. If we get a lovely few day event we will be back in the A- category, if we get a week long extravaganza then that will upgrade to an A! If we have a February/March 2019 redux then we are looking at A+ territory! However if we just continue with this crapfest January like weather into the spring then I will go as low as a B. 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 by tomorrow night we need to be here 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 @MossMandont know how you managed to get it so blurry. But you posted this on Jan 20, 2019 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 This winter was a B+ two weeks ago, now its probably in the C range, but given the event in December, the absolute floor is probably a C-. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: by tomorrow night we need to be here I get the feeling we will be. I mean we are already close as is 3 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Really good 12z CFS run. 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 8 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: I get the feeling we will be. I mean we are already close as is If the ensemble noise keeps up this might start showing up on the OP euro this weekend. 3 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: If the ensemble noise keeps up this might start showing up on the OP euro this weekend. Agreed. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 13 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: @MossMandont know how you managed to get it so blurry. But you posted this on Jan 20, 2019 That used to be my trademark so everyone started calling it the daily fuzz! It was caused by terrible satellite internet and an older phone in which images that I would screenshot would already be a bit blurry and then it would get worse when I would zoom and crop! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, MossMan said: That used to be my trademark so everyone started calling it the daily fuzz! It was caused by terrible satellite internet and an older phone in which images that I would screenshot would already be a bit blurry and then it would get worse when I would zoom and crop! the pna was dropping so fast your screen fogged up from the cold... 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Hey.... you. Yeah, you. I just want to wish you a good day! It's Tuesday! Mid-week is tomorrow! You got this! You da' man! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, RentonHillTC said: That is uncanny, my god 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: That is uncanny, my god I knew once the east coast got their "snow", the downward trend would start back up for us again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, JBolin said: I knew once the east coast got their "snow", the downward trend would start back up for us again. It really does have a feeling of destiny. Much different than the 13-15 ridgy period up this way. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 38 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: @MossMandont know how you managed to get it so blurry. But you posted this on Jan 20, 2019 Cause he took it on a android Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: It really does have a feeling of destiny. Much different than the 13-15 ridgy period up this way. I need to know if Matt is fully on board. He called the late December cold and snow WAAAAAY in advance and pretty much nailed it. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 13 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Hey.... you. Yeah, you. I just want to wish you a good day! It's Tuesday! Mid-week is tomorrow! You got this! You da' man! 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I need to know if Matt is fully on board. He called the late December cold and snow WAAAAAY in advance and pretty much nailed it. 2 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 20 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Humble beginnings. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 37 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Hey.... you. Yeah, you. I just want to wish you a good day! It's Tuesday! Mid-week is tomorrow! You got this! You da' man! 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 35 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Are you saying you didn't call the late December fun way in advance or that its not coming again in February? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, TT-SEA said: Are you saying you didn't call the late December fun way in advance or that its not coming again in February? I don’t think February is gonna have much to offer. It’ll probably outperform January for most people, but that isn’t saying much at this point. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Looks like cold trough is coming in 18z operational GFS, would be nice to see but ensembles are really all that matter at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Looks like cold trough is coming in 18z operational GFS, would be nice to see but ensembles are really all that matter at this point. I like where this is going 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 17 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: I like where this is going Heres days 10-16 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 18, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 hour ago, NWbyNW said: Hey.... you. Yeah, you. I just want to wish you a good day! It's Tuesday! Mid-week is tomorrow! You got this! You da' man! Bruh, tomorrow is my Monday. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Rome wasn't built in day. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Matt says no which makes me EXTREMELY nervous. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: I need to know if Matt is fully on board. He called the late December cold and snow WAAAAAY in advance and pretty much nailed it. models hinted early Feb for the last couple weeks for the cold revisit so 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 19, 2022 Report Share Posted January 19, 2022 The elf foot pattern is a classic snow producer for PNW. Time to lock it in? 3 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 19, 2022 Report Share Posted January 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: The elf foot pattern is a classic snow producer for PNW. Time to lock it in? lets see those anal logs 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 19, 2022 Report Share Posted January 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: lets see those anal logs 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 19, 2022 Report Share Posted January 19, 2022 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 19, 2022 Report Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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