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May Weather in the Pacific Northwest

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#3601
El Nina

Posted 31 May 2018 - 02:49 PM

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Its been WAAAAAAAAAY warmer in the past.

This area used to be tropical when the dinosaurs roamed the Earth.

It's also been WAAAAAAAAAY cooler in the past, too.
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#3602
TT-SEA

Posted 31 May 2018 - 02:53 PM

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It's also been WAAAAAAAAAY cooler in the past, too.


Yes... it has.

#3603
Phil

Posted 31 May 2018 - 02:57 PM

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Its been WAAAAAAAAAY warmer in the past.

This area used to be tropical when the dinosaurs roamed the Earth.


Ironically, today’s temperatures are right around the Holocene average, despite all the bellyaching. The LIA was the coldest period (globally) since the 8200kr cooling event, and across northwest North America specifically, it was the coldest period since the end of the last ice age.

The MWP (similar to today) is often used as a neoglacial benchmark, but in truth it was still cooler than the majority of the period from to 8000-2000yrs ago.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#3604
Phil

Posted 31 May 2018 - 02:59 PM

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I’m sure it will be cooler than that. I bet the majority of days will be cooler than average across the region over the next 3 weeks. Whether SEA/PDX end up cooler than average overall might depend on smaller scale factors.


And the models don’t look warm/dry at all.

Jesse is just having a psychotic break.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#3605
Deweydog

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:06 PM

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They didn’t need many after the first few years of the 2010s!


The first few years of the 2020's are coming right up!

#philhasNOTmincedwordsaboutthatninagasm

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#3606
High Desert Mat!

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:13 PM

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Look at Redmonds forecast for the next ten days. If that doesn't say ridgy and dry I don't know what does. Quite a few days with temps almost 20 degrees north of average. Jesse is right.

#3607
Phil

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:21 PM

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#WarmAndRidgy

GEFS D1-5/D5-10.

o4qYyc4.png
SARL70X.png
oRcCmRe.png
JdjuSaV.png

EPS D1-5/D5-10/D10-15. Warm-up days 5-8, sandwiched in between rounds of troughing:

4HRXfs3.png
GIAST5F.png
28Vsrgi.png
  • Geos likes this
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#3608
Phil

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:22 PM

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Whatever, you guys can believe whatever the hell you want to believe. I’m not wasting any more time trying to convey the obvious.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#3609
Geos

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:23 PM

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Pleasant afternoon.

 

Had some random sprinkles earlier... partly sunny now with the rain way to the south on the radar.  

 

Clouds here thinned out so the sun can be seen, but just not very bright at the moment. 

 

Looks to be a fair share of troughs are going to impact the region in the next 2 weeks. 


Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 24.41", 08/04

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 3/23

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#3610
El Nina

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:24 PM

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#WarmAndRidgy

GEFS D1-5/D5-10.

o4qYyc4.png
SARL70X.png
oRcCmRe.png
JdjuSaV.png

EPS D1-5/D5-10/D10-15. Warm-up days 5-8, sandwiched in between rounds of troughing:

4HRXfs3.png
GIAST5F.png
28Vsrgi.png

Redmond has above normal heights in all those except D1-5. But here it looks a bit on the troughy side.

#3611
TT-SEA

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:25 PM

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Look at Redmonds forecast for the next ten days. If that doesn't say ridgy and dry I don't know what does. Quite a few days with temps almost 20 degrees north of average. Jesse is right.

 

No one is right about the first half of June at this point... it has not happened yet.

 

Phil said troughing would return in a big way during the last week of May and he was spot on.... no way to argue that when looking at the 500mb map right now.

 

gfs_z500a_namer_2.png



#3612
Jesse

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:31 PM

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And the models don’t look warm/dry at all.

Jesse is just having a psychotic break.


You are being unnecessarily rude. I would like to think you could disagree with my interpretation of the models the next few weeks without making a jab at my mental health. I expect that stuff from Matt but not you.

#3613
TT-SEA

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:33 PM

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Now the 18Z GFS was a ridgy and warm run... way more than the 12Z run.  



#3614
Jesse

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:34 PM

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Now the 18Z GFS was a ridgy and warm run... way more than the 12Z run.


Knock me over with a feather.

#3615
Phil

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:34 PM

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OT, I just recorded a truly insane downpour, one of the craziest I’ve ever seen.

Dumped 2.25” of rain in 15mins, about 1.8” in 10mins. The 5min rainfall rate approached a foot/hr, and the absolute maximum was almost 20”/hr.

45cs15e.jpg
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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#3616
Geos

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:38 PM

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Cool shot of the rain shafts coming across the Sound - view from Alki.

 

current.jpg


  • Jesse, Mapsyscon, VancouverIslandSouth and 1 other like this

Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 24.41", 08/04

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 3/23

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#3617
Deweydog

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:39 PM

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You are being unnecessarily rude. I would like to think you could disagree with my interpretation of the models the next few weeks without making a jab at my mental health. I expect that stuff from Matt but not you.


You have questioned Tim's on numerous occasions, Mr. McPerfectpants.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#3618
Jesse

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:39 PM

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Cool shot of the rain shafts coming across the Sound - view from Alki.

current.jpg


You have got to be one of the most consistently level headed and positive posters here. Kudos.
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#3619
El Nina

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:40 PM

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Now the 18Z GFS was a ridgy and warm run... way more than the 12Z run.

If I were you I'd always be so happy in the weather department. Couldn't imagine what it's like to look at the models and always see them trend your way.
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#3620
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:40 PM

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Raining in Springfield!! Good quick burst but not enough to soak the pavement.

Monmouth, Oregon Winter 17-18 Stats:

 

Coldest high: 34 (Dec 24)

Coldest low: 22 (Dec 11 & Feb 23)

Total snowfall: 1"

Last snowfall: February 21-22, 2018

Last accumulating snowfall on roads: March 6, 2017

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)

Last White Christmas: 2008

 

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#3621
Phil

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:41 PM

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You are being unnecessarily rude. I would like to think you could disagree with my interpretation of the models the next few weeks without making a jab at my mental health. I expect that stuff from Matt but not you.


Tbh, I sort of went time traveling last night, and I’m not all the way back yet. I’m sorry if I’m being a bigger d**k than I realize.
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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#3622
Jesse

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:41 PM

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You have questioned Tim's on numerous occasions, Mr. McPerfectpants.


And he mine.

#3623
Deweydog

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:42 PM

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And he mine.


Yup. Don't be such a victim. We're all a bunch of ****** nozzles.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#3624
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:43 PM

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Tbh, I sort of went time traveling last night, and I’m not all the way back yet. I’m sorry if I’m being a bigger d**k than I realize.


Did you time travel to the first blizzard warning in Willamette Valley history?

Monmouth, Oregon Winter 17-18 Stats:

 

Coldest high: 34 (Dec 24)

Coldest low: 22 (Dec 11 & Feb 23)

Total snowfall: 1"

Last snowfall: February 21-22, 2018

Last accumulating snowfall on roads: March 6, 2017

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)

Last White Christmas: 2008

 

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#3625
El Nina

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:43 PM

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Tbh, I sort of went time traveling last night, and I’m not all the way back yet. I’m sorry if I’m being a bigger d**k than I realize.

Time traveling?

#3626
Jesse

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:44 PM

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Yup. Don't be such a victim. We're all a bunch of ****** nozzles.


Was talking to Phil. He is overreacting to my interpretation of the models being different than his.

#3627
Jesse

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:46 PM

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If I were you I'd always be so happy in the weather department. Couldn't imagine what it's like to look at the models and always see them trend your way.


Seriously...

#3628
Deweydog

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:47 PM

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Was talking to Phil. He is overreacting to my interpretation of the models being different than his.


You are twisting it up to be bigger than it is, though. We should all know by now Phil is a broad stroke guy. He does a great job with major features, which is about the best you can expect weeks in advance.
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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#3629
Phil

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:48 PM

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Wow, so apparently 1.02” of that rain fell in just 3mins.

I’ll have to upload the video here. I knew it was coming down harder than usual, but I never realized it was that heavy.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#3630
Deweydog

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:50 PM

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Wow, apparently 1.02” of that rain fell in just 3mins.

I’ll have to upload the video here. I knew it was coming down harder than usual, but I never realized it was thatheavy.


That's more rain than we've seen all DAY!
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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#3631
Jesse

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:53 PM

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You are twisting it up to be bigger than it is, though. We should all know by now Phil is a broad stroke guy. He does a great job with major features, which is about the best you can expect weeks in advance.


No, I think you are.

#3632
Deweydog

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:54 PM

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No, I think you are.


Shocker.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#3633
Geos

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:54 PM

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Wow, so apparently 1.02” of that rain fell in just 3mins.

I’ll have to upload the video here. I knew it was coming down harder than usual, but I never realized it was that heavy.

 

That's crazy. Don't know if I've experienced rain rates quite that high in the Midwest. Nice 70 degree dew points there!


  • Phil likes this

Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 24.41", 08/04

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 3/23

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#3634
TT-SEA

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:56 PM

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Still winter in the swamps of Puyallap... it never ends!   

 

167vc00700.jpg



#3635
Deweydog

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:57 PM

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Pretty dark clouds to the west!

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#3636
TT-SEA

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:58 PM

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If I were you I'd always be so happy in the weather department. Couldn't imagine what it's like to look at the models and always see them trend your way.

 

First of all... the 18Z run will not verify.   

 

And it seems like things rarely break my way most of the year.   :lol:



#3637
El Nina

Posted 31 May 2018 - 03:58 PM

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Pretty dark clouds to the west!


Ground your drone!

#3638
El Nina

Posted 31 May 2018 - 04:00 PM

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First of all... the 18Z run will not verify.   
 
And it seems like things rarely break my way most of the year.   :lol:

Lol. Good one

#3639
Deweydog

Posted 31 May 2018 - 04:02 PM

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It's gonna happen!!!

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#3640
TT-SEA

Posted 31 May 2018 - 04:02 PM

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Lol. Good one

 

Its true.

 

January - April of this year was more persistently wet here than any other year this decade.    We were due some dry weather here in May and it came as expected.   About time something worked out for me!  



#3641
Phil

Posted 31 May 2018 - 04:06 PM

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That's crazy. Don't know if I've experienced rain rates quite that high in the Midwest.


These tropical systems can do crazy s**t. A similar airmass in 1956 dumped 1.23” of rain in just 1 minute in Unionville, MD.

So this wasn’t even remotely close to that. Sort of funny, since I was talking about that record just yesterday, IIRC.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#3642
Geos

Posted 31 May 2018 - 04:06 PM

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Started the June thread ahead of tonight.


Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 24.41", 08/04

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 3/23

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#3643
El Nina

Posted 31 May 2018 - 04:12 PM

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Its true.
 
January - April of this year was more persistently wet here than any other year this decade.    We were due some dry weather here in May and it came as expected.   About time something worked out for me!

That's true.You're right.

#3644
Jesse

Posted 31 May 2018 - 04:24 PM

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Sky looks cool.

#3645
Jesse

Posted 31 May 2018 - 04:32 PM

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65/51 at PDX today.

Looks like 1992 keeps the title for record warm May there. We came d**n close though.

#3646
TT-SEA

Posted 31 May 2018 - 04:34 PM

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65/51 at PDX today.

Looks like 1992 keeps the title for record warm May there. We came d**n close though.


Global cooling. We can no longer keep up with the 1990s.

#3647
Jesse

Posted 31 May 2018 - 04:39 PM

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Raining and sticking.
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#3648
MossMan

Posted 31 May 2018 - 04:54 PM

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Nice day!!

#3649
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 31 May 2018 - 04:57 PM

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Its true.

January - April of this year was more persistently wet here than any other year this decade. We were due some dry weather here in May and it came as expected.


Not in Oregon! You could always move here.
  • Jesse likes this

Monmouth, Oregon Winter 17-18 Stats:

 

Coldest high: 34 (Dec 24)

Coldest low: 22 (Dec 11 & Feb 23)

Total snowfall: 1"

Last snowfall: February 21-22, 2018

Last accumulating snowfall on roads: March 6, 2017

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)

Last White Christmas: 2008

 

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#3650
MossMan

Posted 31 May 2018 - 04:58 PM

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Carl Spackler must have moved to Richland.
http://komonews.com/...sh-neighborhood
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