centralweather44 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 I'll take 2-4" any day. We have to be real. We don't get 8-12" in southeast Nebraska very often. Our typical snows are 2-6". 2-4" still puts all my plows on the ground Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 I have a question. What is the difference between the 12k NAM and the 4k NAM? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Resolution (I'll update previous map to hour 60 when its out) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowa2015 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 If only it could shift 75 miles east. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 I'd bet 75 miles west Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowa2015 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 I'd bet 75 miles westmost likely or North Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 00z GFS... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educatorjen Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 00z GFS...Screaming silently!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015112900/gfs_asnow_us_10.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Towel thrown in. I went from close to a foot to now it basically jumps over me. Frustrating. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowa2015 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Strip of central Nebraska small strip of nw Iowa Minnesota get hammered Rest area not so much Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Boy, this is just headed way to far north...no blocking HP to the north and these cut-off systems can do some funny things. It's turning out to be a MSP special. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 If GFS was colder I'd be in a good spot. Looking more like a cold rain here, or maybe freezing rain with a bit of snow mixed in. Gross. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015112900/gfs_asnow_us_10.pngLooks like 6-12" from Kearney northeast to Norfolk. I'm thinking that line shifts another 3 or 4 times before its all said and done. Pretty wide spread on the models. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Soon Canadian will be available Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 I am cheering for the Canadian. Pour me a molson please. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Low is southeast of KC at hour 42 on Canadian then south central Iowa at 48 and North Central at 54 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 00z GGEM...looking better for E NE... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 00z RGEM...not to shabby in NE...still snowing thru HR 48... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2015112900/rgem_asnow_us_16.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Entire CMC snowfall. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Entire CMC snowfall. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015112900/gem_asnow_ncus_16.pngSign and stamp that one! It's really amazing we are even talking snow with the high ao and nao........ill take it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 00z Euro...looks very similar to the GGEM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Haven't even had an 1/2 inch here on the season... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2015112912/namconus_asnow_us_29.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2015112912/nam4km_asnow_us_21.png(WILL BE UPDATED AS MODEL UPDATES) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 I've been under 3 winter storm watches already this season. More than probably all of last year when we had 14" of snow total. Of the first two, one watch went to a warning and the other an advisory. In the first two storms, I've had rain and then an hour of snow that accumulated to a 1/2", and in the second storm just had freezing rain and sleet that really only accumulated a bit on trees and decks. This storm looks to give me 2-4" of snow max. Watch will probably be changed to an advisory too. Not a lot to get excited about so far. Will probably end up with 4" of snow total in the first 3 watches of the season Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Looks like WPC and NAM pretty much agree on SLP track. GFS seems to be a tad more to the east.http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/lowtrack_circles.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Actually, WPC looks even further west than the NAM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 4/4 on dry slots. Have had the main SLP go right over top each time. What are the chances? It's just sickening Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 4/4 on dry slots. Have had the main SLP go right over top each time. What are the chances? It's just sickeningActually, this storm is different. The heaviest snow axis looks to follow the SLP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Those 12z NAM runs show a very widespread 2-4" around that heavy band. Gotta remember there will be mixed precip for a lot of us, which is maybe why the models are showing lesser snow amounts. DMX is talking rain/frz rain for part of the event. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Same here. Haven't even had an 1/2 inch here on the season... Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 12z RGEM... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2015112912/rgem_asnow_ncus_14.png 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Those 12z NAM runs show a very widespread 2-4" around that heavy band. Gotta remember there will be mixed precip for a lot of us, which is maybe why the models are showing lesser snow amounts. DMX is talking rain/frz rain for part of the event.Wait... did you mean 12-14"? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Wait... did you mean 12-14"?No, the map shows widespread 2-4 around that 6-10. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 12z gfs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 12z GFS.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Man thats a wicked cutoff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 my call for lincoln- mix of rain/freezing rain to sleet to snow, 2-3" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 I'll be happy with whatever I see, snow in November for us doesn't happen very often. With that being said this is my second November in a row with snow so whatever else falls is a bonus. I'm thinking 3-6" along the Platte river with my area seeing 2-4". One thing is certain, even with the teleconnections being the way they are its been stormy, I can't wait to see what the cold phase of the LRC will bring. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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