OKwx2k4 Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Sitting at 10.75 inches of precip for the total duration of this storm so far (About 28 hours). The Illinois river at Watts, OK is .3 feet away from breaking it's all time flood record. Pretty crazy down here right now. All major highways nearby are shut down somewhere except one. Now the wind is blowing about 30-40 mph. Quite a day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Please oh please, let the Euro be my hero! DSM numbers from 0z Euro:MON 06Z 28-DEC -5.1 -4.6 1030 62 1 0.00 565 541 MON 12Z 28-DEC -2.9 -5.1 1021 73 100 0.05 560 543 MON 18Z 28-DEC -3.5 -6.5 1013 91 98 0.41 555 545 TUE 00Z 29-DEC -3.1 -7.2 1005 91 100 0.65 546 543 TUE 06Z 29-DEC -3.6 -7.5 1006 89 88 0.28 547 542 TUE 12Z 29-DEC -7.3 -9.9 1014 87 60 0.04 550 539 TUE 18Z 29-DEC -6.5 -8.6 1021 85 31 0.00 555 539 Awesome. Have ORD? Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 OSH? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Awesome. Have ORD? ORD:MON 06Z 28-DEC 1.6 -1.3 1029 66 3 0.00 568 545 MON 12Z 28-DEC 0.2 -3.1 1026 69 95 0.02 567 546 MON 18Z 28-DEC -0.4 0.2 1017 83 99 0.36 563 550 TUE 00Z 29-DEC 0.8 2.0 1003 91 17 0.50 553 551 TUE 06Z 29-DEC 3.6 -0.5 999 97 65 0.18 539 540 TUE 12Z 29-DEC 1.9 -0.4 1005 92 97 0.03 550 547 TUE 18Z 29-DEC 1.6 -3.2 1014 82 21 0.01 558 547 WED 00Z 30-DEC -0.8 -5.3 1020 79 17 0.00 561 545 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 OSH?I knew I forgot one! My bad. Here you goMON 06Z 28-DEC -2.5 -8.9 1033 67 13 0.00 567 541 MON 12Z 28-DEC -2.1 -3.5 1030 65 16 0.00 564 540 MON 18Z 28-DEC -1.8 -4.7 1024 65 80 0.01 561 542 TUE 00Z 29-DEC -2.8 -2.1 1012 86 100 0.40 556 546 TUE 06Z 29-DEC -1.4 -5.7 1004 91 86 0.54 540 537 TUE 12Z 29-DEC -0.8 -3.7 1005 93 60 0.08 546 542 TUE 18Z 29-DEC -2.6 -7.1 1013 84 96 0.01 551 540 WED 00Z 30-DEC -1.9 -8.6 1019 87 49 0.01 554 540 WED 06Z 30-DEC -3.5 -9.7 1020 92 22 0.00 555 539 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Sitting at 10.75 inches of precip for the total duration of this storm so far (About 28 hours). The Illinois river at Watts, OK is .3 feet away from breaking it's all time flood record. Pretty crazy down here right now. All major highways nearby are shut down somewhere except one. Now the wind is blowing about 30-40 mph. Quite a day.That really sucks man. Imagine this storm with more blocking and a -AO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Sitting at 10.75 inches of precip for the total duration of this storm so far (About 28 hours). The Illinois river at Watts, OK is .3 feet away from breaking it's all time flood record. Pretty crazy down here right now. All major highways nearby are shut down somewhere except one. Now the wind is blowing about 30-40 mph. Quite a day. I bet you're going to have problems with uprooting trees now. Yikes.Never seen that much rain in 28 hours. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 My idea of where most if not all the precip should be snow. to the left of the line. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Omaha numbers. I hope you get more than this, I really do! Especially where you were and I know it can happen here too!MON 06Z 28-DEC -10.6 -5.3 1032 69 1 0.00 564 540 MON 12Z 28-DEC -8.5 -5.3 1024 70 67 0.00 557 539 MON 18Z 28-DEC -5.1 -6.3 1015 84 97 0.14 553 541 TUE 00Z 29-DEC -5.7 -10.0 1011 87 96 0.16 548 539 TUE 06Z 29-DEC -6.5 -10.3 1013 86 89 0.05 547 537 TUE 12Z 29-DEC -9.8 -9.8 1018 86 63 0.00 551 537 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 That really sucks man. Imagine this storm with more blocking and a -AO.No kidding man. I've been saying the same thing all day. Maybe January or February will bring this one back with the Arctic air to back it up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 ORD:MON 06Z 28-DEC 1.6 -1.3 1029 66 3 0.00 568 545 MON 12Z 28-DEC 0.2 -3.1 1026 69 95 0.02 567 546 MON 18Z 28-DEC -0.4 0.2 1017 83 99 0.36 563 550 TUE 00Z 29-DEC 0.8 2.0 1003 91 17 0.50 553 551 TUE 06Z 29-DEC 3.6 -0.5 999 97 65 0.18 539 540 TUE 12Z 29-DEC 1.9 -0.4 1005 92 97 0.03 550 547 TUE 18Z 29-DEC 1.6 -3.2 1014 82 21 0.01 558 547 WED 00Z 30-DEC -0.8 -5.3 1020 79 17 0.00 561 545 That's a lot of 35 degree rain. Seriously though, it's still 37 degrees here in Evanston so I am expecting mainly cold rain tomorrow. Maybe I'll be pleasantly surprised but I just don't see us falling to 32 this close to the Lake. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 My idea of where most if not all the precip should be snow. to the left of the line. snowline.jpgLet me look up and see if I can see that line you drew over my house 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 I bet you're going to have problems with uprooting trees now. Yikes.Never seen that much rain in 28 hours.Yeah. There are trees falling over in my road right now actually. Luckily though, my yard is pretty rocky so I don't have to worry about any of my bigger trees falling. Maybe a couple of branches hitting my house though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 My idea of where most if not all the precip should be snow. to the left of the line. snowline.jpgDon't be a buzz kill Geos. Fifty miles north of imby. So close yet so far. Sure you feel the same way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 http://climate.cod.edu/data/surface/US/contour/current/US.tpsl.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Don't be a buzz kill Geos. Fifty miles north of imby. So close yet so far. Sure you feel the same way. I would just say that's the 80% of greater snow line. Hope you get some wrap around snow from the ULL. Low seems to be parked in NW LA still. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 EURO/NAM both give me over 20", while GFS and GEM only spew about 7-10". Will be an interesting day tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Made it to freezing. 31.8° imby. Wind gusting to 30 mph Lakefront temps down to 34 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 I'll be pulling for all of you up there to get some great snow. I'm going to be a little more selfish next round though. Lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Pivotal Weather has some sick graphics. HRRR running. Out to HR 8 http://maps2.pivotalweather.com/models/hrrr/20151228/0600Z/f008/crefptypemw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 I'll be pulling for all of you up there to get some great snow. I'm going to be a little more selfish next round though. Lol Every right to be selfish next time...after what you all have been going through. Stay safe! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Pivotal Weather has some sick graphics. HRRR running. Out to HR 8 Bottom of the graphic... I find it odd they labeled sleet, ice. That's what I'm assuming they're getting at. Be back much earlier in the morning. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Total actual snowfall through HR 15 on HRRR (Note, this is just the start of the system really in WI/IA/MN) at least: http://maps2.pivotalweather.com/models/hrrr/20151228/0600Z/f015/acc10_1snowmw.png http://maps2.pivotalweather.com/models/hrrr/20151228/0600Z/f015/crefptypemw.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 RAP: http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/models/rap/20151228/06Z/f18/snodconus.png http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/models/rap/20151228/06Z/f18/crefptypeconus.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=NAM&p=acc10snow&rh=2015122806&fh=27&r=mw&dpdt= Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 6z NAM: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20151228/06Z/f33/acckucherasnowmw.png That's GFS, GGEM, RGEM, EURO, NAM all with 6+ for here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Every right to be selfish next time...after what you all have been going through. Stay safe!Thank you. Definitely will be as safe as possible Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 7z HRRR valid thru 22z. This doesn't include sleet, just snow. http://maps2.pivotalweather.com/models/hrrr/20151228/0700Z/f015/acc10_1snowmw.png Radar at 22z: http://maps2.pivotalweather.com/models/hrrr/20151228/0600Z/f015/crefmw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 The snow storm black hole continues for Nebraska. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Climate wise-- you see about one 8" event in your climate region ( Central NE) per about 3-4 further East. Oddities happen,, but near C.NE is not the hot bed for snow events in any pattern compared to areas further E that are "wetter" on avg. Snowstorm black hole will continue until the Spring-- then with the changing of the guard to a LA nina-- AO going - and other variables-- you will see some impressive totals ,, likely reaching seasonal averages in just a few weeks.--- much like this system. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 MKX still calling for only 2-4" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 MKX still calling for only 2-4" Local mets went with around an inch for Milwaukee area. To me that's pretty low. I say 3-4" of snow and mostly sleet otherwise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Hrrr showing 8-12 before it switches to sleet in Milwaukee and Madison Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 I'm getting heavy sleet here after initial starting as snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 It's still snow here, but radar shows sleet moving in quickly. Waterloo and points north and west are in a sweet spot for 8-12 inches of snow, but sleet should hold us down quite a bit. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Sleetfest! Mkx still going really low with qpf in their disco. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 35 degrees with 28 degree DP and looks like mainly rain here in Evanston so far. Wind is cranking. The low has become double barreled and the primary part of the low has moved back NW into extreme Eastern Oklahoma. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Snowing now and cars, roofs, and grass is white! EDIT: Mixture of snow and sleet now. Still see some flakes, but mostly sleet. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 And as most of us said earlier...THAT'S why you don't rely on just one model run and throw everything out. My oh my...some of those viewers went to bed and will be sad when they wake up. And I feel worse for the businesses that relied on his forecast alone---if it does indeed bust. I just hope that his channel or he, himself, were on air hinting at the possibility of a miss.SMH. Again, what the hell are you talking about?! EVERY FORECASTER IN THIS AREA AND MOST OF THE MIDWEST WAS GOING WITH THE EURO. Go read all the discussions in the AFD's that were put out yesterday afternoon and evening and prior to that. Hell even our NWS put out an update at 930 saying they were keeping things the same and throwing out the 0Z NAM that pushed everything east. Since Jim is THE GUY that everyone goes to for their forecast, he should send out an apology. Apparently all the other TV stations that were also calling for 6-10+" over eastern Nebraska don't listen to their own guys, they go to Jim. I already mentioned our local NWS office, so I guess they must have called him too. Even the guys in Washington that put out the probability maps must have been talking to Jim because again all day yesterday they had a 80% of greater than 8" of snow guess where? Right over eastern Nebraska.The average Joe Public already thinks that weather is some kind of exact science, so to say Jim and only Jim should have been saying all these "what if" situations is absurd. TV weatherman get public abuse no matter what they forecast because it is almost ALWAYS wrong for someone. For all those snow plow companies that are going to wake up surprised today, than maybe the should go somewhere else for their forecast like the NWS, or another TV station or the WPC website. Errr wait, I guess those people were wrong too. I guess they should come here to this forum then instead since I guess the information they get will always be right! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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