12/26 - 12/29 Potential Wintry & Wet Winter Storm

[shakjen]

Trees and surfaces starting to ice over here, but very little wind luckily.

[Tom]

Had a brief period of snow earlier on but switched over to sleet since then.  The ground is definitely white but grass is not completely covered.

 

Can you believe I just took off on a flight out of MDW? Never seen an aircraft so caked with ice like that. Thought for sure I was getting cancelled.

Wow, glad you made it out in time before it got any worse!  Have a safe flight!

 

@ Geo's, the snow/sleet line is probably just south of you or at the Lake/Cook county border.  I think you'll manage to get a few inches.  The transition to sleet is creeping ever so closely to your area though.

 

Radar imagery looks phenomenal...haven't seen a comma signature like this since the 2011 GHD Blizzard.

[NEJeremy]

Ugh. You don't get it and won't. He locked in days ago and threw out every other model. That's just wrong. Other mets were mentioning the other possibilities. Plain and simple. He knows better and he failed. Enjoy your bust, if it is that. Good day, sir

The feeling's mutual. I get it, you for some reason are so hung up on the fact that he didn't make mention on his Facebook videos of a model that was being disregarded by all the mets in the Midwest and the mets in Washington too. Maybe he should have been making 10 minute video updates that went through every model run out there and what each one of them showed and what each one of them if correct would mean to all of the people in western Iowa and eastern Nebraska or..... he could just stick with his 2 minute summary videos that he did, of the model he and everyone else thought was correct and what that means for this area. Make sure to send your "enjoy your bust" to all the other tv stations and the folks at the NWS that obviously failed too. Wow....

[Tom]

EastDubzz, is it snowing pretty good out by you???

[East Dubzz]

Yes it is. Worried it may change to sleet eventually here, though.

[Geos]

Had a brief period of snow earlier on but switched over to sleet since then.  The ground is definitely white but grass is not completely covered.

 

 

Wow, glad you made it out in time before it got any worse!  Have a safe flight!

 

@ Geo's, the snow/sleet line is probably just south of you or at the Lake/Cook county border.  I think you'll manage to get a few inches.  The transition to sleet is creeping ever so closely to your area though.

 

Radar imagery looks phenomenal...haven't seen a comma signature like this since the 2011 GHD Blizzard.

I know it will get here sooner or later. Just hope the ground can stay white through the storm. Milwaukee is going to bust on that rain by 2pm claim.

[Tom]

Observations indicate FZRA, but that is not the case...sleet pellets pinging against my windows ATM.  I'd much rather have this other than the FZRA.

[winterfreak]

You're not alone NE. Storm has been a complete joke over here as well. Not much of any precip after late last night.

[Geos]

Last blades of grass disappearing now. Snow plows are out now.

 

This winter radar suggesting sleet line is pretty far south still...

 

[bainbridgekid]

Getting some moderate to almost heavy sleet and 32 degrees here in Evanston.

 

Coming down hard enough to hurt when facing into the wind at all and the roads are starting to ice up a bit.

 

Have about 1/2 inch or so on the ground.

[Madtown]

More sleet than snow just south or madison.

[gosaints]

Going 9 inches here. Guessing heaviest sets up across ne iowa

[Scott26]

Ice pellets in Buffalo Grove. Looks like heaviest freezing rain so far is West-Central Illinois with ice accumulations approaching a quarter of an inch.

[Geos]

The temp along the lake front is even sub freezing up in Milwaukee County. 28-30°. CAA is strong with those east wind. If we didn't have that strong flow, it probably would be sleet by now.

 

That's really weird Madtown, haven't heard any sleet yet this morning.

 

Low tracking toward St. Louis.

 

[WBadgersW]

Looks like some of the local weather forecasters are increasing snowfall amounts.

[westMJim]

Starting to get light snow here now. Have NE winds at 23 with gust at 35.  Temp is holding at 27° with a 18° dp as Kalamazoo is getting freezing rain the snow should not last too long before it turns to fr rain.  The road is now white here now.

SlimJim

[Madtown]

Which one wbadgers

[WBadgersW]

Which one wbadgers

WISN, they shifted everything South.

[OKwx2k4]

Ugh. You don't get it and won't. He locked in days ago and threw out every other model. That's just wrong. Other mets were mentioning the other possibilities. Plain and simple. He knows better and he failed. Enjoy your bust, if it is that. Good day, sir

Exactly. Also, if you lock in based solely on modeling, your best bet is to throw out the outlier. I called the Euro an outlier 3 days ago. He's a professional. He should have had the wherewithal to do the same.

[Madtown]

50/50 mix now

[Scott26]

The temp is staying pretty consistent at 31 degrees. The RAP/NAM doesn't have a changeover to rain here until 6.

[Geos]

Pouring flakes here right now.

Noticed the winds are backing more NE, than E here. Could be making a difference.

 

RPM showing it staying snow and a mix all day, then switching to snow by 9pm. Rain stays over the lake. Milwaukee doesn't even get close to the rain...

[Madtown]

How much are they saying?

[Madtown]

Mostly snow and fairly heavy now

[Tom]

Pouring flakes here right now.

Noticed the winds are backing more NE, than E here. Could be making a difference.

 

RPM showing it staying snow and a mix all day, then switching to snow by 9pm. Rain stays over the lake. Milwaukee doesn't even get close to the rain...

Take a video!  It's been pouring sleet...haven't seen this much sleet since the a storm back in 2010 I think where the N/NW burbs got smoked and Cook county and points south got a mix situation.

[Geos]

How much are they saying?

 

They didn't show a map yet.

 

Winds staying steady at 60°, so just shy of straight NE.

 

This low is heading ENE right now...towards St. Genevieve, MO.

 

[Blugga]

Sleet and more sleet. Well basically all ice pellets. Nice round and clear ice pellets. Light snow mixing in.

 

Temp still at 28.8ºF

[East Dubzz]

And back to sleet

[Geos]

Take a video!  It's been pouring sleet...haven't seen this much sleet since the a storm back in 2010 I think where the N/NW burbs got smoked and Cook county and points south got a mix situation.

 

Flake size backed off now. It goes back and forth between small and large flakes.

 

Waiting to see the rest of the RPM run. It didn't look like NW Cook County broke above freezing through 9pm.

[ToastedRavs]

From Des Moines NWS:

 

A major winter storm remains on track to impact much of Iowa today and tonight. The storm track has shifted a bit east, and as a result the greatest expected snowfall amounts have also shifted east a bit. As much as 12" of snow or more is possible across northeast Iowa, while much of northern and portions of central Iowa may see 6-10" of snow through tonight. The combination of strong winds and heavy snow (snowfall rates of 1" per hour at times) is expected to cause blowing snow over central and northwest Iowa. A wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet and snow remains in the forecast for southeast Iowa. With the potential for significant icing over areas such as Ottumwa and northeast towards the Quad Cities, where as much as a half inch or more of ice is possible. Damage to power lines and trees will be possible as well, especially with additional force from expected high winds.

[East Dubzz]

Warm air wins the battle once again.

[East Dubzz]

What a waste of a potentially amazing storm. I mean sleet is fun and all, but really, I'd rather either have snow or FZR.

[bainbridgekid]

And back to sleet

Where are you located?

[East Dubzz]

Where are you located?

East Dubuque, IL.

[bainbridgekid]

What a waste of a potentially amazing storm. I mean sleet is fun and all, but really, I'd rather either have snow or FZR.

If there were even seasonable cold air to work with, there would have been a HUGE area of foot+ amounts of snow with this.

 

Still fun to watch everything turn white with the sleet and wind though.

[Money]

25 and snow here

[ToastedRavs]

Been lucky here. No sleet so far...and it looks like the dry slot I feared may scoot off to my west. Between 3 & 3.5" estimated. Hard to measure with 30 to 35 mph winds

[WBadgersW]

Is the temperature suppose to be dropping?

[Geos]

Is the temperature suppose to be dropping?

 

Nope.

 

Temp came up half a degree here. But that's like over 2.5 hours.

 

Fatty flakes with 30dbz. Let's see if I can at least get a decent picture.

[Tom]

25 and snow here

Your probably not going to switch over and stay mainly snow.  What do you think your going to get?  8-10" seems like a good bet?