A bit of a personal post on my end. This was a few years in the making but had to postponed several times due to the passing of my mom during Covid and obviously the continuation of Covid until we are safe to travel. And also why I made this trip back to the home country for the first time in 20 years.
This was taken at Central Highlands of Vietnam in Da Lat early morning. The fog and mists was just like home.
We've got a moderate for severe from SPC and for rain from WPC:
Some ML guidance shows the highest threat more towards my area like nadocast:
But others like CSU is a bit further west:
I'm inclined to think the biggest severe weather threat will be further west towards OKC. I expect to see several strong tornadoes and reports of very large hail. As the storms congeal we will get a wind/QLCS threat morphing into a heavy rain/flood threat overnight. I don't think we will get anything truly crazy, but a couple of inches wouldn't shock me.
Are you talking about the 8 weeks of July and August? Because it almost always rains in June and September with only a few exceptions. SEA averages .60 in July and .97 in August. So in order to have a rainfall every 2 weeks it would need just 2 each month.
July and August in recent years has been an anomaly.
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