Sciascia Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Yes I was thinking the same earlier. Usually a sign of convection possibility Glad someone else sees it. I'm trying to be a level headed weenie & not make things up for dramatic effect, haha. Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Same here Scott! I was making breakfast and looking out my kitchen window and noticed how dark the clouds are. BTW, its pretty rare to get hit by such a strong storm when winds are out of the SE. I cant think of a storm dumping this much snow with winds out of the South...maybe a Clipper but not a Pacific system. Anyway, about to get hit by a short live 35dbz band....already got a nice coating of snow. Should be some interesting drifts on the other side of the house this time around. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Madtown, I take it that's also adding some of the snow possibly from Thursday? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 it says snowfall through wed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Same here Scott! I was making breakfast and looking out my kitchen window and noticed how dark the clouds are. BTW, its pretty rare to get hit by such a strong storm when winds are out of the SE. I cant think of a storm dumping this much snow with winds out of the South...maybe a Clipper but not a Pacific system. Anyway, about to get hit by a short live 35dbz band....already got a nice coating of snow. Should be some interesting drifts on the other side of the house this time around. Same here. Pretty impressive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Returns to my west are really starting to look nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownWeather Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Thundersnow has been reported down by Champaign-Urbana! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Wow, getting creamed right now with Heavy Snow! Easily 1/8 mile visibility...flakes are huge and pouring out of the sky! Here is a pic I took 5 min ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Wow, getting creamed right now with Heavy Snow! Easily 1/8 mile visibility...flakes are huge and pouring out of the sky! Here is a pic I took 5 min ago. Wow! at this winter Tom. Nice shot too! Good Luck over there. Hoping SWMI can get in on the bullseye area too! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Main band is now moving into Cedar Rapids, Iowa now. You guys in Chicago are going to get hit good. Lots of tiny flakes coming down, visibility down to 1/7 of a mile. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 rippin pretty good atm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Legitimate 1"/hour rates ATM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Snow band just keeps redeveloping to the SW over Cook county...this is what I'm talking about. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Nothing here yet in Racine. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 I would give it 15-20 mins in Racine. Heavier returns just to your south moving N. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6789 Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 If there are bands that continue to redevelop like the last system we could be looking at a significant event. I'm just a little worried about the actual main line moving to fast. However, if there are 2-3" snows per hour in that band I think we will all see 4-8" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 looks like a big dry hole about to move in... thinkin we be in a screw zone Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 It doesn't look like we will see 8" totals around here...the back edge is already in E IA...we'll prob be done around 5pm or so. Edit: Measured 0.5" with that band that lasted 30 minutes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Thundersnow was just reported in my area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 It doesn't look like we will see 8" totals around here...the back edge is already in E IA...we'll prob be done around 5pm or so.Any belief that this will slow down? I would assume a neg tilt system would have some lasting power. Unless, of course, the tilt never fully happens. Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Via Americanwx out in independence, IA Absolute rip city here last 30 minutes. Pouring down flakes. Can't accurately assess, but would think at least 2 inches in 30 mins. Crazy stuff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 I would start watching the radar in SE IA/W IL over the next hour as there are blossoming cloud tops as the system is beginning to develop a comma shape signature. This is where we will start seeing more Thundersnow reports. Looking nice on water vapor imagery. Initially I thought the convection over Champaign Urbana was going to steal the moisture away but I'm now noticing development over in the SE IA/W IL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 The calm before the storm here. Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 The heavy band moving across east-central Iowa is dropping snow at 2-4 inches per hour. I got 1" in 30 minutes, a guy just south of CR got 2" in 30 minutes. poster in e. ia Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 I'm seeing the snow building back in extreme NE MO and that is the placement of the SLP. This precip should pivot into N IL as the system tilts more in a NW/SE fashion. According to LOT, we will begin to see intensification from now till the evening hours. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 I got over 2" in just under 30 minutes. It was beautiful. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Money, those are incredible snowfall rates. That band will probably be in NE IL around 3-4pm right when the evening rush hour begins. I could see ppl having 3-4 hour commutes back home. Rush hour is going to be mayhem. Hopefully with the Holiday the impact won't be as great. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Heavy snow started right at 10:09 and didn't let up until 10:37. At least 2" in that time and probably just a tad over. I got 2.8" from 920-1040 and from 920-10:08 it only snowed lightly Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Looks like they whiffed on the winter storm warning over here. Gonna see some nice snowfall here soon, but my guess is 3" is what the total is here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Still nothing here lol, not even a flake Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Skilling's RPM model showing the back edge of the snow will be done around 9:00pm...we may see some redevelopment of the snow shield as this puppy intensifies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Yup, no reason to worry. This system is still continuing to intensify and redevelopment will continue. I still think a lot of areas could get 6 plus from this when all said and done. The snowfall rates later are going to be pretty ridiculous with 2-3 inches per hour and possible thundersnow so some areas may get warning amounts in a couple of hours. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Looking like the heavy bands will start moving in before noon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Just started here. Flakesize is pretty good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 D**n near bliz conditions here with Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Man this dry slot is starting to annoy me. Fill in! lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6789 Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Small flakes starting to fall, heavy band just to my South, literally on my door step. The sky does look quite dark too, maybe some convection! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 https://twitter.com/OnMilwaukeeGull/status/435464076223721473/photo/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 Money, those are incredible snowfall rates. That band will probably be in NE IL around 3-4pm right when the evening rush hour begins. I could see ppl having 3-4 hour commutes back home. Rush hour is going to be mayhem. Hopefully with the Holiday the impact won't be as great. And for those reasons I might stay at work a little longer. Hopefully the defo band pushes out by 6pm. Was really ripping here in Racine for about 40 minutes. But now it is back to flurries/--SN. Looks like about 3/4" fell. Lol, people were having a fit inside watching it! Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 17, 2014 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 1129 AM CST MON FEB 17 2014 UPDATE ONE HEAVY SNOW BAND IS MOVING THROUGH THE ERN AND NRN CWA WITH A LARGER AREA OF SNOW APPROACHING FROM IL. EXPECT THIS AREA TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVY DUE TO THE STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER MO THAT WILL TRACK NEWD AND POSSIBLY BECOME A CLOSED 500 MB LOW AS EARLIER AS THE CHICAGO AREA OR OVER SRN LOWER MI. CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR FROM SRN IL TO LAKE ERIE FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. THUS STRENGTHENING WARM ADVECTION...PVA...AND FRONTOGENESIS WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. SE WI IS IN THE MOST FAVORABLE POSITION FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOW WHILE SOUTH CENTRAL WI WILL SEE A LITTLE LESS GIVEN THE FAST SPEED OF THE SYSTEM. OVERALL SNOW ACCUMS WILL RANGE FROM 4-7 INCHES WITH THE HIGHER TOTALS OVER SE WI. THE WINDS HAVE BEEN WEAKENING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND THEY WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO INTO THE AFTERNOON WHEN THE HEAVIEST SNOW ARRIVES. THUS BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL NOT BE AS PROBLEMATIC AS IT HAS BEEN AT TIMES THIS MORNING. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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