September 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[Deweydog]

I was noticing the same thing. Forcing in the GOA seems to be holding the trough over us.

 

Still a wonky looking pattern. Maybe part of my surprise was that the 12z Euro was the first model where I have actually looked at the 500mb pattern in the last few days. I've mainly been perusing output.

Tries to become a rex block, particularly on the GFS. Euro and Canadian are a lot more progressive which seems more reasonable.

[Jesse]

Tries to become a rex block, particularly on the GFS. Euro and Canadian are a lot more progressive which seems more reasonable.

Yeah. I feel like I haven't seen this much of a sustained cool pattern in the upper levels in the models for a few years. Almost need to rub my eyes.

 

Really good ensemble support for the 12z Euro. It seems to hang things up a little less on Tuesday as well, moving the northern branch trough in more aggressively.

[Jesse]

90s looking unlikely today.

[Deweydog]

90s looking unlikely today.

 

It's been a month of miracles.  

 

And to think some are saying next month may be even colder.  

[Jesse]

It's been a month of miracles.

 

And to think some are saying next month may be even colder.

October is generally colder than September.

[Deweydog]

October is generally colder than September.

Amonalies, baby. It's all about amomalies.

[stuffradio]

Half a foot of rain by Tuesday. This is going to bust so hard!

 

[BLI snowman]

90s looking unlikely today.

 

Troughs and ridges both underachieving left and right.

 

Climo forever.

[stuffradio]

Troughs and ridges both underachieving left and right.

 

Climo forever.

Spring 365 days a year!

[Jesse]

Troughs and ridges both underachieving left and right.

 

Climo forever.

There has definitely been a distinct lack of 90 degree weather in recent years.

[Deweydog]

There has definitely been a distinct lack of 90 degree weather in recent years.

In October?

 

Definitely.

[stuffradio]

In October?

 

Definitely.

I had close to 86 or so a couple years ago in October at Thanksgiving.

[TT-SEA]

I had close to 86 or so a couple years ago in October at Thanksgiving.

 

Thanksgiving is in November.  

[BLI snowman]

There has definitely been a distinct lack of 90 degree weather in recent years.

 

14 this year is less than half 2015's total.

 

At this rate PDX could very well become a glacier by 2018-19.

[stuffradio]

Thanksgiving is in November.  

If you want to celebrate fake Thanksgiving it is.

[Phil]

The pattern progged in the long range (wave-2 w/ dual anticyclonic breakers) would be a nationwide icebox were it to occur in N/D/J/F/M.

[Karl Bonner]

If you want to celebrate fake Thanksgiving it is.

 

 

Agreed, the US's Late November date is too "seasonally incorrect" for a harvest festival!

[Weather101]

Thanksgiving is in November.

You know he is from Canada so what was the point of this post.

[FroYoBro]

You know he is from Canada so what was the point of this post.

He wants to build a wall between Canada and the U.S. 

[TT-SEA]

Agreed, the US's Late November date is too "seasonally incorrect" for a harvest festival!

 

 

I have always thought that as well.   It should be October.

[Weather101]

He wants to build a wall between Canada and the U.S.

That explains everything.

[stuffradio]

Some people in the American legislator are trying to ban Canadians from the US highways, but apparently that was satire haha. The CBC posted it on their website

[Front Ranger]

I have always thought that as well.   It should be October.

 

It's more important that we spread out our holidays.

 

Labor Day in September, Halloween in October, Thanksgiving in November, Christmas in December. Once a month is nice.

[Front Ranger]

Some people in the American legislator are trying to ban Canadians from the US highways, but apparently that was satire haha. The CBC posted it on their website

 

The CBC should know better than to post Onion articles.

[ShawniganLake]

It's more important that we spread out our holidays.

 

Labor Day in September, Halloween in October, Thanksgiving in November, Christmas in December. Once a month is nice.

Halloween is a holiday? Maybe when you're 5.

 

Starting to drizzle here.

[Front Ranger]

Halloween is a holiday? Maybe when you're 5.

 

Starting to drizzle here.

 

Off topic.

 

And I turned 8 last month.

[MossMan]

The first shower is just now rolling in...ground getting wet.

[Trainwreck]

The first shower is just now rolling in...ground getting wet.

I wish. I can't a drop of rain. It feels like it's been months. I'm in Redmond Oregon and when it streams in from the west I get nil. At least I'll have clouds this weekend.

[Geos]

Made it to 74° here after a low of 46°. Very calm and mild tonight. 

[Geos]

The first shower is just now rolling in...ground getting wet.

 

Yep, showers inbound.

 

[stuffradio]

I have light drizzle right now.

[Brennan]

Showers washing in as felix hernandez washes up.

[Geos]

Snohomish County looks to be hardest hit with rain in the metro area.

 

 

Looks like a convergence zone might set up.

 

[TT-SEA]

WRF shows plenty of sunshine after tomorrow.   Looks like a pretty nice week ahead.

[stuffradio]

Negative 850 temps and almost mid 530 thickness in la la land in the 00z gfs

[snow_wizard]

Looks like we may have a cool September in the bag.

[Phil]

If anyone is interested, I finally connected my weather station to Wunderground. Have been wanting to do this for awhile, and honestly the whole process was much easier than I thought it would be. Everything is up and running, except for the fact they mislocated it by a few miles. I'll try to figure that out sometime this week.

 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMDBETHE56#history

 

Anemometer was/is a challenge with the large tulip poplars around here. Installed a 50ft antenna on the roof for a total of ~80ft of altitude...which ultimately wasn't nearly high enough to clear the treetops but will hopefully compensate for some of the windbreaks.

[ShawniganLake]

If anyone is interested, I finally connected my weather station to Wunderground. Have been wanting to do this for awhile, and honestly the whole process was much easier than I thought it would be. Everything is up and running, except for the fact they mislocated it by a few miles. I'll try to figure that out sometime this week.

 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMDBETHE56#history

 

Anemometer was/is a challenge with the large tulip poplars around here. Installed a 50ft antenna on the roof for a total of ~80ft of altitude...which ultimately wasn't nearly high enough to clear the treetops but will hopefully compensate for some of the windbreaks.

Down into the 60's. Sounds like you're getting some relief.

[Phil]

Down into the 60's. Sounds like you're getting some relief.

Yeah, a very nice reprieve. I'm still jealous of the troughing you guys are about to experience, though.

[TT-SEA]

Looks like Vancouver Island is doing quite well in terms of rain this morning per the radar.