snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, Requiem said: I am NOT on board Maybe in a week or so In a week it will already be here assuming it happens. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Meatyorologist Posted November 23, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Classic warning shot/real deal combo. Initial trough preps BC with Airctic air, second strike does the business end of things and utilizes a now much deeper airmass. 10 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 We're heading to Tahoe 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Day 5.5 850s (Past 4 runs) Cold air moving south quicker 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Day 6 850s (Past 4 runs) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Day 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Slider and blast incoming! 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 I am really liking the looks of the reload on this run. Can't wait to see how it actually unfolds on the next few frames. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 8 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 5.5 850s (Past 4 runs) Cold air moving south quicker Always a good sign with these things. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 9 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Classic warning shot/real deal combo. Initial trough preps BC with Airctic air, second strike does the business end of things and utilizes a now much deeper airmass. Should we worry about 850s on the westside totally resetting after the first shot? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 7 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Talk about an idiot! Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Day 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Talk about an idiot! jesus christ jim 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: Should we worry about 850s on the westside totally resetting after the first shot? The real cold will blast in behind the low sliding down the coast. 3 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 OK. Here's the good stuff. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Just now, RentonHillTC said: jesus christ jim Are you sayin I'm wrong? Don't get me wrong it's hilarious. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Deleted and replaced with a big ol WEINER that i totally deserve 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 10 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Is that the hammer dropping? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 OMG this one looks good. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: Long way out yes i know but still like bummer was really hoping for improvements across the board That is what we've seen tonight. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Looks like a classic unfolding. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Day 9'er 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHawks Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Did someone order a BC Slider? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Too far west. Nice improvements Day 4-7 in the believable time frame. I am awaiting to see how the EPS looks later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Lots of really cold air to work with 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Too far west. Nice improvements Day 4-7 in the believable time frame. I am awaiting to see how the EPS looks later. Yea……surface levels aren’t impressive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Kind of bummer that next low comes down so fast it kind of messes things up. Seems suspect to me but who knows. Still an impressive pattern with lowland snow though. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 It is, at the least, very nice to see the cold air available to work with. This pattern seems pretty long-lived, so I think we'll have at least a few opportunities to tap into some of that. 4 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Too far west. Nice improvements Day 4-7 in the believable time frame. I am awaiting to see how the EPS looks later. That one low comes down perfectly. All we need is for that next one to not follow so quickly. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawksfan2008 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 I wouldn’t focus too much on the details at this point. We know everything needs to line up perfectly. Starts with cold air available and a pattern with potential. We have both! Enough to be excited about 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 I'll be really surprised if what this run shows verifies. I've never seen a low track down the BC coast on that trajectory not produce magic for us. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 That frame right there is what we want except for the next low coming down. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 The block reorganizes too far west on the Op. I hope that isn't how things play out Day 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: That frame right there is what we want except for the next low coming down. Next low is coming in to high again (yes, Ik it will change next run) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 And this is just textbook. No sign of any trouble there. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: The block reorganizes too far west on the Op. I hope that isn't how things play out Day 6+ Ensembles are the way to go on that. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall totals, including the southwestern US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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