TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Currently 37F with some clouds. 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Day 6 (Past 4 runs) PV also shifting south-southwest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Bingo!! Snow with East winds!! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Now I'm wondering what the heck we're going to see on 12z runs later this morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Another really nice snowstorm for PDX north Friday night into Saturday. 7 2 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 It's almost like the block and PV are being attracted to each other like magnets. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Now I'm wondering what the heck we're going to see on 12z runs later this morning... This run is pretty compelling to say the least. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, Meatyorologist said: Another really nice snowstorm for PDX north Friday night into Saturday. Yep temps fall to freezing just after midnight and down to 29 at 10 AM Saturday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Maybe the 0z GEM was onto something. This is pretty intriguing! 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 As far apart as the GFS and EURO have been I just can't believe any of this unless 12z EURO/EPS show notable changes. I want to, but yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 OMG. The block is tilting just like the ECMWF, but sooner. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: OMG. The block is tilting just like the ECMWF, but sooner. Just a bit too far east unfortunately. It's either too far west, or too far east it seems. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: As far apart as the GFS and EURO have been I just can't believe any of this unless 12z EURO/EPS show notable changes. I want to, but yeah. It's like what the ECMWF showed late in the run. Just happens sooner. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: Just a bit too far east unfortunately. It's either too far west, or too far east it seems. lol Or is it? Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Day 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: Or is it? Yup. Just a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 One thing for sure is this is some crazy sheit. Blocking on steroids. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 6z GEFS Day 3 (Past 4 runs) Also seeing the block a notch further east, the system nudging into it, the trough and low a notch southeast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Currently 47 and a bit gusty outside. Looks like that will probably be the high for the day because it looks to cool off once this cold front comes through. 1 1 1 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Yup. Just a bit. So easy for that to correct on the next run or two. Cold regardless. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Day 9'er is weird looking. Hard to believe anything the GFS op shows after Day 4 or 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 23 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 5 (Past 4 runs) Is the GFS just messing with us, one last middle finger? or.... Because that's real noticeable. 1 1 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 6z GEFS Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Several notches east with the trough. Keep this trend going the next 4-6 runs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Next Sunday looks a bit close to Dec 1968 with the way a fat polar lobe creeps close to the area. That event of course is the granddaddy of all polar lobe sneaks. Low level outflow during that event brought the region its coldest airmass ever recorded by far, even colder than some of the airmasses seen in Jan 1950. Seattle spent two days in the teens and Winthrop recorded an apocalyptic -48F; Washington's coldest temperature ever recorded. Not going to come close to repeating that. 2 4 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 +EPO/+PNA emerges past day 10. Let's keep it there. 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 -NAO goes livid too. 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: Next Sunday looks a bit close to Dec 1968 with the way a fat polar lobe creeps close to the area. That event of course is the granddaddy of polar lobe sneaks. Low level outflow during that event brought the region its coldest airmass ever recorded by far, even colder than some of the airmasses seen in Jan 1950. Seattle spent two days in the teens and Winthrop recorded an apocalyptic -48F; Washington's coldest temperature ever recorded. Not going to come close to repeating that. In the 2020’s climate, what would it take to repeat 1950 even if impossible? All of interior Alaska’s and Canada’s coldest winter air to make it to our coast without warming up, somehow making it past the Rockies? 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Fell asleep. That's it for me. Onto 12z runs! 12z GFS in 4 hours 51 minutes 12z ECMWF in 7 hours 1 minute Hoping for more exciting and fun runs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 I can't believe I totally missed this.... Sharp, potent cold front just ripped through! Instant 6F drop with heavy rain, hail, and wind. Maybe some lightning too? 2 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 72 members currently online...at 2:46 in the morning. Impressive! 7 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just woke up again for a minute. 6z GEFS considerably colder 850s. Day 5 (Past 4 runs) 00z Seattle -6c, 6z -9c 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Hr 126 now Seattle -10c, PDX -8c 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, Kayla said: 72 members currently online...at 2:46 in the morning. Impressive! I have a lot of fans. Nah..... Probably hoping to see a lot of Cold and SNOW maps! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said: In the 2020’s climate, what would it take to repeat 1950 even if impossible? All of interior Alaska’s and Canada’s coldest winter air to make it to our coast without warming up, somehow making it past the Rockies? January 1950 was a product of an incredible amount of luck and seasonal-scale leaning. Everything pointed towards PNW troughing that month. If it were to repeat again, I imagine the results would be similar, but around 3-6F warmer give or take, around the going rate of wintertime AGW in the Arctic today compared to the mid 20th century, combined with the warming effects of urbanization. Lows would be much more moderated than the highs. Still would be around the coldest month ever recorded had it occurred today, perhaps being much more competitive with January 1949. 2 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: I have a lot of fans. Nah..... Probably hoping to see a lot of Cold and SNOW maps! I'm going to go with it's both! 2 1 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 6z GEFS 850s Seattle. That's pretty impressive and note the cluster of members even colder than the mean down to -13c. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just now, Kayla said: I'm going to go with it's both! You are too kind 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Bellingham 850s pretty cold. The second trough is now colder than the first -10.2c, -11.0c. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Portland also a bit colder and a decent cluster of members colder than the mean. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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