November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wake up Jim!

[Terreboner]

Still lots of potential coming up as we head into December.  Gotta stay positive!!!

[smerfylicious]

Finally got kiddo home yesterday. 3 days of no sleep, or poor sleep on a hospital couch put me in a coma as soon as I got home. 

Jaundice is no fun. Did I miss the rug pull?

[Ellsworb]

Devastating trendz! See you all for the 2023-24 winter season….

 

..or in 48 hours when this whole thing flips again!

[MossMan]

Just now, smerfylicious said:

Finally got kiddo home yesterday. 3 days of no sleep, or poor sleep on a hospital couch put me in a coma as soon as I got home. 

Jaundice is no fun. Did I miss the rug pull?

Sorry to hear but glad you all are home now. 
 

And yes. It’s over. 

[Doinko]

[SnowWillarrive]

1 minute ago, Terreboner said:

Still lots of potential coming up as we head into December.  Gotta stay positive!!!

6z euro did show a dusting for WW in the morning. I just want to see flakes fly soon.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, Terreboner said:

Still lots of potential coming up as we head into December.  Gotta stay positive!!!

Thanks for the pep talk!

[Doinko]

A high of 17 degrees in Portland with very strong east winds

 

[MossMan]

MossMan is no longer onboard. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Doinko said:

A high of 17 degrees in Portland with very strong east winds

 

Not even the coldest day.

[FroYoBro]

The GEM is much more progressive and warmer than the GFS a week out. Probably much more realistic too. 

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

The GEM is much more progressive and warmer than the GFS a week out. Probably much more realistic too. 

Short term losses for long term gains

[AlTahoe]

32 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

This is one cold a** run 

Yeah I took my first look at the models today and did a double take. There are some extreme east winds being shown for the Sierra. Looks similar to the blowdown of late Nov 2011. 

[AlTahoe]

34 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Okay GFS...

 

are those high temps? -8F for Boise? lol

[Snownerd3000]

27 minutes ago, Terreboner said:

Still lots of potential coming up as we head into December.  Gotta stay positive!!!

[Snownerd3000]

10 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Short term losses for long term gains

Investing in our weather future? When weather 401k?

[The Winter Warlock]

12 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Investing in our weather future? When weather 401k?

I run a PNW snow index fund. Guaranteed snow on the ground for 7% of your winter, year over year.

[Gummy]

7 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Investing in our weather future? When weather 401k?

GFUS 3X snow leveraged ETF managed by Cathie Woods. Innovative 240hr snow maps. It will totally be 5 degrees with 30 inches of snow in a few weeks, what could go wrong?

[Nov1985]

Temps here are 5° below modeled for 10 am IMBY. 35.6°. So I might not see 40°+ for 10 to 15 days! That's cool. 

[Snownerd3000]

2 minutes ago, Gummy said:

GFUS 3X snow leveraged ETF managed by Cathie Woods. Innovative 240hr snow maps. It will totally be 5 degrees with 30 inches of snow in a few weeks, what could go wrong?

[Blizzard777]

54 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

what could go wrong?! 

I’m in! This is the kind of excitement I crave…..live life!!!! 

[Gummy]

6 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Sure thing!

 

[Blizzard777]

49 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

Finally got kiddo home yesterday. 3 days of no sleep, or poor sleep on a hospital couch put me in a coma as soon as I got home. 

Jaundice is no fun. Did I miss the rug pull?

Our little young souls sure do put us through some interesting times.  I remember doing a escape to the coast with wife and baby as we were exhausted full time workers and broke. First night around 1 am our daughter began projectile vomiting over the entire bed including us.  I remember just staring at my wife in shock with this crud (it was warm) everywhere and instead of crying or saying choice words we began that laughter you can only do when you go beyond the limit of your emotions ….Crazy stuff but you get through.   

[RentonHill]

Its too bad all these models except the Euro are worthless. Just pretty colors on the map. 

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

1 hour ago, Doinko said:

Okay GFS...

 

A vision of what our weather could be like if we were in the plains and had no mountains. Pacific Ocean is bot as important as the damming of all that cold air it would seem.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Our little young souls sure do put us through some interesting times.  I remember doing an escape to the coast with wife and baby as we were exhausted full time workers and broke. First night around 1 am our daughter began projectile vomiting over the entire bed including us.  I remember just staring at my wife in shock with this crud (it was warm) everywhere and instead of crying or saying choice words we began that laughter you can only do when you go beyond the limit of your emotions ….Crazy stuff but you get through.   

I think I counted that happening to me 4 times last week with my daughter. The best one was I was sitting across from her trying to get her to drink. She took a couple sips and then just started saying “dad, dad.” I asked her what was wrong and leaned forward, and it was too late!

[gusky]

I can't help but notice that the EPS has been fairly consistently trending upward in snow amounts...

And GEFS is just somewhat comical.

[gusky]

Unfortunately this appears to be a more realistic solution. Could still produce some nice snow in places, and more potential headed into the later part of the week!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I think I counted that happening to me 4 times last week with my daughter. The best one was I was sitting across from her trying to get her to drink. She took a couple sips and then just started saying “dad, dad.” I asked her what was wrong and leaned forward, and it was too late!

These are the best times though.  All these memories will be very special when they grow up and move out. My son is 25 and he's still my baby boy. 

[SnowPlz]

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Still looking like a good shot at some snow beginning Tuesday afternoon for many places. Still a 50% chance for greater than 1 inch if you take a blend of all models.  Probably will be a thing where it starts as a light mix and switches to snow with the heavy precip and we get some wet bulb going.  

[Cold Snap]

12z Euro has the low farther south but a bit stronger.

[Cold Snap]

4 minutes ago, SnowPlz said:

Looks like about 6 inches for me!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, SnowPlz said:

Models have been very consistent in showing heavy snow in this general area. This map shows over a foot here. Over here if we get the snow going it will not transition to rain before front passage and this is why it's showing so much for the canal. In this situation we are sheltered from sw flow because of Olympics so we get hammered.  But say where Tim is he gets slammed with sw flow so even though he is higher elevation he will probably get less or even no snow. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

12z Euro looking better for the Puget Sound. 

[Gummy]

Precip rates are pretty high, I assume this is a case of the models banking on convergence and wet bulb cooling to hit those numbers?  That always has a high bust potential.  The past few years I recall both the Euro and GFS showing high snow amounts 48 hours out and getting just cold rain on at least one occasion.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Any continued move to the south and it could end up for snowy.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

12z Euro looking better for the Puget Sound. 

Low bombs so far offshore now that its actually becoming more favorable with east wind rather than a south wind.

[lowlandsnow]

12z NAM has a few inches for Seattle