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November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

Iceresistance

By Iceresistance
in West of the Rockies

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Posted by smerfylicious,

A nice day for a newborn. Here's bellevue from a delivery room. I'll keep yall posted

Congrats!!!

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Posted by SouthHillJimmy,

Long time lurker here, decided to make an account and interact. This week will definitely be one hell of a ride!

Welcome Jimmy!

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Meatyorologist Grand Master

Meatyorologist

Posted
Posted
Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

What a weird pattern. 

Feb 2021

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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smerfylicious
smerfylicious

A nice day for a newborn. Here's bellevue from a delivery room. I'll keep yall posted

SilverFallsAndrew
SilverFallsAndrew

Ummm we had our first freeze… School delay, and 1.5” of snow. 

MossMan
MossMan

Phantom snow has begun! 

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MossMan Grand Master

MossMan

Posted
Posted

Remember what the alternative could be…Wondering how many weeks of endless split flow will last…The stuff of nightmares right there! 

  • Like 9

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Requiem Grand Master

Requiem

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

You would need the low to come in much further north. Of course that would screw people to the south...but that's usually how this works.

Here is the 00z Euro 

prateptype_cat_ecmwf.conus.png

 

00z GFS

prateptype_cat.conus.png

 

Pretty remarkably good agreement between the GFS and Euro on the strength and position of this low. 

The GEM has it too but it is much weaker and even further south. 

prateptype.conus.png

 

Given this feature is showing up on all 3 models now and for more than 1 run now, it is starting to get a bit interesting. 

Interestingly EURO shows surface temps 30-32 as precip falls-- would like that trend to continue in future runs. Not that the vast majority of anafront situations don't have very marginal mid-upper 30s temps.

  • Like 6

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

What a weird pattern. 

Blocking is off the charts.  If this continues all winter it's going to be amazing.

  • Like 7

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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SnowPlz Community Regular

SnowPlz

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Anafronts have much less propensity to move 300 miles north or south as a developing low. But 20-30 miles can make a massive difference because if you aren’t under the heavy precip band then you aren’t going to get snow. 

What are some simple things we can do at home to attract the precip band to our area? 

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Cloud Grand Master

Cloud

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Anafronts have much less propensity to move 300 miles north or south as a developing low. But 20-30 miles can make a massive difference because if you aren’t under the heavy precip band then you aren’t going to get snow. 

Gonna be a fun ride with the anafronts. Break hearts for some, rejoice for others! 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Remember what the alternative could be…Wondering how many weeks of endless split flow will last…The stuff of nightmares right there! 

I'm fine right now.

  • Like 4

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Remember what the alternative could be…Wondering how many weeks of endless split flow will last…The stuff of nightmares right there! 

Good perspective my man. 

  • Like 5

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

Wasn’t that an anafront in late January 2008 that gave the Eugene area several inches of slop? I know we got crushed up here with that one too. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

Flash freeze at the end of the run from SEA northward.  Spilling south very fast too.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

I think I need one of those model riding chairs.

  • Like 9

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Check this out.... Ready?

5 Day Rainfall totals

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

But WAIT.... There's MORE!

10 Day Rainfall totals :o

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

Hard to buy with so much blocking.  Could happen though.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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TacomaWx Grand Master

TacomaWx

Posted
Posted
Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

Check this out.... Ready?

5 Day Rainfall totals

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

But WAIT.... There's MORE!

10 Day Rainfall totals :o

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

Pretty strong La Niña vibes for the last month or so besides the big ridging in mid November. This is definitely some drought busting stuff with potential for snow too! 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
Just now, Snownerd3000 said:

Here's what we know. There has been very little model constancy run to run. Feels like this coming pattern change will through some curve balls 

I'd be surprised if most us aren't happy by Dec 15 or so.

  • Like 4

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Dave Veteran

Dave

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

If I recall Eugene had an anafront that produced 7-8 inches of snow very late in the season, maybe March 2012? 

Both of those happened. Jan 2008 was a bit elevation based though. I got 8 inches at 750' but the valley floor only got 3-4".

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