Weather101 Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 It's over.At least we got January 1 Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Wasn't exactly an inspiring write up in the snow dept.,Felton always runs very conservative when it comes to snow...which I guess is smart...but doesn't inspire us weenies though. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 I'm here! sorta Through HR 42 block stronger than previous runs, offshore ridge weaker. Hope this run handles those cut-off lows northwest of Hawaii differently. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Day 2 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016120112/048/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 I noticed the Heat Island Effect for SeaTac has a much greater effect on the lower the temps hence why lows are affected more than highs typically. This morning SeaTac shows 42 for the low and although I don't have a temp sensor the small puddles this morning had ice on top and ice on the car to the point I had to pour water over the door to open it. Big difference over such a short distance within the city of Seattle.Where do you live? I live out in BonneyLake and I was not even close to freezing with a low of 41... Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Not liking the kona low http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016120112/gfs_z500_mslp_npac_9.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 29.6F here this morning. Starting off December with the coldest morning of the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Where do you live? I live out in BonneyLake and I was not even close to freezing with a low of 41...Ballard/Greenwood area only about 3-4 miles north of downtown Seattle. I am in a bit of small valley between two small hills about 250ft above sea level so that might help keep the cold in. It was clear last night and early morning as well before the sun came up. Edit: I see a couple stations near me on the wundermap show some places got down to 34-35 last night so must be a small microclimate thing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Sundays system is looking a little colder with more cold air coming off Alaska than previous few runs 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Day 3 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016120112/072/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Yuck .HR 84 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016120112/gfs_z500_mslp_npac_15.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Horrific. Someone go get the keys to the vomitorium. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Eh, 12z GFS looks to be following 06z's lead with the westward trend of the initial anticyclonic breaker, hence a more progressive downstream solution.. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 This is pretty bad actually out 84 hours. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Day 4 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016120112/096/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Well fellas we tried. Maybe January. I might get an inch or two of snow Monday morning if I'm lucky Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Onto the EURO....and GEM. I will say I hate seeing this consistent trend now with the GFS and hoping we don't see this on other runs or Ensembles warming any before day 10. We still get chilly, but doesn't look promising for snow if this solution wins out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Day 5 is different. We have a full merge with Alaskan and Aleutian block http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016120112/120/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Complex pattern. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Day 5 is different. We have a full merge with Alaskan and Aleutian block http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016120112/120/500h_anom.na.pngLook at that small ULL vort over the Aleutians, right underneath the block. That vort will try to phase with the kona low and ignite further offshore vorticity.. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Complex pattern.Hot take Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catnip Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 BC is colder so far on this run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 The life of a weather geek and model rider. The trials and tribulations. Ups and downs. Highs and lows. Exuberance and anguish. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Complex pattern.Extremely Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Pics for the less fortunate?http://i.imgur.com/DSP0YEj.jpg http://i.imgur.com/wCEAdz2.jpg http://i.imgur.com/FAPYNkS.jpg Taken the same day you asked if I had pics. I originally said no, but then ended up making a run into Reardan for some stuff. Reardan actually did pretty well. About 3" fell there. Was 27 degrees when I drove through, freezing fog wrapped the trees making everything look that much cooler. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Looks ok Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Well it took till December, but I finally got my first frost this morning. Mostly on the roofs and the open spots of grass, but it was nice to see some white on the ground for the first time in probably ~8 months. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 First frost of the season here in Victoria, below freezing in low lying areas and all the roof tops are covered. This event is going to be a quick hitter no doubt; the models aren't looking as good for the transition in, but the overrunning event has looked nice on the more recent runs. Hopefully the outflow will kick in a bit earlier, it was pushed back to late Monday on the 6z. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Supposedly GFS wants to give PDX 2-4" of snow..... Not believing it. Westerly 850mb flow is not good for snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 BC is colder so far on this run.No big changes up here. Still looks like a big overrunning snowfall. The Monday snow is a question mark IMO. Might have to wait for the outflow before everyone is cold enough for sticking snow, and timing that is tough. A showery airmass with 925mb temps of -1C and a south wind sounds like 35F mixed precip to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chopper 918 Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 All eyes on the ECMWF. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catnip Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 No big changes up here. Still looks like a big overrunning snowfall. The Monday snow is a question mark IMO. Might have to wait for the outflow before everyone is cold enough for sticking snow, and timing that is tough. A showery airmass with 925mb temps of -1C and a south wind sounds like 35F mixed precip to me. Sorry, should have specified. I was referring more to north/central. It would be nice to get something on Monday, at least it will stick around for a day or two. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 No big changes up here. Still looks like a big overrunning snowfall. The Monday snow is a question mark IMO. Might have to wait for the outflow before everyone is cold enough for sticking snow, and timing that is tough. A showery airmass with 925mb temps of -1C and a south wind sounds like 35F mixed precip to me. Our biggest snows of the year come from overrunning events, unfortunately. Remember the ice bombs on the Golden Ears bridge? That was crazy. The ice was damaging the cars windows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Bring November back. Mild temperatures, better model runs. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 12z GEM day 3. No Kona Low YET http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016120112/072/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Nice morning on Grouse Mountain today:http://i.imgur.com/XeJPxna.png 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Hr 84 http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016120112/084/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catnip Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Our biggest snows of the year come from overrunning events, unfortunately. Remember the ice bombs on the Golden Ears bridge? That was crazy. The ice was damaging the cars windows. Have they had a chance to test the new system they installed to prevent that? I don't think we have had much snow since that episode. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 HR 90 - Looks much better than the GFS so far http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016120112/090/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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