January 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[HighlandExperience]

I'm not sure what you are seeing.

 

Concerned the deformation band will set up to your North?

 

The radar looks more active than I was expecting overall.

Plus lots of temps just below freezing in king county

[Front Ranger]

It's a double feature...repeats

 

Moisture is so close now, will stay up just to see if it falls as snow or cold rain

Good chance it starts as cold rain or mix many places until heavier/steadier precip drags snow level to the surface.

[TT-SEA]

Good chance it starts as cold rain or mix many places until heavier/steadier precip drags snow level to the surface.

 

 

All the WSDOT cams from Olympia to Tacoma are out.   Perfect timing.

[HighlandExperience]

All the WSDOT cams from Olympia to Tacoma are out. Perfect timing.

I found that odd as well.

[Bryant]

OK Bryant.

 

I have been talking about the deformation zone being north of the models for 2 days now. Do I need to put that in every post for you? Or maybe just make an observation about what is happening now?

 

STFU.

Touchy are we?

[Blizzard777]

I would say the IR satellite and the the regional radar (not just SEA) look better than expected overall at this point.    This was supposed to be a morning event over here.

Haha, it's morning now

[Blizzard777]

31.5 here and the mixed bag is moving across the Tacoma flats

[Timmy Supercell]

3.00" for the midnight measurement. A little mediocre for snowfall 01/09. But regardless I still expect January to be epic for monthly snowfall totals here even if the rest of the month goes at a regular pace.

 

27.15" now for January 2017.

[Jbolin]

All the WSDOT cams from Olympia to Tacoma are out.   Perfect timing.

So they're blacking out the cameras now for snow as well as Obama?

[GHweatherChris]

I'm not sure what you are seeing.

 

Concerned the deformation band will set up to your North?

 

The radar looks more active than I was expecting overall.

Not looking good for me now, oh well, getting used to it.

[bainbridgekid]

Not looking good for me now, oh well, getting used to it.

Just not sure I agree.

 

Looks like a pretty good band getting organized a bit South of you heading your way.

[Jbolin]

Yeah radar and satellite definitely looks better than what I thought they would at this time.

 

I'm trying to look up the mesoscale analysis to see what 850/925 temps are right now but it's being weird on my phone and won't pull up. At any rate, surface temps in the low to mids 30 is encouraging as well. I'm already at 30 degrees here.

925's look to be right about 0C

 

850's are right around -3C to -4

 

Precip type also being shown as a (7) SN

[HighlandExperience]

Yeah radar and satellite definitely looks better than what I thought they would at this time.

 

I'm trying to look up the mesoscale analysis to see what 850/925 temps are right now but it's being weird on my phone and won't pull up. At any rate, surface temps in the low to mids 30 is encouraging as well. I'm already at 30 degrees here.

850 temps

[Blizzard777]

Wunderground website offline too, just lost my radar

[bainbridgekid]

Wunderground website offline too, just lost my radar

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/weather/radar.shtml

 

Best radar around.

[Bryant]

Best of luck to all in the puget sound region, you deserve it

[Blizzard777]

Temp. Jumped to 33

Still no precipitation falling

Shows moisture over me

 

Edit: mostly rain but some snow mixed in at this point

Goodnight all

[DareDuck]

Just glad Klamath Falls and Bend are finally scoring!

I know...it's been a whole 8 hours since it snowed. Over 2" in the last 3 hours.

[DareDuck]

Now I have real standards for snow.

Indeed. Based on what I've heard from long time locals this is a once in a 25/30 year winter.

[Perturbed Member]

06z NAM continues the trend of more precip at PDX. Starting  to show some pretty significant totals on  the west side.

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2017011006/nam3km_asnow_nwus_49.png

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2017011006/namconus_asnow_nwus_17.png

[Timmy]

35 with moderate rain here. Fun night.

Temp jumped above freezing here lots of non-sticking snow has fallen, looks like probably a great night to be 2000' or higher.

[Weather101]

I hope Cowboys and the Hawks can meet up in the playoffs !!!

 

32F here

[The Swamp]

Rained here a bit ago, just as I said it would.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Just as I said yesterday temperatures will be a problem here for snow and it is. All rain, all night. Lol!!! Oh well.

[MossMan]

Raining! 34 degrees hahahahahHha I'm going to cry.

[snow maniac]

my area has been showing snow on the radar all morning but all I see is rain.

[FroYoBro]

The radar shows that the moisture got pretty far north up in Washington. It isn't cold enough? Everyone just seeing rain? 

[GHweatherChris]

Zero, zilch, nada!!

 

Bust!!!

[The Swamp]

No one wanted to listen to me last night.

[The Swamp]

Make sure the schools are delayed for two hours. We hardly ever see rain! Hahahahahaha!

[GHweatherChris]

So we get no snow, but the new Alaska to our south will most likely get hit again this week, so weird.

[GHweatherChris]

Not looking good for me now, oh well, getting used to it.

As I said.

[TT-SEA]

Make sure the schools are delayed for two hours. We hardly ever see rain! Hahahahahaha!

 

 

Same here... 2 hours late.   Its 32.5 here with just a dusting of snow and 35 with light rain in the valley and now they delay school.  

[crf450ish]

[The Swamp]

[HighlandExperience]

No one wanted to listen to me last night.

How sad. Lots of cold rain again!

[crf450ish]

I just signed you up for a job at the Seattle Office of the NWS. Can you be wrong most of the time and then cook the book on temperatures so it looks like global warming? You're hired.

Whatever it takes to make it snow there for you poor swampers....

 

 

In other news....

 

 

Spotless Days

Current Stretch: 6 days

2017 total: 8 days (89%)

2016 total: 32 days (9%) 

2015 total: 0 days (0%) 

2014 total: 1 day (

2013 total: 0 days (0%)

2012 total: 0 days (0%)

2011 total: 2 days (

2010 total: 51 days (14%)

2009 total: 260 days (71%)

Updated 10 Jan 2017          

 

 

 

 (Credit: http://www.spaceweather.com)  

[Front Ranger]

The vast majority of the concern was about precip making it far enough north, not temps. Same goes for the NWS.

 

Bust, but not for the reason most feared. The precip did make it further north than was being progged. 

 

D**n...just 1-2 degrees too warm. So many marginal situations this year, and so few have broken right for many of you. 

[HighlandExperience]

The vast majority of the concern was about precip making it far enough north, not temps. Same goes for the NWS.

 

Bust, but not for the reason most feared. The precip did make it further north than was being progged.

D**n...just 1-2 degrees too warm. So many marginal situations this year, and so few have broken right for many of you.

The amazing thing is this system has plenty of precip. If this was snow we would easily be talking about a couple inches. Radar looking quite healthy this morning!

 

33 degrees and heavy rain. Wow

[Front Ranger]

The amazing thing is this system has plenty of precip. If this was snow we would easily be talking about a couple inches. Radar looking quite healthy this morning!

 

33 degrees and heavy rain. Wow

 

Yeah, this system on Saturday would have done the trick. Real bummer.

 

Only hope now is that somehow some precip can stick around as cold air filters down from the north today. Someone may still get a little if a CZ forms as atmosphere cools just a bit.