Front Ranger Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Getting reports of snow in Tacoma. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 The bleeding has stopped...we have refroze at my house! Have about a half inch left on the ground. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Honesty i feel there will be many changes to the forecast this week for the weekend period. Cerious to see if there are any more wild swings tonight on the 00z.A continuation of the present cooling trend would be nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Wow. Who put together the new 7-day? That is one bullish forecast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Wow. Who put together the new 7-day? That is one bullish forecast. Mark did. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Mark said he'll blog about it later. He is buying what the EURO is selling... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Hard to believe the high temp in Barrow, AK today was 36F and they're only sitting at 32F now. Meanwhile it's 10F in Anchorage and 4F in Fairbanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Mark did.Warm biased mofo... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 FYI Mark Nelson saying next weekend looks a lot like the January 2004 event. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 My Pryenees LOVES the snow 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Wow. Who put together the new 7-day? That is one bullish forecast. What's so bullish about it?? Looks very Euro'ish, little warmer actually. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 What's so bullish about it??Looks colder than I would expect. Especially given the recent model madness. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goducks09 Posted January 2, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 FYI Mark Nelson saying next weekend looks a lot like the January 2004 event. We had snow on the ground with the arctic front that year tho... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Right now, Mark is the only met that has been good to great this year. NWS is a steaming pile of transplants. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 FYI Mark Nelson saying next weekend looks a lot like the January 2004 event.Funny, I was thinking earlier today how with the SW flow and lows staying offshore it might be hard to scour out the lowest levels for quite awhile. Yuck. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Right now, Mark is the only met that has been good to great this year. NWS is a steaming pile of transplants.U mad bro? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Funny, I was thinking earlier today how with the SW flow and lows staying offshore it might be hard to scour out the lowest levels for quite awhile. Yuck. I remember several 32/29, 33/31/34/32 type days after the main show in the Central Valley, full of the sounds of limbs snapping all night... I will never forget seeing heavy snow transition to heavy rain in about 15 minutes with the temp hanging tough at 19 degrees. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 U mad bro?I just now caught that...good god I am lacking sleep. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 16 at PDX is pretty hard for me to wrap my head and/or pipes around at this point. This feels like a low 20s at best event. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 I just now caught that...good god I am lacking sleep.I was making sure it was really him. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 16 at PDX is pretty hard for me to wrap my head and/or pipes around at this point. This feels like a low 20s at best event.At this point he's saying 16 with the wind and without precip. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 At this point he's saying 16 with the wind and without precip.Balls of steel. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Balls of steel.Balls of WRONG. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Funny, I was thinking earlier today how with the SW flow and lows staying offshore it might be hard to scour out the lowest levels for quite awhile. Yuck. Yep, I think we are destined for some ZR with this sooner or later. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Balls of WRONG.Matt vs Mark smackdown. This should be pay per view only. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Yep, I think we are destined for some ZR with this sooner or later.Pretty easy call. The only way we avoid that is with overrunning from the northwest. Doesn't look likely. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Matt vs Mark smackdown. This should be pay per view only.We'll hurl Hadley Cells at each other to the death at the Stampede Pass city hall. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Gradients have turned to offshore. Bring on the cold temperatures. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Looking snowy at I5 on Woodburn under that narrow but intense band. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Balls of WRONG. Game on! I forecasted a low of 14 (not happening now!) in the contest before the "model collapse of 2016" but I think they still have a shot of getting down to as low as 16-17 with some decoupling help possibly on Wednesday/Thursday. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Pretty easy call. The only way we avoid that is with overrunning from the northwest. Doesn't look likely. Yeah I think all models agree with the south stream taking control by the end of the week, I think the debate over north vs south is maybe over for that time period. I'm pretty curious to see if there will be anymore wild swings on the 00z suite though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 How cold were the 850mb temps over PDX and SEA for the Jan. 2004 event? That was a colder airmass if I remember correctly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 How cold were the 850mb temps over PDX and SEA for the Jan. 2004 event? That was a colder airmass if I remember correctly.About -10c. But that event was absolute gold from a low level perspective. The basin was an absolute ice box. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Looks like The Dalles may dip below freezing before too long... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Reports of light snow in south king county Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 It was sort of obvious that the models had backed off on the depth and speed of the cold air. Just have to accept it and not let yourself believe it will work out differently. Its been the same thing with each cold air intrusion this year so that was good indication that it would happen again.I always like to look at surface obs upstream from Hope BC in the hours leading up to the forecast movement of an arctic front. It was pretty apparent last night that there was going to be no discernible temperature drop with the front, not what most people would consider to be a true Arctic front. It was still only 32F at lillooet BC at 4am, well after the winds had shifted northerly. If it was in the lower teens in places like Lytton or Lillooet things would have felt much different today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Looks like The Dalles may dip below freezing before too long... Pendleton is all the way down to 30. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Reports of light snow in south king county Is there a 'Panic Its Snowing in Seattle' Twitter feed? Where do see all these "reports"? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Is there a 'Panic Its Snowing in Seattle' Twitter feed? Where do see all these "reports"? Same place as the "Panic Because the Snow is Melting" blog. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 2, 2017 Report Share Posted January 2, 2017 Same place as the "Panic Because the Snow is Melting" blog. I hate snow melting before a cold period. Almost as much as low cloud days in the summer! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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