Deweydog Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Feels a bit like 2005. Cool Sep 15-Oct 15 period transitioned to a mild soup right around this time. Lasted a couple weeks.12-1-05 redux on the way??? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Feels like the Huskies are going to follow the Cougs lead and blow a game they should win. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 12-1-05 redux on the way???One can hope! A fake WSW is more fun than no WSW at all..... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Feels a bit like 2005. Cool Sep 15-Oct 15 period transitioned to a mild soup right around this time. Lasted a couple weeks.I’ll take a pass on that winter. Lame. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Feels a bit like 2005. Cool Sep 15-Oct 15 period transitioned to a mild soup right around this time. Lasted a couple weeks.Maybe a little. Although the first half of that October was milder overall than this one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Maybe a little. Although the first half of that October was milder overall than this one.Cooling climate? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 I’ll take a pass on that winter. Lame.That January was epic. Just not in the right direction... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 That January was epic. Just not in the right direction...#55alive! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 That January was epic. Just not in the right direction...That was one warm Christmas too. 60 on Christmas Eve here, tied for the warmest December day ever. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 #55alive! I can't figure out what that means. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 I can't figure out what that means. 55 straight positive anomalies at PDX. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted October 15, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 00Z GFS says VancouverIslandSouth will have no more drought by Halloween. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 55 straight positive anomalies at PDX.Oh yeah. I knew that once. I zeroed in on the 50 day run without a freeze and couldn’t figure out the remainder. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 00Z GFS says VancouverIslandSouth will have no more drought by Halloween.Grabbed this from your twitter post. http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/F32C88C6-BA6F-4A97-8D3C-EA15D286D406_zpsyiakntuk.jpg 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 00Z GFS says VancouverIslandSouth will have no more drought by Halloween. What about here?? Will the mushrooms sprouting in my sopping wet lawn get enough rain? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Most of NW Oregon may not see rain until Thursday. 00Z ECMWF says you are close to being right. There is a little bit on Tuesday night down there but almost all the action is in BC and WA until Thursday. And for your house it might be Thursday evening. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted October 15, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 00Z NCEP WPC going with 5+" of rain over the next 7 days, maybe only 2+ for VancouverIsland South and western WA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Pretty typical to have the fire hose pointed more north at this juncture. Last October was really unusual in that regard. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 00Z NCEP WPC going with 5+" of rain over the next 7 days, maybe only 2+ for VancouverIsland South and western WA.Euro looks ridiculously wet for BC and NW Washington. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Euro looks ridiculously wet for BC. It is... and dirtier with the ridge later on particularly up there. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Pretty typical to have the fire hose pointed more north at this juncture. Last October was really unusual in that regard. Seems like the entire N. Pac pattern was suppressed last October. The main city in the southern Kuriles (Yuzhno-Kurilsk) located just off the Hokkaido coast set a monthly record low last Oct with 26 degrees. This is a location that averages 56/47 in October with the strong seasonal lag from the East Asian monsoon. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Seems like the entire N. Pac pattern was suppressed last October. The main city in the southern Kuriles (Yuzhno-Kurilsk) located just off the Sapporo coast set a monthly record low last Oct with 26 degrees. This is a location that averages 56/47 in October with the strong seasonal lag from the East Asian monsoon.Followed by a significant period of jet suppression for us a couple months later. Hmm. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 #GooFuS http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/31DD0E2D-C8A3-4753-914A-9D16C70AEF01_zpsdhb5ub0t.jpg Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Not as cold this morning. 39° right now before sunrise. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Not as cold this morning. 39° right now before sunrise. 43 here... but only 35 down in the valley. Colder than I was expecting down there. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 It's 33F at CDA. Weather turns wet in a few days there, Only went up to 41F on Friday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Another low in the 30s at PDX. 35 here with light frost on the cars and rooftops. There appears to be some fog building in now too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Cooling climate?October 2005 held the record for second warmest average October minimum at PDX (49.9) before 2014, 2015 and 2016 came along!! Those were all 50+. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted October 15, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 6Z GFS just slightly wet, 1 foot of rain through the next 7 days for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 GFS now looks like the ECMWF for early next week. Even with the strange cut-off low around AZ and NM it has shown on some recent runs... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 GFS now looks like the ECMWF for early next week. Even with the strange cut-off low around AZ and NM it has shown on some recent runs... Looks like the ECMWF weeklies led the way on the ridge development followed by the EPS and now the GFS. Once again proving the superiority of the ECWMF. Looks like it could get quite torchy out this way as well. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Looks like the ECMWF weeklies led the way on the ridge development followed by the EPS and now the GFS. Once again proving the superiority of the ECWMF. Looks like it could get quite torchy out this way as well.You gonna go out on a limb for warmest October on record? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Looks like the ECMWF weeklies led the way on the ridge development followed by the EPS and now the GFS. Once again proving the superiority of the ECWMF. Looks like it could get quite torchy out this way as well.GFS was way better with snow amounts and the snow level this week than the Euro. The Euro was way too cold and overdone. 1 Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 GFS was way better with snow amounts and the snow level this week than the Euro. The Euro was way too cold and overdone. Euro was way too cold for today and tomorrow down here, as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Looking like we might not actually see much rain the rest of the month south of Chehalis or so. Just dying fronts in OR and southern WA before the big ridge flip. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 12z sure looks warm and ridgy! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 12z sure looks warm and ridgy!Looks like we might only have a couple of “Cool” days left this month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Only down to 44F here last night. So far there haven't been any sub-40F lows, the coldest has been a single 40F night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2017 Report Share Posted October 15, 2017 Euro seems to hint at the potential for a clipper at the end of the run. Seems like a reasonable progression after flat ridging. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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