November 2017 Observations and Discussion

[Niko]

I'm debating to start a thread for next weekends storm system...lol, lets not get ahead of ourselves for Thanksgiving week!  Although, there is a hybrid clipper-like system that week that is showing up on the ensembles for our region.  

The hype is starting to increase I'm guessing!!

[Tom]

@ Tony, RPM trying to paint snow near your burb.  Let me know if you see your first flakes!

 

 

[St Paul Storm]

Good luck to the peeps today hopefully getting the first flakes. Got quite a bit of freezing fog here this morning. Temp of 26F.

[westMJim]

In other news, the sun has been spotless for 11 days.  I think this is the longest stretch this year of being blank.  If anyone has a link to a site where we can see the calendar days of when the sun was blank that would be helpful.  

 

At this time the 11 days are the 2nd longest for this year the longest so far was 15 days back in March. This year has seen the most spotless days(79 so far) since 2009. While not a real calendar you can see the sun spot numbers by date by using the archives pull down on the spaceweather site.

 

http://spaceweather.com/

 

No snow or rain here at this time and the temperature here is now at 36°

 

[Tom]

Snow is rippin' out in the NW burbs...just saw a live shot near Woodstock, IL....

[shakjen]

Heavy wet, big flakes here.

[Snowlover76]

Long range keeps spiking worse and worse for Nebraska. Guess we are in for another garbage winter.

 

Why even bother getting my hopes up anymore?

[Tom]

Heavy wet, big flakes here.

Congrats!  Radar looks good for you guys out there.  This system is taking a near perfect track thru C IL to put us under the defo zone and I believe its a reason why we are seeing this transition.  

[westMJim]

Just started getting a rain/sleet mix here with a temp of 36°

[westMJim]

Well that rain/sleet is now light snow.

[Minny_Weather]

Long range keeps spiking worse and worse for Nebraska. Guess we are in for another garbage winter.

 

Why even bother getting my hopes up anymore?

No kidding. We'll be lucky to see an event of even 4" this year. The primary storm track closest to us is looking to set up to our North with a good Winter for the Dakotas (again).

 

Imagine a family with two kids. Kid #1 gets a bigger, better present 70% of the time. Both kids get horrible presents 20% of the time. Kid #2 gets a bigger, better present 10% of the time. We are kid #2.

[Money]

Can winter gods please give NE an inch of snow soon so these people can stop complaining?

 

Thanks

[Minny_Weather]

12z GFS showing a .05" whopper here late next week while everyone to our East gets shlammered. That's the theme normally.

[Minny_Weather]

Can winter gods please give NE an inch of snow soon so these people can stop complaining?

 

Thanks

Consider that as your punishment for stealing everything from us.

 

I don't care if we get rain, snow, sleet, graupel, or frogs. I would just like some precipitation to show that we are capable of getting moisture before Winter begins. Because right now the primary storm tracks are not even close to us and I see no sign of that changing. And that has been our case for everything except the clipper of Feburary 2015 and Groundhog Day 2016 (which we dry slotted in btw). I am sorry if you don't get what we've been going through for the past 7 (soon to be 8) Winters.

[Hawkeye]

0.43" of rain here overnight... no flakes that I saw.

[Money]

Consider that as your punishment for stealing everything from us.

 

I don't care if we get rain, snow, sleet, graupel, or frogs. I would just like some precipitation to show that we are capable of getting moisture before Winter begins. Because right now the primary storm tracks are not even close to us and I see no sign of that changing. And that has been our case for everything except the clipper of Feburary 2015 and Groundhog Day 2016 (which we dry slotted in btw). I am sorry if you don't get what we've been going through for the past 7 (soon to be 8) Winters.

You can’t change it so I don’t get why you’re complaining when winter didn’t even start yet

 

We’re still 2-3 weeks away

[Minny_Weather]

Storm chances for Tuesday wiped off the board. Oh well, it was a one and done deal for the models anyway.

[Minny_Weather]

You can’t change it so I don’t get why you’re complaining when winter didn’t even start yet

 

We’re still 2-3 weeks away

No Winter hasn't started yet. But, it is easy to see the general patterns going into Winter, and unless there is a drastic change in our favor, which would require pigs flying, we are going to be slotted again all Winter in favor of our North and East. Same story as the past 7 years. Capiche?

[Minny_Weather]

Friend near Clinton, IA reported snow on the ground. He's not reliable 100% of the time so I'm not sure if that's really the case or not.

 

Edit: Okay, he sent a picture. There is about a half inch on the ground there.

[hlcater]

There's a complaining thread.

[Tom]

Those who missed out on the lake snows earlier this week, now getting a #TasteofWinter....

 

[jaster220]

Congrats!  Radar looks good for you guys out there.  This system is taking a near perfect track thru C IL to put us under the defo zone and I believe its a reason why we are seeing this transition.

 

Awesome! Maybe the RGEM was right after all??

[Minny_Weather]

There's a complaining thread.

It's not just for Nebraskans....

 

[Minny_Weather]

Awesome Tom! Is that your first accumulation of the season?

[Minny_Weather]

GFS douses MI on its run this weekend. Maybe some of that falling as snow in the fingers & U.P.

[Iowawx]

This sucks, snowing hard in Davenport IA only 59 miles to my east. Combined with the fact Chicago has already seen accumulating snow, it seems Illinois in recent years has been the place to see major snow storms. Based on models, I am starting to think I may not see my first snowfall until December. 

[james1976]

I had a few flakes last night and then it switched to cold rain. Ground was wet when i got up this morning.

[Tom]

Awesome Tom! Is that your first accumulation of the season?

That pic is from Dixon, IL...I had my first accumulations during the LES event.  Here are those pics...nothing crazy, but first official measurable snows...

 

Edit: Pics taken on 11/10/17

[Tom]

Based on what I'm seeing per GEFS strat evolution by months end, Canada is going to be fully loaded with brutal, frigid Arctic air that sets the stage for some wicked possibilities in the lower 48.

[bud2380]

Nothing good for Iowa on The gfs for the foreseeable future. Next Friday’s system will be a significant rain maker it looks like for most areas. We don’t typically see significant snow in eastern Iowa anyway until December. I wish it would warm up though for the rest of the month. 50s would be nice

[Jaycee]

There's a complaining thread.

Yeah we all know about it too, so stop "complaining" that were not using it.

 

Part of storm tracking as a snow lover includes being disappointed right? I don't see a problem with expressing that. The trends are obviously terrible for the Plains, so what're we supposed to say?

[Minny_Weather]

Yeah we all know about it too, so stop "complaining" that were not using it.

 

Part of storm tracking as a snow lover includes being dissapointed right? I don't see a problem with expressing that. The trends are obviously terrible for the Plains, so what're we supposed to say?

"It's obvious that this is going to be a horrible year for us because we're used to it, but it's okay, we'll pretend like this year will be a good year while another 2013-14 scenario unfolds!"

 

Now, STOP COMPLAINING!!1!1!1!!!!2

[Niko]

Currently 37F and dreary outside.Some light snow expected tanite w little , if any accumulations.

[Minny_Weather]

Our cold spell which started on 10/27 and finally ended yesterday resulted in all but 2 days being below normal (10/29 and 11/4 were slightly above). I'll take this week of late October weather. Cold had better get its act together and come and stay here by Thanksgiving, though. I don't want my family from Houston to be comfortable when they're here.

[Niko]

Good luck to the peeps today hopefully getting the first flakes. Got quite a bit of freezing fog here this morning. Temp of 26F.

I find freezing fog to be fascinating.

[OKwx2k4]

Our cold spell which started on 10/27 and finally ended yesterday resulted in all but 2 days being below normal (10/29 and 11/4 were slightly above). I'll take this week of late October weather. Cold had better get its act together and come and stay here by Thanksgiving, though. I don't want my family from Houston to be comfortable when they're here.

Post of the day.

[Niko]

Raining currently w temps holding @ 37F. Rain/snow line edging closer to my area.

[james1976]

Local met now only has 1 day this week with above normal temps. And that is only by a couple degrees. Rest of the week BN and into the weekend as well. Said Friday will be an interesting day for E IA.

[Niko]

Getting a mix now w rain/snow. Temp @ 36F.

[jaster220]

Had brief ice mixed with rain about 2:30, raw raw day, classic late autumn early winter wx!