Phil Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 You did say we were going to be in agony these next 4 weeks.Yeah, the pattern looks to remain very hostile through the first half of December, in my opinion. Signs of improvement should start manifesting towards the winter solstice or just afterwards, followed by a massive NPAC anticyclone/-PNA during January, which should plunge much of Northwest North America into the freezer. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 "Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 Haha I would take the ice out of the animal troughs and throw it on the deck to help cool the surface so it would stick. Hahaha Everyone on here is a true blue weather nut!! My mom stops by my repair shop and some times I may be looking at the models and she just shakes her head and smiles. I used to fall asleep to the weather radio under my pillow haha. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 KOLD front.Nice to see a little more kool sneak in before the torch. Daddy will take what he can get. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest El nina Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 Haha I would take the ice out of the animal troughs and throw it on the deck to help cool the surface so it would stick. One day it was snowing but not sticking so I got some rags and started drying off the deck so it'd stick. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 One day it was snowing but not sticking so I got some rags and started drying off the deck so it'd stick. We are all insane. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 One day it was snowing but not sticking so I got some rags and started drying off the deck so it'd stick.Hahahahah Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 I would put a metal pie pan in the freezer then set it outside to see how much snow piled up on it. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 Nice day. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 Nice day. Meh. If all of winter is exactly like this then I'm going to be so upset. This is really frustrating. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMan101 Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 Nice day.Saturday was technically nicer, despite the cold anomalies. The mountains were out! But today has been decent too. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 When I was a kid our house had a huge wrap around uncovered deck so I would shovel all the snow to one spot in front of our huge living room windows and make one ginormous pile of snow so I could look at it long after it would warm up. I’m sure my parents loved that. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 I used to make it snow by going up on the roof and throwing flour off it. Sometimes coke. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 20, 2017 Author Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 It's been raining all day since yesterday. More than 2" of rain since yesterday. So nice! (sarcasm) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 Haha I would take the ice out of the animal troughs and throw it on the deck to help cool the surface so it would stick. I did something similar. I crushed up a bunch of ice and scattered it on the porch to try to get the snow to stick better! Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 Meh. If all of winter is exactly like this then I'm going to be so upset. This is really frustrating.It won't be 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 When I was a kid our house had a huge wrap around uncovered deck so I would shovel all the snow to one spot in front of our huge living room windows and make one ginormous pile of snow so I could look at it long after it would warm up. I’m sure my parents loved that. Did that more than a few times! In fact I would create the pile in a shady area. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 18z! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 CFS backing off on December, but ballz to the wallz in January... 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 Yikes, that mountain snow pattern early next week being watered down even more... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 It won't beThat dude really needs to breathe into a bag or something... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest El nina Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 I would freeze a snowball and then replace it after the next snowfall. Worked well until that 5 year snow drought in the late 90s early 2000s... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 18z! If nothing else, the timing of the brief trough next week continues to move up. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 I use too freeze my snowballs and throw them at people at school Frozen snowballs can do some serious damage. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted November 20, 2017 Report Share Posted November 20, 2017 18z! <_> Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 21, 2017 Report Share Posted November 21, 2017 18z!I keep falling for this!!!!!! And I will probably continue to do so!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2017 Report Share Posted November 21, 2017 Before we look for the prospects for potential blocking/arctic air, in the day 4-8 period we need to look at the very real threat at a southerly wind event and possibly a significant regional wind storm. I've noticed a few runs of the ECMWF, GEM, and GFS have tinkered with this idea. Nice trough offshore. Additionally the exit jet looks fairly healthy 140-150kts with good jet support for continued strengthening all the way to the WA coast. The upper level pattern will be fairly conducive with a deep trough offshore and fairly strong jet streak rounding the base of the trough. Models will iron out the finer details in the coming days, but they have been very consistent with the overall 500mb pattern from the Coast to 150 W. We shall see... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 21, 2017 Report Share Posted November 21, 2017 The ECMWF are developing a mammoth -EPO/-NAM signal for the month of January. Pretty far out there, but it's an unusually strong signal, all else considered there. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 "Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2017 Report Share Posted November 21, 2017 While we all wait for the inevitable snowmaggedon, I found a site that has archived NWS AFDs and decided to look through some from December 2008 - what a time to be alive! Just put in the 6 character PIL (AFDSEW), the date range, and relive the joy. http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/#This is awesome! Thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted November 21, 2017 Report Share Posted November 21, 2017 I use too freeze my snowballs and throw them at people at school When I was a little boy I used to pee in my super soaker and squirt the butthead teenager neighbor kid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 21, 2017 Report Share Posted November 21, 2017 When I was a little boy I used to pee in my super soaker and squirt the butthead teenager neighbor kid.When I was a boy I used to burn things, wet the bed and torture small animals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 21, 2017 Report Share Posted November 21, 2017 Arrgh. https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity/the-kp-index Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 "Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 21, 2017 Report Share Posted November 21, 2017 While we all wait for the inevitable snowmaggedon, I found a site that has archived NWS AFDs and decided to look through some from December 2008 - what a time to be alive! Just put in the 6 character PIL (AFDSEW), the date range, and relive the joy. http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/#I’m a major nerd and saved all of the SWS’s and warnings from 2008...here is the first SWS from Dec 8th 2008... SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA315 PM PST MON DEC 8 2008SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-EVERETT AND VICINITY-SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-TACOMA AREA-ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-HOOD CANAL AREA-LOWER CHEHALIS VALLEY AREA-OLYMPICS-EASTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-WESTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-NORTH COAST-CENTRAL COAST-WEST SLOPES NORTHERN CASCADES AND PASSES-WEST SLOPES CENTRAL CASCADES AND PASSES-315 PM PST MON DEC 8 2008 ...MUCH COLDER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND... A MAJOR CHANGE WILL OCCUR IN THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN NEAR THE END OF THIS WEEK...BRINGING MUCH COLDER WEATHER TO WESTERN WASHINGTON OVER THE WEEKEND. THE TRANSITION WILL GET UNDERWAY FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT AND ITS UPPER TROUGH SWING SOUTHEAST FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT...COLDER AIR WILL MOVE FROM SOUTHWEST CANADA INTO WESTERN WASHINGTON OVER THE WEEKEND. WE CAN EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO FALL BELOW FREEZING...AT LEAST DURING THE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS...ACROSS MOST OF WESTERN WASHINGTON THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. PEOPLE SHOULD BE READY FOR WEATHER THAT IS COLD ENOUGH TO CAUSE ICY ROADS...BURST OUTDOOR PIPES...AND ENDANGER PETS. THE TROUGH WILL BRING SOME MUCH NEEDED SNOW TO THE CASCADES AND OLYMPIC MOUNTAINS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND. THERE IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY OF SNOWFALL ACROSS THE WESTERN WASHINGTON LOWLANDS...PERHAPS AS EARLY AS FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO SAY WITH ANY CONFIDENCE WHETHER OR NOT THIS WILL OCCUR. WESTERN WASHINGTON RESIDENTS SHOULD KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS AS THIS SITUATION UNFOLDS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR VISITING OUR WEB PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE (ALL LOWERCASE).MCDONNALWEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 21, 2017 Report Share Posted November 21, 2017 Arrgh. https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity/the-kp-indexSo far only kp4. Hopefully we don't go any higher. We should be clear of this cloud sometime on the 22nd. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 "Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 21, 2017 Report Share Posted November 21, 2017 So far only kp4. Hopefully we don't go any higher. We should be clear of this cloud sometime on the 22nd.What are the implications? Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 21, 2017 Report Share Posted November 21, 2017 Nicely consistent showers this evening. Refreshing to see more rain on the east slopes. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 26 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, 5/26, 5/27, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest El nina Posted November 21, 2017 Report Share Posted November 21, 2017 What are the implications?No snow this winter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 21, 2017 Report Share Posted November 21, 2017 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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