Grizzcoat Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Baby step for C.IA. I like it. Long ways to go. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 The track of the low goes through central Iowa and then somehow ends up through Chicago? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 I like the direction of where this run went tonight. Just get another 50-100 miles more east southeast and were back in business. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 So the GEM gets it down to 984 in WI.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 GEM at 108 has the first low in SW WI and then look what comes up from Texas... https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2017121800&fh=108&xpos=0&ypos=113 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2017121800&fh=120 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2017121800&fh=126&xpos=0&ypos=96 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Lost the 2nd piece that hit Nebraska nice, that came out separately on Friday on the 12Z run today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 interesting--- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 interesting---gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_21.pngWhat’s it smoking? The low literally goes from Texas to WI in like 18 hours Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 interesting---gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_21.pngWhat the hell. Thats freaking bizarre. Looked like it was going to be good here then it explodes east of here lol. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 WHAT A MESS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Hate to say it but the canadian has probably been the most unreliable model all year. It jumps to all these crazy conclusions from one run to the next one. 1 Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Early call before the UKMET and Euro is that GEM is an outlier. But it does show there is a lot of potential I guess. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 GFS is way weak. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Gfs total snow http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2017121800&fh=120&r=us_mw&dpdt= 18z http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2017121718&fh=126&r=us_mw&dpdt= Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Gfs total snow http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2017121800&fh=120&r=us_mw&dpdt= 18z http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2017121718&fh=126&r=us_mw&dpdt=Man just need another 50-100 miles more south. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Gfs total snow http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2017121800&fh=120&r=us_mw&dpdt= 18z http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2017121718&fh=126&r=us_mw&dpdt=I'm very surprised by these totals from looking at the OP run. wth? Definitely nice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 I'm very surprised by these totals from looking at the OP run. wth? Definitely niceThe low goes due East pretty much once it gets into Iowa and heads for Chicago. Plus there was stronger blocking and colder temps which is a good sign Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Money are you in southern Wisconsin? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Money are you in southern Wisconsin?East-Central like 50 miles south of gb 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Well if the GFS is corrent-- the East Coast gets a nice big rain storm just before Christmas. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 CMC 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Early call before the UKMET and Euro is that GEM is an outlier. But it does show there is a lot of potential I guess.The 12z UK actually had something similar to that did it not? Also the GFS came a tick south. PROGRESS! Still think this is one for MN though. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 There's no way that secondary low with the defo band the CMC is showing will pan out. That seems to be out of left field. It does continue to show the xmas eve storm that the GFS suppresses further south with every run though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Ukie at 96 http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=096 120 http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=096&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=120 992 L just south of MKE at 120 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Ukie at 96 http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=096 120 http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=096&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=120 992 L just south of MKE at 120That's quite a ways south. Things could be getting interesting again. 1 Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Big takeaway from runs so far is all the models get this pretty strong Gfs got it down to 995. CMC down to 984 and ukie down to 992 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Big takeaway from runs so far is all the models get this pretty strong Gfs got it down to 995. CMC down to 984 and ukie down to 992I’d like to see the Euro dig the storm a bit more like the Ukie. Would bode well for NE/IA peeps. Meantime, GEFS showing an uptick in stronger members and a more developed system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 I’d like s see the Euro dig the storm a bit more like the Ukie. Would bode well for NE/IA peeps. Meantime, GEFS showing an uptick in stronger members and a more developed system.Thoughts on the gem? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Thoughts on the gem?Just another option out there I guess at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Local met says gotta watch it closely for E IA and also has 15 for a high xmas eve Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Euro is a good chunk colder through 72 compared to 0z last night. Low is in similar spot Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 EURO is a bit more south tonight as well. lets keep inching south Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Hm Euro tries developing that southern low like gem but it’s farther SE and weaker Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Hm Euro tries developing that southern low like gem but it’s farther SE and weakerIs that the piece that was sitting down in far SE MO? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Euro suppresses the low pretty far Southeast at hour 120. Unfortunately, the cold air stays somewhat separated from the center of the storm. Snow map should be interesting though. Definitely looks like a better track for Iowa and Southern Wisconsin/Chicago: Compare that to the GFS, which took the low (more quickly) through Iowa: Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Is that the piece that was sitting down in far SE MO?Yeah 12z euro was a lot weaker with it. This run it popped a surface low in eastern IL and ended up strengthening a bit into MI Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 I will post some raw #'s here in a little bit after I watch an animation of it on Accu-Wx pro. Concerned there may not be that much precip with the Euro. Feel free to post your local airport id. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 I will post some raw #'s here in a little bit after I watch an animation of it on Accu-Wx pro. Concerned there may not be that much precip with the Euro. Feel free to post your local airport id. I'd love to see O'Hare. I'm here for 2 weeks and just want to see an inch of snow! Seems like a long-shot with this storm though. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Pretty much stayed the same from previous runs-- For many on here this is it at its most intense -- weak sauce really. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 18, 2017 Report Share Posted December 18, 2017 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.