January Weather In the PNW

[Jesse]

63 at Astoria is pretty nutty. Probably another monthly record either approached or surpassed.

 

Expecting PDX to hit 60 or higher later today once the wind switches to southerly.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Good!

Hopefully not like the early Jan prediction

[Phil]

Interesting. Would be great if records went farther back though.

 

As you correctly stated, large regional temperature anomalies obviously can/do occur, regardless of global temperature. My preference for reanalyses that maintain a warmer global temperature anomaly into the 1950s has more to do with the warm Arctic and relatively small Hadley/Walker intensity ratio observed during that time, which requires a warm bi-hemispheric climate regime to maintain.

In other words, the system doesn’t run strong Asian monsoons in conjunction with +AMO/warm Arctic in a cold climate regime. Cooling? Sure, but it must have been warm enough to maintain the positive winter meridional mode and delayed seasonality, and there are firm thresholds for that.

 

We left that regime in the early 1960s. Within the span of one year, actually (1962). Very quick flip.

[Deweydog]

63 at Astoria is pretty nutty. Probably another monthly record either approached or surpassed.

 

Expecting PDX to hit 60 or higher later today once the wind switches to southerly.

I think Astoria's monthly record is 66, maybe 67.

[Jesse]

[Deweydog]

[ShawniganLake]

The mountain snow storm train has commenced on Vancouver Island. Over a foot so far on Mt Washington (the snowier one)

 

https://mountwashington.ca/tube-cam.html

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Only 47 here at work in port orchard.

[ShawniganLake]

44 and raining here.

[Phil]

This is all really interesting. But really I think it’s just a fluke or dumb luck (bad luck?) that we have yet to eclipse January 1953. As Shanigan mentioned, we have had no trouble approaching or blowing away warm records for almost every other month.

 

Especially strange considering how much January has warmed relative to other months. But again it strikes me as nothing more than a noteworthy fluke.

Yeah, even if the 1950s were slightly warmer (globally) than we’ve estimated, it doesn’t come close to statistically explaining the anomaly. Which makes it all the more fascinating.

[Guest happ]

Temperature and snowfall anomalies (relative to date).

 

Lol gulf coast.

 

 

Florida Panhandle had it's third snowfall this winter

[TT-SEA]

56 at SEA and 59 at BLI.

 

Warm... but not shockingly so like AST which is at 64 now.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yeah, even if the 1950s were slightly warmer (globally) than we’ve estimated, it doesn’t come close to statistically explaining the anomaly. Which makes it all the more fascinating.

That month was unbelievably wet. I believe the wettest month on record here.

[ShawniganLake]

56 at SEA and 59 at BLI.

 

Warm... but not shockingly so like AST which is at 64 now.

Downsloping at BLI? It’s 45 with a NE wind at Abbotsford

[Jesse]

What’s amazing is that the record warmth we have seen in spots this week would be cool January days by Southern California standards.

[TT-SEA]

Downsloping at BLI? It’s 45 with a NE wind at Abbotsford

 

SE winds are downsloping at BLI.   

[Phil]

This video is amazing..22*F air blowing over 64*F waters on Pensacola Beach, FL. No filter!

 

https://twitter.com/mikeseidel/status/953652183425220608?s=17

[Deweydog]

This video is amazing..22*F air blowing over 64*F waters on Pensacola Beach, FL.

 

No filter!

 

https://twitter.com/mikeseidel/status/953652183425220608?s=17

That's pretty cool.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I dont know if there is any science behind this but with all the extremes going on in the nation this winter season you would think we may indeed get some of our own. And not talking warm ones!!

[HighlandExperience]

[Deweydog]

What’s amazing is that the record warmth we have seen in spots this week would be cool January days by Southern California standards.

You'd think we were like a thousand miles apart or something.

[BLI snowman]

How cold was January 1950 in the context of those earlier 19th century Januaries, though?

 

In the context of today’s warm climate and the strong trend into +PNA over the last 65 years, I think January 1953 sticks out more-so than January 1950 would, from the perspective of the LIA.

 

I’m not saying January 1950 won’t be repeated at some point (it will), but statistically January 1953 looks like a huge outlier in the context of trends in climate and circulation in general.

For places Seattle-north, Januaries 1862 and perhaps 1916 are about the only serious competition with 1950 since European settlement. Those cold 19th century months were still a few degrees warmer overall, by most accounts.

[HighlandExperience]

What’s amazing is that the record warmth we have seen in spots this week would be cool January days by Southern California standards.

I’d hate living in southern Cali

[BLI snowman]

What’s amazing is that the record warmth we have seen in spots this week would be cool January days by Southern California standards.

Mr. Marine Layer would literally die of frostbite today.

[Deweydog]

I dont know if there is any science behind this but with all the extremes going on in the nation this winter season you would think we may indeed get some of our own. And not talking warm ones!!

No science, just common sense. Chances are there will be some manner of doppelganger in the next several weeks.

 

Or not!!!

[MossMan]

Russian cold!

http://time.com/5104412/extreme-cold-temperatures-yakutia-russia/

[Jesse]

Mr. Marine Layer would literally die of frostbite today.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Russian cold!

http://time.com/5104412/extreme-cold-temperatures-yakutia-russia/

FUKIN A that's cold!! I have been in -25 air not wind chill and even that is pretty amazing how it bites you. 

[Geos]

SEA radar is back up... a day early.  

 

Nice.

Was watching the Vancouver radar just a bit ago.

https://weather.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=WUJ

[Phil]

[weatherfan2012]

Watching North Carolina rack up 5-8” of white powdery bliss this morning is pushing me to the brink.

Since when do La Niñas jackpot the Deep South and screw everyone else? Lol.

what commercial is the beachs and the deep South and southeast coast have much more snow then places further west from here

[HighlandExperience]

FUKIN A that's cold!! I have been in -25 air not wind chill and even that is pretty amazing how it bites you.

We really need a fraction of that on our side of the globe

[Deweydog]

Temps dropping through the 50's at KAST!!!

 

Getting ugly in Eugene...

[TT-SEA]

61 at BLI.  

[MossMan]

Gettin dark out...our dry spell is about to get washed out.

[Geos]

This video is amazing..22*F air blowing over 64*F waters on Pensacola Beach, FL. No filter!

 

https://twitter.com/mikeseidel/status/953652183425220608?s=17

 

That is really wild looking! Wow.

 

55 and raining here now.

[TT-SEA]

Gettin dark out...our dry spell is about to get washed out.

 

Dry spell since early this morning?   

[Dave]

Holy crap it's warm out. EUG showing 64, but at my location it is 69   My car thermometer said 71!

[Dave]

Nice day. Not so boring southern flow.

[ShawniganLake]

18z continues to warm up the pattern in the mid range. It’s nowhere even close to lowland snow thru next Wednesday. First, this weekends chance was washed out. Now next week is looking pretty unlikely.