MossMan Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 The new 00z GFS looks excellent! Cold with plenty of snow chances throughout the run. The 00z ICON came in even colder! Onto the 00z King EURO! Let's go!SCORE!!!!! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 The ensemble is notably colder than the 18z. Wow! 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 1990... Ok, I'll stop. 1990 was a fabulous event that kind of gets overshadowed by 1989. 1988-89, 1989-90, and 1990-91 all had major events. Pretty amazing run. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 You don't see this every day! 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 New Euro Weeklies are...... well....... you be the judge 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 The Ecmwf will be east bound and down.Loaded up and truckin' It's goin' do what they say can't be done Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 New Euro Weeklies are...... well....... you be the judge Maybe this will be the northerly flow dominated spring we are so overdue for. At any rate we might have several opportunities to pick up some snow over the next few weeks. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png Bigtime improvements over the 18z 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 What in the world is Jesse waiting for I wonder? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 What in the world is Jesse waiting for I wonder? He is busy with school and a research project... he will probably be back soon. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 A couple of the top analogs are 1962 and 1955. Pretty good company! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 What in the world is Jesse waiting for I wonder?He has time out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 1990 was a fabulous event that kind of gets overshadowed by 1989. 1988-89, 1989-90, and 1990-91 all had major events. Pretty amazing run. Yeah, after the Feb/March 1989 combo the previous winter, Feb 1990 kinda seemed like small beans, I'm sure. I vaguely remember a little bit of snow with that in Tacoma as an 8 year old kid...the Dec 1990 event made a much larger impression on me, of course. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 30 degrees here. Could get chilly tonight. Nice to see some cold members. Significant shrinkage expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=namer&pkg=z500a&runtime=2018021300&fh=0 http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=500h_anom&rh=2018021300&fh=loop&r=na&dpdt=Thanks this helps. Hope I can read these right. The euro on this too as well as other models? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 A couple of the top analogs are 1962 and 1955. Pretty good company!A lot of years that feature cold at this point tend to have pretty prolonged or recurring patterns like that. Mid February into March is like all or nothing time. Usually dead but occasionally a barrage of cold opportunities. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 He has time out. I think he just wanted to feel missed. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 00z ECMWF Day 2 - block notch further west, Kona low several notches southwesthttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018021300/048/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Day 3 looks better than previous runshttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018021300/072/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Thanks this helps. Hope I can read these right. The euro on this too as well as other models?You're welcome. Yep, all models. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Day 4http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018021300/096/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Day 5http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018021300/120/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 It's a few notches east!! Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Yep the 00z not nearly as good... baby steps backwards out to hour 120. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karl Bonner Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Don't tell me it's goin' east on us again!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Don't tell me it's goin' east on us again!!!It is trying... we shall see. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Day 6http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018021300/144/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Looks cooler and drier than last nights euro at day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 00z tonight 00z last night Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Can’t win em all fellas! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Day 7 mehhttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018021300/168/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
liquidsnow Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Day 7 mehhttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018021300/168/500h_anom.na.pngWell ****.... *gunshot* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 All the precip is done by early Sunday morning on the 00Z ECMWF. Here is total snow from Friday morning through Sunday morning... It actually shows that its sunny and in the mid to upper 30s by Sunday afternoon... and 40s farther south. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Day 7 mehhttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018021300/168/500h_anom.na.pngLooks fine to me. Still plenty of cold air makes it in. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018021300/168/850t.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Day 8 elongated block, not holding or remaining amplified. However, the block axis is good and it's real possible the next run is colder.http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018021300/192/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Day 7 highs... warmer than previous run. Likely because there is no snow on the ground in the lowlands on this run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Day 9http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018021300/216/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Day 8 highs... with system sliding down the coast. Does not come inland any further... sliding straight south and gone by the next frame. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 13, 2018 Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 Day 7 highs... warmer than previous run. Likely because there is no snow on the ground in the lowlands on this run. Looks like we will be getting our boats ready for early summer fun! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 13, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2018 We're f*cked. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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