February Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Poulsbo Snowman]

D****T. Just spilled Dr. Pepper on the couch while watching this event die...

Trying to hide it from my wife with little success. D**n fabric is too dark. Hehe.

[seattleweatherguy]

We got until April 1st to get a good snow

Onto the next event.

[HighlandExperience]

Well winter is done. Sucks we couldn’t have a real overrunning event. Get ready for cold wet spring.

[The Swamp]

We've had a great run.  This winter is a solid B for me.

 

Christmas Eve snow and now the two or three events with snow in the air and 4" the other day.

 

I'm good.

 

Was a great run.

[HighlandExperience]

We've had a great run. This winter is a solid B for me.

 

Christmas Eve snow and now the two or three events with snow in the air and 4" the other day.

 

I'm good.

 

Was a great run.

I’d give it a B-. To much squandered potential

[Blizzard777]

Trying to hide it from my wife with little success. d**n fabric is too dark. Hehe.

 

Understood !

[Jesse]

I’d give it a B-. To much squandered potential

F - - times infinity.

[HighlandExperience]

F - - times infinity.

That’s the spirit

[The Swamp]

I’d give it a B-. To much squandered potential

 

I'm the face of squandered potential if you ask my wife.

 

I know what you mean though.

 

We could still have an over-running event or something major.  I've seem some wicked wet snow events in March that dump a quick 6"'s of slop.

 

You can build a serious snow monster with wet snow.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

We've had a great run.  This winter is a solid B for me.

 

Christmas Eve snow and now the two or three events with snow in the air and 4" the other day.

 

I'm good.

 

Was a great run.

 

For down here I'll go with a C-

 

Missed the Nov event

 

Missed the xmas event

 

But we did get an inch of snow on Feb 21 so it's still way better than 02-03, 14-15, 15-16, 97-98

[Deweydog]

This winter was better than winters where we didn't get any snow, not as good as winters where we got more snow.

[MossMan]

Well winter is done. Sucks we couldn’t have a real overrunning event. Get ready for cold wet spring.

I thought there were like 5 more chances over the next 5 days?

[The Swamp]

This winter was better than winters where we didn't get any snow, not as good as winters where we got more snow.

 

 

We can always count on you for words of wisdom.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

This winter was better than winters where we didn't get any snow, not as good as winters where we got more snow.

Said like an attorney.

[HighlandExperience]

[The Swamp]

There may be five more chances in the near term for some cold rain for most and convergence zone snow.

 

I don't see any arctic intrusions like we just had that would lay down another layer of cold air that an over-running event would create a region wide event though.

[Blizzard777]

Street lamp dancing with flurries currently

Tigard

[MossMan]

Maybe if you read the models rather than just going off what people say, you might know

Arctic Front still grumpy. You need to be more like a happy Frontal Snowsquall!

[TT-SEA]

Definitely snowing per my front door camera... looks like maybe an inch of new snow.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Definitely snowing per my front door camera... looks like maybe an inch of new snow.

It was sunny and 65 there today.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Definitely snowing per my front door camera... looks like maybe an inch of new snow.

100% PNW rain here. Most of the snow is melted and gone now.

[HighlandExperience]

[luvssnow_spokane]

[HighlandExperience]

Sad indeed.

Imagine if this happened a few weeks ago. We’d be getting dumped on. Phil would look like a genius.

[MossMan]

100% PNW rain here. Most of the snow is melted and gone now.

Sad indeed. Still light snow and 31 here. Time to move north!

[Jbolin]

Sad indeed. Still light snow and 31 here. Time to move north!

I hate you 

 

Not really 

[seattleweatherguy]

AFDSEW

 

Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Seattle WA

826 PM PST Fri Feb 23 2018

 

.SYNOPSIS...Cold and unsettled weather will continue through next

week. A weather system will move through the area later today and

tonight with lowland snow transitioning to rain. Another system

will cross the area Saturday night and Sunday with local lowland

snow possible again. There will be a bit of a break on Monday

before more systems arrive in the middle of the week.

 

&&

 

.SHORT TERM...The low level air mass will continue to moderate

tonight as S/SW flow advects warmer air inland. The profiler here

in north Seattle shows a spike in the freezing level up to 500

meters with south flow. The coast has changed over to rain but

still seeing a rain/snow mix in the interior, especially north and

south sound. Seattle is getting shadowed due to westerly flow off

the Olympics. The focus tonight will be on a developing Puget

Sound Convergence Zone that will likely form over Snohomish county

then shift south into King county early Sat morning. Snow levels

are still low enough that areas near the Cascades may see

accumulating snow. Heavy snow is still expected in the Cascades

and passes - Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect. 33

 

Previous discussion...There will be a bit of a break later

Saturday in between weather systems. Yet another cold upper short

wave will drop down from the northwest Saturday night and Sunday

morning. There is enough uncertainty with the details that another

shot of lowland snow cannot be ruled out but, at least for now,

snow levels are expected to be high enough to preclude any

impactful lowland snow accumulations.

 

The mountains will also pick up a quite a bit of snow through

Sunday. High end advisory amounts are expected tonight and

Saturday morning. Another round of heavy snow is possible

Saturday night and Sunday. A winter weather advisory is in effect

for tonight and Saturday morning. A winter storm watch is in

effect for Saturday night and Sunday.

 

It also looks breezy to windy at times the next couple of days.

Winds are expected to remain below advisory levels.

 

Monday will be a relative lull in the wet weather but cool north

to northwest flow aloft will continue with weak embedded short

waves. Some rain or snow showers cannot be ruled out but

significant lowland accumulations are not expected. Schneider

 

 

.LONG TERM...Cool and unsettled weather will continue Tuesday

through Friday. Additional upper troughs will move through the

area but models are not in good agreement with the details. The

general idea is for continued showery weather at times with low

snow levels and below normal high temperatures. Low level onshore

flow will continue but the air will be cold enough for the threat

of lowland snow at times. Schneider

[Deweydog]

AFDSEW

 

Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Seattle WA

826 PM PST Fri Feb 23 2018

 

.SYNOPSIS...Cold and unsettled weather will continue through next

week. A weather system will move through the area later today and

tonight with lowland snow transitioning to rain. Another system

will cross the area Saturday night and Sunday with local lowland

snow possible again. There will be a bit of a break on Monday

before more systems arrive in the middle of the week.

 

&&

 

.SHORT TERM...The low level air mass will continue to moderate

tonight as S/SW flow advects warmer air inland. The profiler here

in north Seattle shows a spike in the freezing level up to 500

meters with south flow. The coast has changed over to rain but

still seeing a rain/snow mix in the interior, especially north and

south sound. Seattle is getting shadowed due to westerly flow off

the Olympics. The focus tonight will be on a developing Puget

Sound Convergence Zone that will likely form over Snohomish county

then shift south into King county early Sat morning. Snow levels

are still low enough that areas near the Cascades may see

accumulating snow. Heavy snow is still expected in the Cascades

and passes - Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect. 33

 

Previous discussion...There will be a bit of a break later

Saturday in between weather systems. Yet another cold upper short

wave will drop down from the northwest Saturday night and Sunday

morning. There is enough uncertainty with the details that another

shot of lowland snow cannot be ruled out but, at least for now,

snow levels are expected to be high enough to preclude any

impactful lowland snow accumulations.

 

The mountains will also pick up a quite a bit of snow through

Sunday. High end advisory amounts are expected tonight and

Saturday morning. Another round of heavy snow is possible

Saturday night and Sunday. A winter weather advisory is in effect

for tonight and Saturday morning. A winter storm watch is in

effect for Saturday night and Sunday.

 

It also looks breezy to windy at times the next couple of days.

Winds are expected to remain below advisory levels.

 

Monday will be a relative lull in the wet weather but cool north

to northwest flow aloft will continue with weak embedded short

waves. Some rain or snow showers cannot be ruled out but

significant lowland accumulations are not expected. Schneider

 

 

.LONG TERM...Cool and unsettled weather will continue Tuesday

through Friday. Additional upper troughs will move through the

area but models are not in good agreement with the details. The

general idea is for continued showery weather at times with low

snow levels and below normal high temperatures. Low level onshore

flow will continue but the air will be cold enough for the threat

of lowland snow at times. Schneider

Seems shorter.

[snow_wizard]

Well it appears I was wrong about how this would play out.  We've been on a bit of a roll so I thought I would go with it.  Still managed to pull out a couple tenths of snow here.

 

Right now Sunday night and late next week look very interesting.  The thing late next week has enormous potential.  The GFS has decent lowland snow on every run with that.

[Timmy]

AFDSEW

 

Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Seattle WA

826 PM PST Fri Feb 23 2018

 

.SYNOPSIS...Cold and unsettled weather will continue through next

week. A weather system will move through the area later today and

tonight with lowland snow transitioning to rain. Another system

will cross the area Saturday night and Sunday with local lowland

snow possible again. There will be a bit of a break on Monday

before more systems arrive in the middle of the week.

 

&&

 

.SHORT TERM...The low level air mass will continue to moderate

tonight as S/SW flow advects warmer air inland. The profiler here

in north Seattle shows a spike in the freezing level up to 500

meters with south flow. The coast has changed over to rain but

still seeing a rain/snow mix in the interior, especially north and

south sound. Seattle is getting shadowed due to westerly flow off

the Olympics. The focus tonight will be on a developing Puget

Sound Convergence Zone that will likely form over Snohomish county

then shift south into King county early Sat morning. Snow levels

are still low enough that areas near the Cascades may see

accumulating snow. Heavy snow is still expected in the Cascades

and passes - Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect. 33

 

Previous discussion...There will be a bit of a break later

Saturday in between weather systems. Yet another cold upper short

wave will drop down from the northwest Saturday night and Sunday

morning. There is enough uncertainty with the details that another

shot of lowland snow cannot be ruled out but, at least for now,

snow levels are expected to be high enough to preclude any

impactful lowland snow accumulations.

 

The mountains will also pick up a quite a bit of snow through

Sunday. High end advisory amounts are expected tonight and

Saturday morning. Another round of heavy snow is possible

Saturday night and Sunday. A winter weather advisory is in effect

for tonight and Saturday morning. A winter storm watch is in

effect for Saturday night and Sunday.

 

It also looks breezy to windy at times the next couple of days.

Winds are expected to remain below advisory levels.

 

Monday will be a relative lull in the wet weather but cool north

to northwest flow aloft will continue with weak embedded short

waves. Some rain or snow showers cannot be ruled out but

significant lowland accumulations are not expected. Schneider

 

 

.LONG TERM...Cool and unsettled weather will continue Tuesday

through Friday. Additional upper troughs will move through the

area but models are not in good agreement with the details. The

general idea is for continued showery weather at times with low

snow levels and below normal high temperatures. Low level onshore

flow will continue but the air will be cold enough for the threat

of lowland snow at times. Schneider

seems longer 2 me

[snow_wizard]

I’d give it a B-. To much squandered potential

 

Let's see how the next 10 days play out.  January was an F- so that is hard to overcome.  December was a solid A-, and February is looking B+ right now.  Amazing for this cold snap, but still not enough snow.

[snow_wizard]

There may be five more chances in the near term for some cold rain for most and convergence zone snow.

 

I don't see any arctic intrusions like we just had that would lay down another layer of cold air that an over-running event would create a region wide event though.

 

The first sentence seems like a total guess to me.  Sunday night has a legit shot at snow.  The thing late next week is way too complex to make any calls on at all.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Let's see how the next 10 days play out.  January was an F- so that is hard to overcome.  December was a solid A-, and February is looking B+ right now.  Amazing for this cold snap, but still not enough snow.

 

Switch February with December and you are close...

[MossMan]

Did one last shoveling for the evening. Light snow and 31 still.

[HighlandExperience]

Let's see how the next 10 days play out.  January was an F- so that is hard to overcome.  December was a solid A-, and February is looking B+ right now.  Amazing for this cold snap, but still not enough snow.

 

IF we had one more significant snow that would really up the grade in my book. I am really curious as to see if Sunday night can turn into something. The GFS really wants to keep giving us chances, but I am skeptical. Might just be a bit to late in the season I suppose. 

 

Today was a disappointment because a few days ago it looked like it had huge potential.  

[High Desert Mat!]

Looks like Mark was right. Dam you Mark, dam you.

[snow_wizard]

The 4km WRF shows the air mass being cold enough for snow in this area again by 7am tomorrow after a brief period of being too warm later tonight.  Pretty unusual stuff.  It also indicates two periods during the weekend where convergence will set up over King County.

[snow_wizard]

IF we had one more significant snow that would really up the grade in my book. I am really curious as to see if Sunday night can turn into something. The GFS really wants to keep giving us chances, but I am skeptical. Might just be a bit to late in the season I suppose. 

 

Today was a disappointment because a few days ago it looked like it had huge potential.  

 

Early March has actually had more major snows than late Feb believe it or not.  Certainly not too late.

 

The thing late next week is an entirely different animal.  We'll just have to wait and see how things shape up with that.

[HighlandExperience]

The 4km WRF shows the air mass being cold enough for snow in this area again by 7am tomorrow after a brief period of being too warm later tonight.  Pretty unusual stuff.  It also indicates two periods during the weekend where convergence will set up over King County.

 

A March 1989 type event would restore my faith in this winter.

[Blizzard777]

Sideways wet snow but unfortunately I know it’s destiny