TT-SEA Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 12Z EPS matches the ECMWF operational run. Same with the control run. Technically still troughy on the 4th of July... but focused to the northeast and this would be a set up for really pleasant weather for western WA and OR (mostly sunny and in the 70s). Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 12Z EPS matches the ECMWF operational run. Same with the control run. Technically still troughy on the 4th of July... but focused to the northeast and this would be a set up for really pleasant weather for western WA and OR (mostly sunny and in the 70s). Hope we see some run to run consistency now... Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El Nina Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 12Z EPS matches the ECMWF operational run. Same with the control run. Technically still troughy on the 4th of July... but focused to the northeast and this would be a set up for really pleasant weather for western WA and OR (mostly sunny and in the 70s).Sounds good! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Sounds good! Yes... at face value it would be beautiful. As long as it does not keep trending in the wrong direction. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 No doubt! Its going to look like early May in my area heading into the 4th of July. Hope summer arrives on schedule by July 5th. Summer started in May here. Going to be another endless golden summer. Your name must be Eyore because you have a permanent cloud. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Live look outside the weather window here in Salem, OR Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 As long as we don't have extended periods above 90-95 I am totally fine with a random hot day here and there and generally sunny weather. Just hope it is a little cooler this summer... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Summer started in May here. Going to be another endless golden summer. Your name must be Eyore because you have a permanent cloud. Don't know what to tell you... its been wet up here this year. And there has been significant rain in the last couple weeks to keep it lush green... all the way up to Randy's area and eastward into the Cascades. We got dumped on again last night. So did Seattle and most places to the north. Geos is over .50 for today alone in the Kirkland area. And the same area will heavily targeted again later this week and into the weekend. The rich get richer and we are not allowed to share. Wish we could. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 As long as we don't have extended periods above 90-95 I am totally fine with a random hot day here and there and generally sunny weather. Just hope it is a little cooler this summer... I totally agree with you here. And I love getting a good soaking rain every week. Particularly when it comes at night like it has been recently. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 25, 2018 Author Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 It's a cool day when it is 60 at 2 pm on one of the longest days of the year. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 25, 2018 Author Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Don't know what to tell you... its been wet up here this year. And there has been significant rain in the last couple weeks to keep it lush green... all the way up to Randy's area and eastward into the Cascades. We got dumped on again last night. So did Seattle and most places to the north. Geos is over .50 for today alone in the Kirkland area. And the same area will heavily targeted again later this week and into the weekend. The rich get richer and we are not allowed to share. Wish we could. Thanks a lot to the persistent set ups from the PSCZ's this spring and early summer. They have been persistent in setting up across Everett/Mulkiteo to North Bend/Carnation orientations or more straight west to east in the southern half of Snohomish County. It has left most of Seattle and Bellevue in the high and dry. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Live look outside the weather window here in Salem, OR Not that different in Seattle. We just have several people in unusually rainy microclimates that post a lot on here. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Beautiful day in Springfield. Looks like most of the region is dry. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 This works. At least in didn't trend Phil-a-bolic on us...I have my weather manipulation device set to “maximum troughing” in the PNW. Won’t take long to trend back to the deep ULL solution. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Not that different in Seattle. We just have several people in unusually rainy microclimates that post a lot on here. Screenshot_15.pngIt's been partly sunny and dry here all afternoon too. And it's been anomalously wet this year in the rainy microclimates! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 This ones for you, Phil! We are burning up over here! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El Nina Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Yes... at face value it would be beautiful. As long as it does not keep trending in the wrong direction. It flip flopped so much from yesterday it could just go back to the hot solution. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 It flip flopped so much from yesterday it could just go back to the hot solution. Seems unlikely... all 3 models basically agree now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Live view from this anomalously wet rainy microclimate.... have not watered the grass even once this year which is unusual at this point. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El Nina Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Seems unlikely... all 3 models basically agree now.Didn't they all agree on warmth yesterday? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 The 4 corners high seems to be a pretty dominant feature in the LR ensembles. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 The 4 corners high seems to be a pretty dominant feature in the LR ensembles.Good news! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Didn't they all agree on warmth yesterday?GFS has never been warm. Luckily it's the absolute superior model and proving it now! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El Nina Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 The 4 corners high seems to be a pretty dominant feature in the LR ensembles.Hopefully it's far enough east so we won't be in a complete blast furnace. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 25, 2018 Author Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Made it up to 65 with a little sun. 2.46" of rain with some likely before we flip to July. Should get over 3" for the month by the looks of it. I can't remember what last June was for rainfall, but I know it was under an inch. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 It seems like the 18z gfs is trying to monkey hammer that trough on us on July 4th... Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 25, 2018 Author Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Cool snapshot timeline of the lightning last night over the northern Puget Sound. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 The 4 corners high seems to be a pretty dominant feature in the LR ensembles.The four corners high becoming dominant in early July. #weirdyear#thedeckhasbeenreshuffled#regimechange Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 25, 2018 Author Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 It seems like the 18z gfs is trying to monkey hammer that trough on us on July 4th... Bit cool. But it doesn't look like a soaker at least at this point. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Bit cool. But it doesn't look like a soaker at least at this point. I am okay with the 2M temps on the 4th and the fact it stays dry. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted June 25, 2018 Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Bit cool. But it doesn't look like a soaker at least at this point. Yeah, looking at the 500mb maps, it doesn't seem to make any real headway, it just kind of sits there for a few frames... Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 25, 2018 Author Report Share Posted June 25, 2018 Yeah, looking at the 500mb maps, it doesn't seem to make any real headway, it just kind of sits there for a few frames... Right - now if it were to plow southeast more then we'd be talking about a more miserable day. But even under 850 mb temps like that, the surface is still nearing 70. One year ago today, it was in the mid to upper 90s area wide. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 26, 2018 Report Share Posted June 26, 2018 The four corners high becoming dominant in early July. #weirdyear#thedeckhasbeenreshuffled#regimechange Some years more than others. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 26, 2018 Report Share Posted June 26, 2018 Right - now if it were to plow southeast more then we'd be talking about a more miserable day. But even under 850 mb temps like that, the surface is still nearing 70. One year ago today, it was in the mid to upper 90s area wide. Yesterday was very warm at the 850mb level... high was 79 at SEA. Today we have a deep trough and much colder air... high was 71. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 26, 2018 Report Share Posted June 26, 2018 Some years more than others.They all can't be July 1985... It's pretty rare though not to have it become a pretty regular player on the field over the next couple weeks. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted June 26, 2018 Report Share Posted June 26, 2018 Yeah we've been having incredibly stormy weather literally right up until the day you arrived and now we're getting a short 3 day break before the rain/storm onslaught returns right after you depart! Real bad timing if you wanted to see some storms. Bozeman, MT just sounds like it is the solution to all the troubles of a PNW weather geek. Did all the snow in the winter ever get boring for you or is it still awesome? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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