July 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Phil]

Just two days ago you were saying this:

Sorry, I guess I forgot to include timeframes.

 

That post was in reference to the evolution of the low frequency background state into the first half of July, when tropical forcing looks neutral. There doesn’t appear to be a background state that would favor ridging (in the longer term) until the fall, at least.

 

The warm period in mid/late July is intraseasonal. Should last a few weeks and be done.

[MossMan]

Pretty hard to bring the boat there.... but I suppose you can get it on the ferry.

If you are looking for a lake house, our long time friends (I grew up with their kids at the lake) are selling their place on Goodwin! Good price, nice house!

[Jesse]

If you are looking for a lake house, our long time friends (I grew up with their kids at the lake) are selling their place on Goodwin! Good price, nice house!

I’ve heard that area is crawling with worthless druggies and ugly homeless people.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I’ve heard that area is crawling with worthless druggies and ugly homeless people.

 

Switch worthless and ugly.  Come one. Get it right!

[Jesse]

Switch worthless and ugly. Come one. Get it right!

All I know is nobody loves them and I am better.

[Deweydog]

I gave a bum a dollar on the 205 Mill Plain off ramp several years ago.

 

#didmypartsohecouldscratchthatitch

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I like to give my daily metro card to the homeless in DC when I am done with it for the day, they are always so grateful. 

[Jesse]

I once paid two homeless guys $20 to fight each other with plastic cutlery from Jack ‘N The Box.

 

#givingback

[Front Ranger]

Just two days ago you were saying this:

 

Phil says a lot of things.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I gave Michael Cohen $50 to "roll on" Trump. May have worked. I think he's holding out for another $50. 

[El Nina]

I once let a homeless person into someone's house thinking they were delivering something.

[Deweydog]

I once let a homeless person into someone's house thinking they were delivering something.

Maybe they were.

 

#everybodypoops

[El Nina]

Maybe they were.

#everybodypoops

#wefiguredthatoutthehardway

[Deweydog]

Fair to say this will be a toasty fourth for the CONUS.

[Front Ranger]

Fair to say this will be a toasty fourth for the CONUS.

 

Not gonna be too bad here, at least. Looks like mid 80s with good chance of afternoon/evening t-storms.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Not good, looks like a wildfire is burning right now near Warm Springs, OR. It's at 500 acres and growing. Their saying the blaze is being driven by high winds.

 

http://kptv.images.worldnow.com/images/17109622_G.jpg

http://kptv.images.worldnow.com/images/17109624_G.jpg

 

http://www.kptv.com/story/38560523/wildfire-near-warm-springs-reservation-closes-highway-26-prompts-evacuations

[Jesse]

Not good, looks like a wildfire is burning right now near Warm Springs, OR. It's at 500 acres and growing. Their saying the blaze is being driven by high winds.

 

http://kptv.images.worldnow.com/images/17109622_G.jpg

http://kptv.images.worldnow.com/images/17109624_G.jpg

 

http://www.kptv.com/story/38560523/wildfire-near-warm-springs-reservation-closes-highway-26-prompts-evacuations

Bring on the heat!!!

[TT-SEA]

Bring on the heat!!!

Yes!

 

We need to dry out here.

[Farmboy]

Not good, looks like a wildfire is burning right now near Warm Springs, OR. It's at 500 acres and growing. Their saying the blaze is being driven by high winds. http://kptv.images.worldnow.com/images/17109622_G.jpghttp://kptv.images.worldnow.com/images/17109624_G.jpghttp://www.kptv.com/story/38560523/wildfire-near-warm-springs-reservation-closes-highway-26-prompts-evacuations

Oh well, it's just a bunch of sagebrush anyways...

[TT-SEA]

GFS is more troughy on Sunday than previous runs.

[TT-SEA]

Oh well, it's just a bunch of sagebrush anyways...

A trough and strong cold air advection is causing that fire. Better to have calm and humid conditions under a ridge.

[El Nina]

A trough and strong cold air advection is causing that fire. Better to have calm and humid conditions under a ridge.

I wonder how it got so dry before the trough?

[Deweydog]

I wonder how it got so dry before the trough?

It drove to the lee side of the Cascades.

[MossMan]

I’ve heard that area is crawling with worthless druggies and ugly homeless people.

Not at Goodwin...Smokey Point is the issue. Our old house was too close to Smokey Point...the lake is too far away for the druggie homeless to travel...plus it’s all up hill...they would have heart attacks trying to ride their stolen bikes up there.

[El Nina]

It drove to the lee side of the Cascades.

So it can't ever be drier than normal on the east side of the cascades. Gotcha

[Jesse]

Not at Goodwin...Smokey Point is the issue. Our old house was too close to Smokey Point...the lake is too far away for the druggie homeless to travel...plus it’s all up hill...they would have heart attacks trying to ride their stolen bikes up there.

You seem like a compassionate person.

[TT-SEA]

So it can't ever be dryer than normal on the east side of the cascades. Gotcha

Drier not dryer.

[TT-SEA]

I wonder how it got so dry before the trough?

Given the dry conditions down there... cold air advection is not a good thing now.

[El Nina]

Drier not dryer.

Autocorrect, I'll fix that... mr.daaay

[TT-SEA]

GFS MOS shows 85 at SEA on the 4th... seems high given the extensive mid and high level clouds shown.  

[Geos]

Going to be a cool night. Already 55 under clear skies.

[MossMan]

You seem like a compassionate person.

I am. But not for the druggie homeless whack jobs that came in and ruined my hometown.

[MossMan]

Going to be a cool night. Already 55 under clear skies.

Already down to 51 here!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Oh well, it's just a bunch of sagebrush anyways...

It looks like their starting on get a handle on it. They just reopened highway 26.

 

http://katu.com/news/local/odot-wildfire-shuts-down-hwy-26-near-warm-springs-reservation

[Jesse]

00z GFS is much improved.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

The 00z GEM is similar to what the 12z EURO showed earlier today in showing high temperatures in the mid 90s for the Willamette Valley on the 11th.

 

[MossMan]

00z GFS is much improved.

Booo!!!

[MossMan]

The 00z GEM is similar to what the 12z EURO showed earlier today in showing high temperatures in the mid 90s for the Willamette Valley on the 11th.

 

Yay!

[TT-SEA]

Highs on the 4th per the 00Z ECMWF.   Last night the ECMWF showed PDX barely cracking 70.   Now it seems that 90 is within reach.  

 

 

[Jesse]

Booo!!!

Do you even know what you are booing? It shows a lot of sunshine and temps in the 70s and 80s. Just less extreme heat.