TT-SEA Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 ICON model slides a cold low into the PNW early next week. Alberta is getting hammered with snow today. Could be the snowiest October day in history some places, with more than 16” measured Sheridan Lake in the BC Cariboo reported 18” of snow today. Thousands of power outages as many trees are still leafed out. Did you hear that PDX was a little warmer than anticipated today? Any news of early snow and cold is decidedly fake. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 The ICON would bring a lot of rain to NW Oregon next week. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 GFS looking much more like the ICON. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Just imagine this in 2 months! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Tim wouldn't mind this! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Check out the block! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 My post was in mocking response to the loud complaints by some on here today that global warming is why PDX reached 70 today with sun and southerly flow ahead of this cold front. Never would have happened 20 years ago. Not what's been said of course, just that we wouldn't be wildly celebrating a week of minor league "cold" nearly as fervently 20 years ago. Pretty basic stuff. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Just imagine this in 2 months! Holy ****! Would be a monster snowstorm for PDX 2 months from now. Heck even just 1 month from now! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 ICON model slides a cold low into the PNW early next week. Alberta is getting hammered with snow today. Could be the snowiest October day in history some places, with more than 16” measured Sheridan Lake in the BC Cariboo reported 18” of snow today. Thousands of power outages as many trees are still leafed out.Sounds fun. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Impressive to think that we might miss some record lows by only 5 to 10 degrees here next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Was 45 and sideways rain in Monroe when I was there late this afternoon. Felt like December! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Impressive to think that we might miss some record lows by only 5 to 10 degrees here next week.20 years ago we would probably be breaking those records by 5 to 10 degrees. The times, they are a changin’! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Check out the block! That looks amazing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 This place SUCKS. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 That looks amazing Check out that amazingly persistent ridging in Alaska and along the East Coast. Been stuck for weeks. Luckily certain people on here don't live there! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 My post was in mocking response to the loud complaints by some on here today that global warming is why PDX reached 70 today with sun and southerly flow ahead of this cold front. Never would have happened 20 years ago. Today didn’t feature southerly flow. It was actually NW flow behind the weak drizzle front this morning. This is like meteorology 101 stuff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 This place SUCKS.I always thought you liked it here. Weird. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 For the third straight year no less.Holy ****! Would be a monster snowstorm for PDX 2 months from now. Heck even just 1 month from now! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Gorgeous evening light in Hood River earlier. This is looking SW up the valley, from Panorama Point. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Digging the cool/wet trend on the 00z. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Today didn’t feature southerly flow. It was actually NW flow behind the weak drizzle front this morning. This is like meteorology 101 stuff. Did not pay attention to the details down there in Blythe. But... we had strong S and SW winds up here in the Seattle area today ahead of the front which quickly switched to the north this evening as the c-zone passed through. So it does not surprise me that it was warmer down there. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 From Cliff Mass... drought freak out! But.... its soooooooo dry in western WA. I thought the only wet place is in my backyard. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Did not pay attention to the details down there in Blythe. But... we had strong S and SW winds up here in the Seattle area today ahead of the front which quickly switched to the north this evening as the c-zone passed through. So it does not surprise me that it was warmer down there.S and SW winds related to a c-zone can often be somewhat localized. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 S and SW winds related to a c-zone can often be somewhat localized. OLM had SW winds most of the day as well. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 From Cliff Mass... drought freak out! But.... its soooooooo dry in western WA. I thought the only wet place is in my backyard. Right? These guys just don't know sh*t. https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?West Wettest September on record at Rattlesnake Ridge, aka the real Western WA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Check out that amazingly persistent ridging in Alaska and along the East Coast. Been stuck for weeks. Luckily certain people on here don't live there!Trollolololol. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Any post longing for a true region wide system must be answered by localized rain reports in rain-favored areas. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Right? These guys just don't know sh*t. https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?West Wettest September on record at Rattlesnake Ridge, aka the real Western WA. I think these maps are painted way too generously to freak people out. Its been wetter than normal for the last year. And around normal for 2018. Situation is VERY DIRE in western WA. And Cliff Mass is definitely freaking out about this craaaaaaaaazy drought. 2017-18 "water year" rainfall departures: SEA +1.82 SEA WFO +5.24 OLM +2.51 BLI +1.57 HQM +1.55 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 OLM had SW winds most of the day as well.Strong NW or WNW winds at PDX all afternoon. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KPDX&num=48&raw=0&banner=off Same with Kelso. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KKLS&num=25&raw=0&banner=off Yesterday was the southerly flow day. Today was more of a CAA day behind the front, with WNW or NW flow at 500mb. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Trollolololol. Actually I was trolling some members in the PNW. Did not think I was trolling you... but I can see that from your perspective. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 It’s ironic to watch someone who continually freaks out about average rainfall mock people for making maybe a quarter as many posts about a legitimately historic drought. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Any post longing for a true region wide system must be answered by localized rain reports in rain-favored areas.Sure seems that way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Strong NW or WNW winds at PDX all afternoon. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KPDX&num=48&raw=0&banner=off Same with Kelso. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KKLS&num=25&raw=0&banner=off Yesterday was the southerly flow day. Today was more of a CAA day behind the front, with WNW or NW flow at 500mb.Eh, more so tomorrow but it's kind of a near miss pattern for NW OR. Clipper to the north. Next week may yield better cold anomaly pattern in your area. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Strong NW or WNW winds at PDX all afternoon. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KPDX&num=48&raw=0&banner=off Same with Kelso. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KKLS&num=25&raw=0&banner=off Yesterday was the southerly flow day. Today was more of a CAA day behind the front, with WNW or NW flow at 500mb. Again... I made an assumption based on what happened in the Seattle area today. It was very windy ahead of the cold front and then the wind switched to north behind the cold front. I did not think Portland was behind the cold front this morning. It took until 6 p.m. to come through Seattle. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherArchive Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 It’s ironic to watch someone who continually freaks out about average rainfall mock people for making maybe a quarter as many posts about a legitimately historic drought.Didn't they say 80 something days without a drop of rain in a row? Wouldn't that be a drought even in Dallas Texas? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Again... I made an assumption based on what happened in the Seattle area today. It was very windy ahead of the cold front and the wind switched to north behind the cold front. I did not think Portland was behind the cold front this morning. It took until 6 p.m. to come through Seattle.That was the CZ. The primary cold front was this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 I think these maps are painted way too generously to freak people out. Its been wetter than normal for the last year. And around normal for 2018. Situation is VERY DIRE in western WA. And Cliff Mass is definitely freaking out about this craaaaaaaaazy drought. 2017-18 "water year" rainfall departures: SEA +1.82 SEA WFO +5.24 OLM +2.51 BLI +1.57 HQM +1.55 SEA is -1.47" for the year to date, OLM is -2.43", and HQM is -2.05". Not difficult to see why those areas are in the "abnormally dry" to "moderate drought" categories, considering the summer we had. Down here we are running about a -10" deficit for the year to date, and I am in Western WA at last check Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 It’s ironic to watch someone who continually freaks out about average rainfall mock people for making maybe a quarter as many posts about a legitimately historic drought. I am not freaking out about our normal rainfall in western WA. Its business as usual. I am mocking those who think we should all be deeply concerned about drought up here and the only place in the state that is actually wet is my backyard. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 Actually I was trolling some members in the PNW. Did not think I was trolling you... but I can see that from your perspective.I just figured I had it coming after trolling you through the entire month of June. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 3, 2018 Report Share Posted October 3, 2018 SEA is -1.47" for the year to date, OLM is -2.43", and HQM is -2.05". Not difficult to see why those areas are in the "abnormally dry" to "moderate drought" categories, considering the summer we had. Down here we are running about a -10" deficit for the year to date, and I am in Western WA at last check SEA is just over an inch below normal for 2018? Why didn't you say that before? Wow. I had no idea how bad it has been. That is a serious situation. We must always be at 125% of normal rain or higher. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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