October 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[TT-SEA]

Really hope this doesn't trend north. Can't believe how cracked and parched everything still is for the central and south valley.

 

Thank you for posting these EC maps that I am too poor to access.

 

 

Its dumping rain here right now... again.   

[Brennan]

Had some heavy rainfall here off and on this evening which caught me by surprise after drizzle all day long...

 

Last year it snowed several inches exactly one month from now in Bellingham.... with a modified arctic blast...

[Jbolin]

Had some heavy rainfall here off and on this evening which caught me by surprise after drizzle all day long...

 

Last year it snowed several inches exactly one month from now in Bellingham.... with a modified arctic blast...

Whatever you did THAT DAY, do it again.

[TT-SEA]

.80 here and about .60 in the valley for October now.  Might get the same again as the c-zone slides south.     We could be at 25% of normal rainfall for the month after 2 days.  

[TT-SEA]

Had some heavy rainfall here off and on this evening which caught me by surprise after drizzle all day long...

 

Last year it snowed several inches exactly one month from now in Bellingham.... with a modified arctic blast...

 

 

Here is a picture posted on here from that event in Bellingham... from Twitter.

 

 

 

And here is a web cam image from the next morning that I posted...

 

[Geos]

00Z ECMWF sends the bulk of the rain from Olympia SOUTHWARD on Friday.   

 

 

Saturday and Sunday are completely dry up here on the 00Z run.    Some morning showers in Oregon on Saturday and then dry down there as well.   

 

I'd be alright with that. 

 

Weird line of rain this morning...

 

[TT-SEA]

I'd be alright with that.

 

Weird line of rain this morning...

 

That is the c-zone... broad SW flow.

 

That line will slowly pivot to the SE and be in a straight west-east configuration along the King/Snohimish county line by late this afternoon.

[MossMan]

Heavy rain.

[Geos]

That is the c-zone... broad SW flow.

That line will slowly pivot to the SE and be in a straight west-east configuration along the King/Snohimish county line by late this afternoon.

I knew it was something like that. Just trying to remember the last time the radar showed that. Already breezy here this morning.

[TT-SEA]

I knew it was something like that. Just trying to remember the last time the radar showed that. Already breezy here this morning.

 

 

It actually fairly common right behind a storm that moves through the region heading to the NE.     

 

This morning we have a trough dipping down with broad SW flow... which is another way to get one of those SW to NE oriented c-zones.

 

[Jesse]

Mild night. 58 for a low. Temps could be in the upper 40s to around 50 by midnight, though. Very decent dry cold front moving through today.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Probably won't amount to anything special but something like this is always interesting to track:

 

[ShawniganLake]

Pretty impressive storm cutting through southern BC this morning. Clinton is reporting 1/4 mile visibility in heavy snow. 25F with a north wind gusting to 22 mph. Average high this time of year is 57F.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

00Z ECMWF sends the bulk of the rain from Olympia SOUTHWARD on Friday.

 

 

Saturday and Sunday are completely dry up here on the 00Z run. Some morning showers in Oregon on Saturday and then dry down there as well.

It shows close to 3" of rain down here for PDX for the next 10 days.

 

http://oi66.tinypic.com/2i0d6ax.jpg

[MossMan]

Had just over a half an inch of rain from this mornings PSCZ. Wet!!

[Deweydog]

Pretty impressive storm cutting through southern BC this morning. Clinton is reporting 1/4 mile visibility in heavy snow. 25F with a north wind gusting to 22 mph. Average high this time of year is 57F.

Not bad considering we're entering a blowtorch October.

[Phil]

Here is a picture posted on here from that event in Bellingham... from Twitter.

 

 

 

And here is a web cam image from the next morning that I posted...

 

:wub:

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yeah, I remember those early November cold air pushes into N. Washington. We saw none of that down here.

[TT-SEA]

12Z GFS is much drier early next week than the 00Z ECMWF.  

 

12Z ICON is more like the 00Z ECMWF.

[Phil]

I’m really starting to worry about another US hurricane impact this month. Pattern sucks a big one..huge WATL ridge preventing recurves and a favorable MJO for WHEM uplift = trouble.

 

Any cold front that makes it into the waters runs the risk of igniting a warm core low underneath than steroidal Bermuda High. Ticking time bomb.

[MossMan]

This was November 5th of last year near Lake Goodwin.

[Phil]

This will make Jesse happy, and Tim sad.

 

The WPAC is dead for (at least) the next 2 weeks. It’s been awhile since we’ve seen this look in the VP200 anomalies.

 

[MossMan]

12Z GFS is much drier early next week than the 00Z ECMWF.

 

12Z ICON is more like the 00Z ECMWF.

Hopefully the 12z GFS will end up verifying...we are already quite soggy up here and it’s only October 2nd so we could use a few dry days.

[Blizzard777]

Probably won't amount to anything special but something like this is always interesting to track:

 

Feels the same way!

 

Northern California getting some much needed love too

[Timmy]

Yeah, I remember those early November cold air pushes into N. Washington. We saw none of that down here.

Wouldn’t be possible anymore these days

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Pretty shockingly dry for the 2017-18 rain year. Medford with only 11.47"

 

[Deweydog]

Utterly stunning.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Utterly stunning.

 

Completely FLABBERGASTED! 

[Deweydog]

Just think, if it had been drier those totals could have been even lower.

[Jesse]

Area of light drizzle has moved through the metro area. Skies are clearing now.

[TT-SEA]

Wet water year here... 10-15 inches above normal per this map!   

 

Side note... SEA ended up +1.82 inches for the water year so not sure why it shows below normal there on this map.  

 

[Jesse]

Looks like the process of toning down the Friday system has begun. Will be lucky to get .25”.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like the process of toning down the Friday system has begun. Will be lucky to get .25”.

 

Doesn't really look like the kind of system that would deliver much more than that. Should be good upslope for 1" in some of the orographically favored locales. 

[Jesse]

Wet water year here... 10-15 inches above normal per this map!

 

Side note... SEA ended up +1.82 inches for the water year so not sure why it shows below normal there on this map.

 

 

Utterly stunning.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Clearing line approaching from the WNW

 

[Jesse]

Doesn't really look like the kind of system that would deliver much more than that. Should be good upslope for 1" in some of the orographically favored locales.

Hard to believe we are approaching six months since our last real organized system.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hard to believe we are approaching six months since our last real organized system.

 

Reading this forum you would never know!

[TT-SEA]

Hard to believe we are approaching six months since our last real organized system.

 

 

This looks fairly organized...

 

[TT-SEA]

Reading this forum you would never know!

 

 

You would think we live in different states with very different weather!  

[TT-SEA]

Utterly stunning.

 

 

Sort of interesting that we can be around a foot above our normal rainfall over the last year in areas up here considering the region-wide crippling drought.