TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Might be waiting awhile. Hard to imagine next summer being anything but another scorcher between +ENSO events. I think the square mile deep blue dot in the sea of dark brown is Tim’s house. Phil is far too desperate to troll me. Its a weakness of his. Same with you. And maybe he should post that map for the 2014-17 period. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 A boatload of arctic air on this side of the continent on the 00Z Fv3 around hour 300...we just need something to bring it down! Yep! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 I can’t wait for the next wet summer in the PNW. Gonna be all Timper tantrum-combusta in here. FWIW, here’s 2018 to date: Actually been normal to a little wetter than normal for a good chunk of western WA this year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Just seems like you set your expectations higher than your location dictates Nah, It's just nice to even see the chance of something interesting happen. Central and South valley will often at least see flakes in the air in any given year even if it never sticks so I don't feel that I'm setting my expectations that high. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 The only people i know who complain of a lack of sun in the winter around here are from California or florida... Appreciating the sunny days is not complaining. Its being appreciative. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 How 'bout those models??? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 How 'bout those models??? Truly stupid discussion tonight. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 In the meanwhile I'm very excited for Tuesday's storm. A decent frontal band, some 40-50 gusts, and the NWS has stated that they tend to trust the NAM more on low level wind features during wet storms like this. Do remember the NAM was the ONLY model to show gusts above 40 on Friday for PDX. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Just seems like you set your expectations higher than your location dictates If anything I feel like he represents his climate as far worse than it actually is. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Absolutely horrible.Funny how there are places in the Mid-Atlantic that have had well over 100” of rain this year. Yet I haven’t seen anyone complaining about it on the eastern forums. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 In the meanwhile I'm very excited for Tuesday's storm. A decent frontal band, some 40-50 gusts, and the NWS has stated that they tend to trust the NAM more on low level wind features during wet storms like this. Do remember the NAM was the ONLY model to show gusts above 40 on Friday for PDX. I wish I was so easily entertained. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Actually been normal to a little wetter than normal for a good chunk of western WA this year. The PRISM data is much higher quality than the NRCC data. Not even close, really. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Pretty seasonable overall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Funny how there are places in the Mid-Atlantic that have had well over 100” of rain this year. Yet I haven’t seen anyone complaining about it on the eastern forums. I mean, I'd rather have more rain than less. If a resident of Ellicott City complains, then by all means they have the right. But I don't remember any significant floods in NYC or Boston this year (at least not ones caused by rain). Plus the PACNW is known for rain, not lack of rain. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 The PRISM data is much higher quality than the NRCC data. Not even close, really. I love the PRISM data. According to it, the wettest month at my location was November 2006. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Pretty seasonable overall. D67FF0D1-CCCF-40A9-9D79-54CB4D2B4920.png Running through the loop... the 00Z GFS looked very seasonable. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 I wish I was so easily entertained. Is it that lame of a storm? Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Pretty seasonable overall. D67FF0D1-CCCF-40A9-9D79-54CB4D2B4920.png Maybe we shed the 1991-92 comparisons for 2002-03?! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Phil is far too desperate to troll me. Its a weakness of his. Same with you.We all have our weaknesses. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Is it that lame of a storm? Nah, I wouldn't call it lame. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 I wish I was so easily entertained.You’ve said that snow falling at your own house doesn’t even do it for you anymore! More fun go over the old stats and records after the fact. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Nah, I wouldn't call it lame. Honestly, I know it doesn't have snow or winter precip, but it's a compact, wet, and pretty windy storm. More significant than anything we've had thus far here in the valley. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 The PRISM data is much higher quality than the NRCC data. Not even close, really. Don't care... the active WRCC stations in my area and to the north are all at or above normal for the year. Cedar LakeTolt ReservoirMonroeStartup I know for a fact that its been almost perfectly normal in my area this fall and for 2018. Everywhere south of Rattlesnake Ridge and the Issaquah Alps has been drier than normal. Geography explains it all. NW flow has been dominant this year and SW flow has been less common than usual. My house is the blue dot... in an area that cradles NW flow. All the stations in the blue area have been close to normal for 2018. Actually goes north of there as well. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 I mean, I'd rather have more rain than less. If a resident of Ellicott City complains, then by all means they have the right. But I don't remember any significant floods in NYC or Boston this year (at least not ones caused by rain). Plus the PACNW is known for rain, not lack of rain.Exactly. And Now Tim is gonna reference Ellicott City every time this topic comes up. “See what happens when it rains?! People die!” -Tim Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Wettest day of the month is still Dec 1 here with .67" Going to assume that will be topped in the coming days. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Exactly. And Now Tim is gonna reference Ellicott City every time this topic comes up. “See what happens when it rains?! People die!” Ugh, shouldn't have done that..... Can a ninja edit improve things now? 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Ugh, shouldn't have done that..... Can a ninja edit improve things now?Sadly the damage has been done. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Sadly the damage has been done. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Exactly. And Now Tim is gonna reference Ellicott City every time this topic comes up. “See what happens when it rains?! People die!” -Tim Dude... you are obsessed with me. And you build up all this hostility based on incorrect and greatly exaggerated assumptions. You need to relax. We have a million dollars in equity in our house... maybe more. We can leave if we want. We love it here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Truly stupid discussion tonight. Funny how that discussion revolved around you, once again. Imagine that. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Funny how that discussion revolved around you, once again. Imagine that. Its just so stupid. Read back the entire discussion. I did not bring this up. Several people who are REALLY obsessed with me. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 D**n a lot of stupid drama on here like a bunch of teenage girls. Arguing or bickering over absolutely nothing. 00z EPS in 1 hour 50 minutes(Pivotal site) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Actually been normal to a little wetter than normal for a good chunk of western WA this year. Looks like a much larger part of western WA has been drier than normal this year than wetter, #stupidbackyards.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Looks like a much larger part of western WA has been drier than normal this year than wetter, #stupidbackyards.... Indeed... but a nice chunk of western WA has not been drier than normal this year. And geography explains it all. The green area is favored for rain with NW flow... and that has been more dominate than usual this year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 00z ECMWF much closer to delivering. Still a long ways to go, but progress is progress, am I right? Day 7http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018121700/168/500h_anom.na.png Day 8http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018121700/192/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Its just so stupid. Read back the entire discussion. I did not bring this up. Several people who are REALLY obsessed with me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 d**n a lot of stupid drama on here like a bunch of teenage girls. Arguing or bickering over absolutely nothing. 00z EPS in 1 hour 50 minutes(Pivotal site) No doubt! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 00z ECMWF much closer to delivering. Still a long ways to go, but progress is progress, am I right? Day 7http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018121700/168/500h_anom.na.png Day 8http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2018121700/192/500h_anom.na.png I guess that is pretty meh. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Indeed... but a nice chunk of western WA has not been drier than normal this year. And geography explains it all. The green area is favored for rain with NW flow... and that has been more dominate than usual this year.What defines a nice chunk? Looks to me about 75 percent or so of Western Washington has been drier than normal.... that actually seems like a nice chunk! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 As I said, a long ways to go. I noticed Days 5-7 were a bit less splitty 140 W upstream to Bering Sea. 6z GFS in 2 hours 37 minutes 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.