January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Requiem]

Pretty sure the 2011 stuff was a way bigger deal further north. There were some localized flurries in and around Dallas.

 

Just looked- that one was a decent foothill event around PDX and the Gorge. Almost three feet of snow at Mt. Hood though!

[Omegaraptor]

Starry night!

[Jesse]

This next week will solidify an entire decade without any PNW lowland snow between January 20-31.

Used to be our wheelhouse.

[BLI snowman]

Used to be our wheelhouse.

 

Don't think we'd ever gone for more than 6 years without a snow event in that timeframe before. 

[Phil]

[Deweydog]

I hate it when people obnoxiously boats about their super fancy boasts.

[Phil]

Oh boy. The subtropical NPAC looks absolutely atrocious right now. Not even gonna post the image.

 

Doesn’t have to hold firm this time, but if it does..

[Deweydog]

Oh boy. The subtropical NPAC looks absolutely atrocious right now. Not a given it holds, but if it does..

Goodies!!!!!

[Phil]

Plus you have a downwelling +QBO/decelerating mass circulation entering boreal summer. In conjunction with the +PMM which already favors off-equator NPAC convection. The above will only enhance it further.

 

Porn for Tim.

[TT-SEA]

The Midwest is going to go from frigid to warm in a week.  

 

[Blizzard777]

Starry night!

Just noticed that.

Crystal clear

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS was  meh at best. After day 9 some potential. 00z GEM nice run. Big backdoor blast. Potential for more. I like our chances I'm sticking with 15-20% chance arctic blast. We are nearing my January 29th - February 7th window. As long as we see the flow less splitty like this GEM run and a few previous GFS runs we have a solid chance. Onto the GEFS, CMCE, and King EURO.

 

00z ECMWF in 50 minutes

[ShawniganLake]

[MossMan]

We had like 20”+ on the ground in early February 2017.

Yeah we were not so lucky down this way. Think we got about 3”

[ShawniganLake]

I’m confused. I thought we had already entered a period of global cooling. 2017 + or - 1 year.

[MossMan]

Any Europppeeen updates?

 

Currently 35!

[Phil]

Global warming, where art thou?

 

[MossMan]

Global warming, where art thou?

 

That’s nothing...it’s currently +35F here in Stanwood, Wa! Talk about epic! Oh yeah I know your jealous!

[HighlandExperience]

Global warming, where art thou?

 

Globe is still warming though

[MossMan]

Epic night on the forum! It will snow in February!

[Jbolin]

Global warming, where art thou?

 

This guy, is a F**** tool

 

Complete arrogant, self entitled prick

[Phil]

This guy, is a F**** tool

 

Complete arrogant, self entitled prick

Are you talking about Paul Britton, Alex Nitkin, or me?

[Jbolin]

Are you talking about Paul Britton, Alex Nitkin, or me?

Paul

[Phil]

Globe is still warming though

Meh, seems mostly centered over Northwest North America in recent years. Since 2013, you guys have even put the Arctic to shame.

 

That’s quite a feat, I have to say.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Meh, seems mostly centered over Northwest North America in recent years. Since 2013, you guys have even put the Arctic to shame.

 

That’s quite the feat.

Being next to a giant warming ocean which moderates temps doesn’t help. Neither does our access to Arctic air being further cut off every year.

[luminen]

Epic night on the forum! It will snow in February!

 

Like I said a week or so ago, the only real shot will be around Valentine's day, if at all.

 

But I have a feeling even that period will just end up being 45F and cloudy or a rainy 35F.

[Phil]

Paul

How so?

 

His politics are kind of silly, but that’s true of most young, naive, over-privileged urbanites these days. I don’t think the dude is mean-spirited.

[Deweydog]

It’s January 26th.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

144 college basketball games on later today and a night shift that will reveal temps and precipitation reverting to climo after day 5-6. Gonna be a nice Saturday.

[ChilliwackBCwx]

I've got my Red bull and some good weed so here we go for the night shift 06Z GFS is going to rock baby!

[ChilliwackBCwx]

Hr 12. already different, I think the 06Z is new Drunckle uncle, Hr. 48 still early in the game initial Midwest blast just grazes southwest BC, Hr 60 not much difference from the 00Z, Hr 72 cut off low needs to take a hike it's the fly in the ointment. 06Z Hr 84 different than the 00Z @ Hr 84. HR. 96 merging block setting up hopefully. Hr.108 coastal sliders plz! Ouch HR. 132 looks like shorts and T shirt day here while Chicago hits -30F. HR. 144 here comes our cool down I hope. Up to Hr.162 not a great run so far. Nope this runs going no where onto the 12Z boy's. Not a good run Mr. Shawnigan back to the c**p runs again.!

[ShawniganLake]

[ChilliwackBCwx]

La la land is like alzheimer's you can't remember by that time, so it's nice to have reminders. I think this 06Z GFS run was like saying see yah as far as winter is concerned around here.

[MossMan]

You rock the night shift Chilliwack! Love the play by play! 6z Ensembles look pretty darn good!!

[TT-SEA]

35 and clear here... looks like some frost on my son's car.    Winter is here!  

 

First day with a sunset after 5 p.m. in Seattle,    That does not happen again until November 3rd... over 9 months away.  

[Prairiedog]

At least the frogs have started chorusing.  That's always a cool thing.  It however means the days are getting longer now, gonna go eat some worms. 

[Omegaraptor]

35 and clear here... looks like some frost on my son's car. Winter is here!

 

First day with a sunset after 5 p.m. in Seattle, That does not happen again until November 3rd... over 9 months away.

We’re up to 5:10 already, noticeably longer than December.

[TT-SEA]

We’re up to 5:10 already, noticeably longer than December.

Considering that we have gone from 4:18 to 5:01 now... its noticeably longer here too.

[TT-SEA]

Some ground fog in North Bend this morning...

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The 06z ensembles were not bad at all.