SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 I think Tim from early winter hacked Andrew’s account. Just presenting a full range of information. I am not ignoring the good trends, runs, or the "bad" trends and runs. Overall the trends are positive! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Not sure. few inches in Seattle proper. I had about 5 but also 55mph north winds. That was the strongest outflow in my area since December 1990. The low crossed from ocean shores to Olympia then east. Not a huge snow event but very dynamic storm.Yea I vaguely remember that. We hardly see strong outflow like that anymore. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 February 2014 like overrunning event at hour 300 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Yea I vaguely remember that. We hardly see strong outflow like that anymore.Dec 1990 was one of the strongest and most dynamic outflow events in the past 100 years. The vast majority of Arctic events from the 50s, 60s, 70s, and 80s wouldn't even compare. Highly unusual. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Dec 1990 was one of the strongest and most dynamic outflow events in the past 100 years. The vast majority of Arctic events from the 50s, 60s, 70s, and 80s wouldn't even compare. Highly unusual.Only time I've experinced 60 mph wind and ten degrees here. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 12Z ECMWF is much farther south on Saturday morning than previous runs. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Comparing the Euro to yesterday's 12z, the block is stronger, more amplified, and has better tilt. Cold air is further south and west as well. This thing continues to pick up steam and trend the right way. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 12Z ECMWF is much farther south on Saturday morning than previous runs. Let's dig it down! 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 The big question is, will it snow at Tim's house? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 The models are showing the cold air penetrating much further south, but swinging in from the NW like 2010... GEM throws out some fanciful 1989 like numbers for kicks. Frigid! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 I don't see much danger of this thing trending east. If anything, we don't want to see it trend west much more. The Euro is setting up for a pretty snowy pattern at day 4. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Looks fantastic at day 5. Snow maps should be improved. 3 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 I don't see much danger of this thing trending east. If anything, we don't want to see it trend west much more. The Euro is setting up for a pretty snowy pattern at day 4.A westward trend has screwed us in the past... but this is too close now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Super Bowl snowstorm for WA. 519 line makes it to EUG Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Looks fantastic at day 5. Snow maps should be improved. ecmwf_z500a_namer_6.pngWhat a Trough! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 850 temps are a notch warmer for WA lowlands compared to yesterday, but that's just due to the trough digging further west. I think day 6 on will be colder, as the really cold air is in better position to be pulled down by the trough as it slides southeast. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Hoping things being a bit further west might help with getting us a bit more moisture going into this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Super Bowl snowstorm for WA. 519 line makes it to EUG Sunday afternoon... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 12z EMC GEFS plumes showing the most snow they have yet for both KSEA and KPDX. Mean for 4PM Monday for KSEA... 18z: 0.58 inches00z: 1.14 inches06z: 1.05 inches12z: 1.38 inches Mean for 4PM Monday for KPDX... 18z: 0.77 inches00z: 1.67 inches06z: 2.16 inches12z: 2.77 inches Now let's continue this trend right up to the event. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Sunday afternoon... 750ft snow levels. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Total snow through Monday morning... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Not sure. few inches in Seattle proper. I had about 5 but also 55mph north winds. That was the strongest outflow in my area since December 1990. The low crossed from ocean shores to Olympia then east. Not a huge snow event but very dynamic storm. I haven't even posted here this winter but have been reading all year long, as usual. I want to chime in about November 2010. That was a crazy storm. It was real cold and still and snowing powdery, small flakes. A few inches accumulated and then all at once the wind hit like a bomb. It was dark outside, but the living room window went white from the dry snow blowing off the roof, and then within 5 minutes the power was out and it got cold as F quick. That was one to remember for sure. Lived in East Bremerton at the time. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 More snow than 00z pretty much everywhere but the CZ signature is conspicuously absent. Not that it means much at this point. The king still showing us a regional event. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 More snow than 00z pretty much everywhere but the CZ signature is conspicuously absent. Not that it means much at this point. C-zone will be less of a factor if the low dives just offshore. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 I know there is plenty of time, but this definitely doesn't look like a snow maker for the lowlands with the initial trough. Places above 1000 feet are going to do great though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew. Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 I know there is plenty of time, but this definitely doesn't look like a snow maker for the lowlands with the initial trough. Places above 1000 feet are going to do great though. This pattern is almost never a big widespread snow maker for the lowlands down here. Still a quick inch or two is doable if things go right. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 C-zone will be less of a factor if the low dives just offshore. Bummer for people in bothell or everett who could get more if its in their area, but does the low dives just offshore allow everyone to get snow versus if not? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 The snow shadow in the Puget Sound area fills in a little more by 10PM Monday. ECMWF shows some snow showers lingering longer on Monday... pretty light though and no real c-zone signature. Temps are around freezing in Seattle. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 I know there is plenty of time, but this definitely doesn't look like a snow maker for the lowlands with the initial trough. Places above 1000 feet are going to do great though. Very difficult to get a widespread snowmaker for everyone with initial Arctic troughs. Even Nov 2010 or Feb 2011 "screwed" some people. This looks about as promising as it gets for lowland snow in general 4-5 days out, though (aside from overrunning situations). Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 This pattern is almost never a big widespread snow maker for the lowlands down here. Still a quick inch or two is doable if things go right. Isn't it usually just isolated stuff and no banding? Tho places up against the west slopes of the mtns will do a bit better. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Total snow through Tuesday morning... snow lingers longer. Improvement over 00Z run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Isn't it usually just isolated stuff and no banding? Tho places up against the west slopes of the mtns will do a bit better. Yeah a lot of the time it is much more showery but sometimes we can get more organized clusters of showers or some light banding if we get a decent low tracking just right. I've never seen these things produce the sort of results we can get with overruning here though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 At day 7, there is not as much cold air down the west coast compared to yesterday, but there is also still a lot more really cold air left in SW BC to draw from. How snowy the rest of the run is will probably come down to where lows approach the coast. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 FB_IMG_1548873166944.jpgNow that's something you don't hear everyday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Another interesting difference with this run is the increased amount of Arctic/NAO blocking to the north, which could serve to lock in the cold air for longer. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 8-9 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Just not enough oomph to get the really cold 850s down here by hour 168 on the Euro. That’s some very cold air brushing NE Washington, though. Could lead to some pretty chilly outflow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.