January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Minor differences out to hour 72, but they appear to be positive differences.

[Kayla]

Cold air is looking pretty darn locked in...

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

[Timmy]

Looks like the 18z is going to unload on us.

out to 78 it’s colder than the gem

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Appears the timing is speeding up on the 18z.

[Front Ranger]

GFS is late to the party, but pounding shots to catch up

[Deweydog]

It’s trending west!!!

[Deweydog]

Mixed signals!!!

[Esquimalt]

Some areas getting heavy snowfall on the 18Z GFS.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Sunday night could be snowy Seattle to Redding...

[Jbolin]

Didn't it snow on SB Sunday in 1997?

I vividly remember watching the SB that day with a heavy snowfall in Kirkland

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Good cold shot. More aggressive with the initial shot, but overall I don't think this run will be any colder for early next week. At least not significantly.

[Deweydog]

The coast could do well with this.

[Deweydog]

Didn't it snow on SB Sunday in 1997?

 

I vividly remember watching the SB that day with a heavy snowfall in Kirkland

Are you asking if you vividly remember something?

[Front Ranger]

Didn't it snow on SB Sunday in 1997?

 

I vividly remember watching the SB that day with a heavy snowfall in Kirkland

 

1996. That was as the initial Arctic front moved through.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Some areas getting heavy snowfall on the 18Z GFS.

Yeah, snow for everybody Sunday night on the 18z GFS.

 

[Farmboy]

Very strong signal for western cold all the way through the middle of February per the EPS.

 

Starting to think Jim might get his wish for a top tier cold month.

 

I don't think the EPS got KATU'S permission for that.

 

news/localhttps://katu.com//climatologists-say-warmer-drier-trend-to-last-through-spring-in-pacific-northwest

[TT-SEA]

Yeah, snow for everybody Sunday night on the 18z GFS.

 

 

 

Snowy on the west side and rain in central WA.   

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

18z is a text book snow pattern for western wa followed by outflow

[Jbolin]

Are you asking if you vividly remember something?

How dare you poise such a poignant question, questioning the validity of a vivid memory I have. 

 

Touche' good sir

[Guest Sounder]

18z is the best GFS run yet for sure. Region wide snowstorm.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Snowy on the west side and rain in central WA.

Yeah, the ICON was actually the first to show this a couple days ago I think.

[Jesse]

That's gotta be close to their all-time record low max.

 

The forecast there tonight is -27, which would tie the all-time coldest temp for the city.

 

EDIT: Just looked it up, -11 is the record coldest max. Records going back to 1872. I'd say the Polar Vortex is for reals.

To clarify the couple dozen comments directly or indirectly relating to my rant a few days ago, I have no problem with the term polar vortex when used in accurate context. It fits the situation in the Midwest well right now. It’s only when it’s made out to be a new and scary/sexy byproduct of climate change that it’s annoying. Which that article Phil linked did, but no one here had really been doing that.

 

Polar vortex ftw!!!!

[Front Ranger]

18z is a tad less progressive than the 12z.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Tim is scared of cold and snow. 

[TT-SEA]

That's gotta be close to their all-time record low max.

 

The forecast there tonight is -27, which would tie the all-time coldest temp for the city.

 

EDIT: Just looked it up, -11 is the record coldest max. Records going back to 1872. I'd say the Polar Vortex is for reals.

 

 

-14 in Minneapolis right now... headed down to -30 tonight.

 

And then rain this weekend there while its snowing here.  

[TT-SEA]

Tim is scared of cold and snow. 

 

Why did you make this comment?    

[Jbolin]

1996. That was as the initial Arctic front moved through.

Can't find any snow data for that date in 1996

[TT-SEA]

Can't find any snow data for that date in 1996

 

 

Ironically... the Snoqualmie Falls data is also missing for part of January 1996 including Super Bowl Sunday on 1/28.  

[Jbolin]

Ironically... the Snoqualmie Falls data is also missing for part of January 1996 including Super Bowl Sunday on 1/28.  

I only asked b/c I remember that SB in particular and it looks like it'll happen again this Sunday

[Gradient Keeper]

18z is nice. Day 3-4 block has a bit more amplitude. Arctic trough digs out a bit more off southwestern BC. Positive trends. Beyond Day 5 I trust the ECMWF/ EPS guidance far more than any GFS Operational run. I put a 45% chance at models coming around to the EPS with a colder solution showing for a week+. Jim should be thrilled!

 

00z ECMWF in 7 hours 19 minutes

[TT-SEA]

I only asked b/c I remember that SB in particular and it looks like it'll happen again this Sunday

 

 

I am pretty sure there was snow that day.   

[Frontal Snowsquall]

With all this model riding going on I forgot to mention how beautiful and sunny it is outside. Went out for lunch today and it was spectacular outside.

[Jbolin]

I am pretty sure there was snow that day.   

As do I 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Wow this is something else!!

[TT-SEA]

As do I 

 

 

The Palmer station had 33/27 on 1/28/96 with 3 inches of snow.    And 14 inches of snow on the ground.  

[Gradient Keeper]

We waited ALL Winter for this. Soak it in. Enjoy it. C'MON!!! Cold and SNOW!!!!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

GFS shows 2-3" for the s valley.

[Front Ranger]

Can't find any snow data for that date in 1996

 

SEA got 3.7" with that storm. Seattle Sand Pt measured 2.3".

 

Down in Tacoma we had about 4-5".

[MossMan]

SEA got 3.7" with that storm. Seattle Sand Pt measured 2.3".

 

Down in Tacoma we had about 4-5".

6” at my place if I remember correctly!

[Front Ranger]

To clarify the couple dozen comments directly or indirectly relating to my rant a few days ago, I have no problem with the term polar vortex when used in accurate context. It fits the situation in the Midwest well right now. It’s only when it’s made out to be a new and scary/sexy byproduct of climate change that it’s annoying. Which that article Phil linked did, but no one here had really been doing that.

 

Polar vortex ftw!!!!

 

Yeah, the attempted associations to climate change by some sources are annoying.

 

But honestly, I've seen several news articles referencing the "split" in the polar vortex (like this one), which may not be Phil-tastic enough from a scientific perspective, but is basically accurate.

 

Seems like less hype than winter 2013-14, when the media first started using the term. So I'll give them some credit this time around.