January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Jesse]

Seems a weird time for this to be an issue all of a sudden.

Omegaraptor seems to post a lot of non-sequiturs. Like the guy though.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Remember there were a couple 18z ensembles that were above 0C at 850mb... 

 

After the 12z GEM and ICON everything else is just going to seem like a sandwich. February 1989 or bust!

[Jesse]

No doubt.

 

And oddly enough... I am one of the few posters on here who does not want to move.

Unless we end this ridulous stretch of warm years.

 

Of course then everyone who wants to move now would probably be fine with staying. 1950s summers would have killed you but it was a stellar decade for snow lovers.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Indeed the ICON sends the bulk of the snow into the central Willamette valley. Too far out to care all that much about the exact track but hopefully things stop trending west.

 

For comparison, here is the 12z EURO and 00z ICON for the same time frame at 4am Monday.

 

[TT-SEA]

Unless we end this ridulous stretch of warm years.

 

Of course then everyone who wants to move now would probably be fine with staying. 1950s summers would have killed you but it was a stellar decade for snow lovers.

Summer of '58 was nice.

[snow_wizard]

Chicago hitting 50 on Monday. Just how west/east coast weather works.

 

That will be a shock to the system for them.

[Jesse]

Summer of '58 was nice.

I’m sure you would have been thrilled with one Medford summer in a sea of Juneaus.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

On February 11, 2011 Bartlesville, OK hit -28 a week later they were in the mid-80s...

[MikeInEverett]

Is the GFS broken??

[TigerWoodsLibido]

So if things trend to far west we get rain. If things trend to far east we have no precip. Love this climate!

Right? At least if I move to Bend one day it will be like going from being a Browns fan to a Chiefs fan or so.

[TT-SEA]

I’m sure you would have been thrilled with one Medford summer in a sea of Juneaus.

Nope. We would move if there was years of no summer. Pretty simple.

 

Life is too short for that crap.

[overcast]

Despite getting screwed it seems like year after year a few days prior to these model teases, I feel optimistic about our chances for something regional and memorable this time. Just looking forward to some crisp continental air for once this winter, and a widespread 1+ inch at the front-end would be nice for once - to help bring down the overnight lows a notch.

[snow_wizard]

Unless we end this ridulous stretch of warm years.

 

Of course then everyone who wants to move now would probably be fine with staying. 1950s summers would have killed you but it was a stellar decade for snow lovers.

 

 

I think this event could be the beginning of a major regime shift / a major pattern shakeup.  It will be interesting to see where we go after the cold blocky regime ends.

 

As for the 1950s summers...some of the months were delightful in spite of being chilly.  A redux of that decade would be amazing.

[Jesse]

Nope. We would move if there was years of no summer. Pretty simple.

 

Life is too short for that crap.

 

2010!!!!

[Jesse]

Despite getting screwed it seems like year after year a few days prior to these model teases, I feel optimistic about our chances for something regional and memorable this time. Just looking forward to some crisp continental air for once this winter, and a widespread 1+ inch at the front-end would be nice for once - to help bring down the overnight lows a notch.

 

Wow, long time no see. Welcome back.

[Esquimalt]

Really not liking the 00z gfs tonight. Makes the snow miss Victoria completely

[Jesse]

I think this event could be the beginning of a major regime shift / a major pattern shakeup.  It will be interesting to see where we go after the cold blocky regime ends.

 

As for the 1950s summers...some of the months were delightful in spite of being chilly.  A redux of that decade would be amazing.

 

Agreed wholeheartedly.

[Omegaraptor]

To be perfectly honest I’m not a huge fan of lowland snow, just mountain snow. I care about the other three seasons as well. I would not like to experience the crummer of 1954 if it were to happen again.

[snow_wizard]

On February 11, 2011 Bartlesville, OK hit -28 a week later they were in the mid-80s...

 

 

That's one thing I wouldn't like about places like Denver.  If I live somewhere continental I want it to be consistently cold.

[Jesse]

PDX falling through the 30s...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Glad we have been agreeing that this was a non event from the get go.

 

None of these runs don't give me a nice dusting of snow. I just want to see everyone score. Especially Jim and TWL.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I thought spring and early summer 2011 were amazing.

[Canadian guy]

Really not liking the 00z gfs tonight. Makes the snow miss Victoria completely

Don't worry about precip maps right now as they will change with every run. Main thing is that it looks like it will be plenty cold with precip around.

[TT-SEA]

I thought spring and early summer 2011 were amazing.

 

Coldest ever.   Thankfully not the normal.  

[Jesse]

I thought spring and early summer 2011 were amazing.

 

February-July that year were a total throwback. Probably the most our climate has resembled that of the 1950s in the past decade or more.

[TT-SEA]

To be perfectly honest I’m not a huge fan of lowland snow, just mountain snow. I care about the other three seasons as well. I would not like to experience the crummer of 1954 if it were to happen again.

 

Chilly rain all summer would not be fun.    

 

I like summer to be summery.  

[Deweydog]

An opinion war brewing during the 00z!!!

 

Gonna get cluddered in here.

[Perturbed Member]

Most of us could probably live with this.

[snow_wizard]

This GFS run is considerably colder looking at the 500mb level as we get into Monday night than previous runs.  It's going to be interesting to see just how that ULL on Sunday tracks.

[TT-SEA]

February-July that year were a total throwback. Probably the most our climate has resembled that of the 1950s in the past decade or more.

 

As you know... I have gone through the daily weather data here for every day since 1898 when records started being kept.

 

I would have been perfectly happy with the weather here overall in the first half of the 20th century.    There were so many incredible summers and cold, snowy winters.   And even some of the summers from 1945-1960 were nice.    1951 was downright spectacular.      

[snow_wizard]

Not going to let myself get sucked into the sour mood that some posters seem to revel in, jokingly or not.

 

00z GFS showing fairly widespread 2-4 inches by 7AM Monday morning from Olympia north.

 

An improvement over the 18z even if it doesn't mean much yet.

 

 

 

Really nice!

[Esquimalt]

Most of us could probably live with this.

Not for me

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Most of us could probably live with this.

Not bad. More snow comes Tuesday night.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Snow Olympia to Vancouver (WA) Tuesday 

[MossMan]

This GFS run is considerably colder looking at the 500mb level as we get into Monday night than previous runs. It's going to be interesting to see just how that ULL on Sunday tracks.

The sour mood on here is comical. We are just a couple days away from the most exciting winter weather since February 2018!

[TT-SEA]

Really nice!

 

Looks like the 12Z ECMWF.

 

Nice improvements today in the snowfall maps for King County.  

[Perturbed Member]

Not for me

 

I'm sure the snow maps will change many times before the event. 

[Perturbed Member]

Not bad. More snow comes Tuesday night.

 

Yep, seems focused on OLM to a bit north of PDX. 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Look north up the coast at hour 162.

[Omegaraptor]

So jealous of the Sierras. Tahoe getting absolutely dumped on.