TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 At least some cooler temps. Better than a complete torch like today. I have seen this meme on my facebook feed from family and friends in the Midwest about 20 times today. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Way too much hope for retrogression several days ago by the forum. This time it worked but the pendulum swung too far to the west Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 You were sweating bullets there for a bit weren't you! 0.01" of precip was measured at VUO the other day from my sweat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Why do you say that?Because he has unvalidated conspiracy theories about the 18z. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 18z Euro showing more snow for North Sound and SW Interior by early Monday AM than 12z. Looks nice for here. Is the snow still ongoing at this time? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 1, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 18z Euro showing more snow for North Sound and SW Interior by early Monday AM than 12z. Yay Seattle, looks like Portland gets a nice 0 according to this. This is November 2010 all over, nothing for the valley, a decent amount for the Sound. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 I have seen this meme on my facebook feed from family and friends in the Midwest about 20 times today. We will all gladly take their cold and snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 People say this, but there’s no evidence to back it up. For the most part it’s a product of east coast weenie wishcasters and the fact the GFS sucks so astronomically that the short term bumps from run-to-run are usually complete horses**t anyway, hence the staying power of the rumor. Also, keep this in mind re: the reputation of the 18z GFS run in particular: There is no other 18z guidance for the medium range except the GFS, and most east coast snow weenies are coming home from work/school when it comes out. So when there’s a bad 18z GFS run, and there’s no additional model guidance to soften the sting of a bad run, of course there will be excuses to dismiss it, and the “lack of rasiosondes” is the only excuse with a shred of plausibly (and since 99% of data for initialization comes from satellites, and not rasiosondes, it really has no plausibility at all). So we’re being duped when we buy into that whole “the 18z run is inferior” bulls**t. Once we buy into that, the confirmation bias starts, we start selectively recalling instances that fit said narrative, etc.Yep. This. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 We will all gladly take their cold and snow. I have no interest in their cold. None. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Looking like winter 2018-19 is back on.Fred!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 1, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 I hope this is a sarcastic post....Quasi-serious, I do think Seattle will be much favored in this “event”. But the rest of it was intentionally melodramatic, yes. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Yay Seattle, looks like Portland gets a nice 0 according to this. This is November 2010 all over, nothing for the valley, a decent amount for the Sound.South valley might see some flakes in the air. Better than anything else that has happened to this point. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 1, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 South valley might see some flakes in the air. Better than anything else that has happened to this point.I was hoping for at least a widespread dusting Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Fred!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!His bark is usually worse than his bite. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Fred!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AcXnn6nxZ4k 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Side-by-side comparison of 18z and 12z Euro centered at 4AM Monday, which is as far as the 18z goes at this point. Much better for our BC friends and the NW Interior. Something tells me tonight's 00z will be nice for many. Thanks. I feel things are all up from here. The CFS shows an awesome cold signal for essentially all of February Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 1, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Side-by-side comparison of 18z and 12z Euro centered at 4AM Monday, which is as far as the 18z goes at this point. Much better for our BC friends and the NW Interior. Something tells me tonight's 00z will be nice for many. As long as my backyard gets more it’s all good. But seriously, I really hope it doesn’t skimp out on PDX like it has been doing. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 I have no interest in their cold. None.I wouldn't mind their cold as long as there's good solid snowcover but yeah cold without any snow is no good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 We will all gladly take their cold and snow.Honestly, I bet you’d tap out well before the temp hit -20*F, let alone -50*F. Who wants that kind of cold? Not only is it life threatening, but it screwed up the nor’easter potential with this pattern (which could have been epic). 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 I have seen this meme on my facebook feed from family and friends in the Midwest about 20 times today. We need a meme like that for summer on here. Maybe Jesse and Andrew stabbing a California Raisin to death? 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 If I’m gonna freeze to death I’d much rather do it with snowcover. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 We need a meme like that for summer on here. Maybe Jesse and Andrew stabbing a California Raisin to death?I was more thinking a sniper (mr. snowmizer) shooting the sun Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Honestly, I bet you’d tap out well before the temp hit -20*F, let alone -50*F. Who wants that kind of cold? Not only is it life threatening, but it screwed up the nor’easter potential with this pattern (which could have been epic).I've never experienced it so I wouldn't know. If it gets too much then I can always turn up the heater inside. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 I've never experienced it so I wouldn't know. If it gets too much then I can always turn up the heater inside. Its gets real annoying really fast. Its seriously painful to walk outside. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 I was more thinking a sniper (mr. snowmizer) shooting the sunOr on the other end of things, Tim hugging a palm tree. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 I've never experienced it so I wouldn't know. If it gets too much then I can always turn up the heater inside.People living in those areas have to plug their cars in all the time during the cold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Or on the other end of things, Tim hugging a palm tree. Again... I don't have any palm trees here! And I know they do fine here because there are some in North Bend. Here is one you can use for a meme... DIE SUMMER DIE!! Nice weather is evil. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 I wouldn't mind their cold as long as there's good solid snowcover but yeah cold without any snow is no good.Cold with no snow is legitimately fuucking terrible..you guys don’t understand it. People here mock me for the “too cold to snow” stuff but it’s a real struggle for us on this side of the continent, where we don’t have the Pacific as a moisture source like you guys. Just look at Boston right now. We need to phase a series of waves at just the right time/location to draw moisture from far away places, even in a normal winter airmass (let alone these frigid midwinter behemoths lacking even a single H^2O molecule). Most of our huge cold blasts (1985, 1977, 1978, 1989, 1994, 1999, and recent ones like 2014, 2018, etc) are largely snowless. The one recent exception might be 2015. I bet we get much more snowfall after this cold departs completely. Take it to the bank. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Its gets real annoying really fast. Its seriously painful to walk outside.People living in those areas have to plug their cars in all the time during the cold.I see. It does probably get draining Winter after Winter if they get those type of conditions. From far away though it would seem to me a certain percentage of people would welcome that type of weather from seeing it on twitter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Roughly 32 of the Euro's 50 ensemble members show measurable snowfall over the PNW region D10-D15. Some members completely bury us, like the ones below. There were more beauties to choose from but these were among the snowiest. Are the others that don't show snow showing cold and clear, or do they warm up and go back to south west flow? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Honestly, I bet you’d tap out well before the temp hit -20*F, let alone -50*F. Who wants that kind of cold? Not only is it life threatening, but it screwed up the nor’easter potential with this pattern (which could have been epic).Iv'e ridden snowmobiles many times at -10 or so and it was tolerable but minus 50 would be insane. Humans were not built for that kind of cold. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Honestly, I bet you’d tap out well before the temp hit -20*F, let alone -50*F. Who wants that kind of cold? Not only is it life threatening, but it screwed up the nor’easter potential with this pattern (which could have been epic).Amazing the difference though east of our cascades when talking cold. I can work outside over there with a hoodie and jeans at ten degrees and it feels fine but over here doing the same thing at 35 degrees feels colder to me. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Cold with no snow is legitimately fuucking terrible..you guys don’t understand it. People here mock me for the “too cold to snow” stuff but it’s a real struggle for us on this side of the continent, where we don’t have the Pacific as a moisture source like you guys. Just look at Boston right now. We need to phase a series of waves at just the right time/location to draw moisture from far away places, even in a normal winter airmass (let alone these frigid midwinter behemoths lacking even a single H^2O molecule). Most of our huge cold blasts (1985, 1977, 1978, 1989, 1994, 1999, and recent ones like 2014, 2018, etc) are largely snowless. The one recent exception might be 2015. I bet we get much more snowfall after this cold departs completely. Take it to the bank.I know the feeling. An Arctic Blast with no snow is a terrible waste. The December 2013 Arctic Blast here was painful for me as I only got cold and no snow. Some of the best snowstorms I've ever gotten have been when it's just cold enough. For instance, December 2008 and January 2017. You ideally want to be just north of the Winter Battle Zone. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Roughly 32 of the Euro's 50 ensemble members show measurable snowfall over the PNW region D10-D15. Some members completely bury us, like the ones below. There were more beauties to choose from but these were among the snowiest. This would fit the Februay 1995 analog. Great to see this strong of a signal this far out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 As long as my backyard gets more it’s all good. But seriously, I really hope it doesn’t skimp out on PDX like it has been doing.Some folks have had it worse than PDX in recent years. It goes in cycles. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 1, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Some folks have had it worse than PDX in recent years. It goes in cycles.The entire Willamette Valley I guess. Then again, I’m still annoyed that Puget Sound got like 4 wind events this winter. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Rain on the radar! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 My angry Arctic Snowman was digging to fast to the SW. I changed it and he's now digging rapidly to the SE. I hope this helps as we head down the home stretch. ❄❄ 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Iv'e ridden snowmobiles many times at -10 or so and it was tolerable but minus 50 would be insane. Humans were not built for that kind of cold.Haha, geesh dude. “Tolerable”? More power to you. Definitely not my cup of tea. This airmass mostly missed us (no records broken) but it was miserable enough for me to not want to deal with it again this winter. The closest thing I’ve experienced to “extreme” cold was the February 2015 blast. Temp dropped to -7*F (weak sauce by Midwest standards) but mountain wave gusts were between 60-70mph, producing legit ground blizzard conditions and wind chills near -30*F. It was probably the most brutal (and awe inspiring) weather I’ve ever experienced in my life. I never imagined that one inch of snowfall blowing around could produce zero visibility and make a clear sky look cloudy. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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