MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 At this point we can hope there is surprises in the pattern now shown. Like deformation bands. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Hi been awhile!Oh man I should have posted last night when I recovered the password but the forum crashed on me > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 But its still lingering into the early morning on Tuesday. Portland scores something! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 The Seattle area and my area get pretty much nothing on the 00Z ECMWF. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 But its still lingering into the early morning on Tuesday. Portland scores something! If that happens AlpineExperience is going to drive down here and rip my esophagus out 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Honestly didn't expect much Sunday night in the first place. (KEEP IN MIND THE SOLUTIONS COULD STILL CHANGE SO DON'T USE TONIGHT'S MODEL RUNS RELIGIOUSLY) Definitely looking forward to later next week for any future events, as I was before. Arctic air in place in BC should make things interesting for any shortwaves or small lows riding the trough. Much more potential there. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 If that happens AlpineExperience is going to drive down here and rip my esophagus outI’m moving to Spokane Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Guys it could always trend the other way"Why are you booing me? I'm right!" Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 This is probably the worst collapse since 2011. I wanted at least someone to score with this. Now no one will. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Cliff Mass is stocking up on eggs tonight. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Mark just posted this in my group after seeing my WRF post 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 This is probably the worst collapse since 2011. I wanted at least someone to score with this. Now no one will. Portland is actually the big winner with about 2 inches. They deserve a win. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Mark just posted this in my group after seeing my WRF post Screenshot_2019-01-31 PDX WX Analysis.pngDeformation band for the Win! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Portland is actually the big winner with about 2 inches. They deserve a win. Dafuq? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 6 Time to go jetsking! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Portland is actually the big winner with about 2 inches. They deserve a win. That's as good as no one as far as my location is concerned. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Unfortunately... the lack of cold air is also evident and PDX is around 40 degrees by Tuesday afternoon per the ECMWF. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 This is probably the worst collapse since 2011. I wanted at least someone to score with this. Now no one will.This will go in the record books Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Unfortunately... the lack of cold air is also evident and PDX is around 40 degrees by Tuesday afternoon per the ECMWF. I was hoping for 70. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Well at least we still have the JMA: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Unfortunately... the lack of cold air is also evident and PDX is around 40 degrees by Tuesday afternoon per the ECMWF. No reason to expect impressive cold with marginal upper level temps and it now being February. A few inches of morning snow that melt off by the next day are what we have to hang our hat on at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Unfortunately... the lack of cold air is also evident and PDX is around 40 degrees by Tuesday afternoon per the ECMWF.I think pdx will overachieve considerably especially with more offshore flow being modeled. The wrf is showing that already and it picks up on the gorge effect better. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Wow, my call for lumpy rain was a bit optimistic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Sounder Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 This is all Phil's fault. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Portland is actually the big winner with about 2 inches. They deserve a win. Can you please post the close up snow total maps? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 No reason to expect impressive cold with marginal upper level temps and it now being February. A few inches of morning snow that melt off by the next day are what we have to hang our hat on at this point. More memorable that what the Seattle area will get with this event... it will barely be noticeable up here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 I think pdx will overachieve considerably especially with more offshore flow being modeled. The wrf is showing that already and it picks up on the gorge effect better.Oh, yeah if we see offshore flow develop Monday AM it'll be significant colder. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 7 Fast moving pattern, progressive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2019020100/portland/ecmwf_tsnow_portland_23.png 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2019020100/portland/ecmwf_tsnow_portland_23.png I posted the same thing at the same time... I just deleted mine. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2019020100/portland/ecmwf_tsnow_portland_23.png still haven’t figured out how to post wb maps? Tim post yours people without wb can’t see Andrews. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Reload still looks decent on the ECMWF. I am sure that will work out just fine. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 More memorable that what the Seattle area will get with this event... it will barely be noticeable up here. Too early to say anything. Sunday into Monday is probably a lost cause south of Bellingham, but deformation zones are notoriously fickle and hard to predict. I'd feel better about a big deformation zone's chances on this side of the mountains if the lower level cold air advection feeding into the cut-off energy was a bit more impressive. My suspicion is it would be pretty anemic over here and more of a Columbia Basin special. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 still haven’t figured out how to post wb maps? Tim post yours people without wb can’t see it Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Thanks Northern Messiah. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 8Looks good for a possible reload. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Oh, yeah if we see offshore flow develop Monday AM it'll be significant colder. Very unlikely that PDX sees anything below 39-40 for highs at current face value. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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