GHweatherChris Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 You actually have a much better chance than the Seattle area. It would be ironic considering you have been the most vocally negative poster. I am sure you won't mind though. You should know me by now Tim when it comes to potential snowy patterns. I feel like I have a good shot of 3 inches of snow due to the track of the ULL. Also, I am a bit bummed, still recovering from back surgery so can't really enjoy the snow no matter what we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 You should know me by now Tim when it comes to potential snowy patterns. I feel like I have a good shot of 3 inches of snow due to the track of the ULL. Also, I am a bit bummed, still recovering from back surgery so can't really enjoy the snow no matter what we get.I am just giving you sh*t... I don't mind your posts at all. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 18z Sober Uncle Day 1 block 2 notches stronger than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 While we wait for the 18Z run... SEA ended up +3.0 for January and there was 3.83 inches of rain compared to a normal of 5.57 SEA was almost perfectly normal for the rainy season prior to January... and now is running a -1.86 departure (Oct-Jan). Side note... it rained on 68 days in the Oct-Jan period at SEA. Normal days with rain in that period is 68. So for those who say its not normal to have this many dry days in the rainy season... this is actually perfectly normal in that regard. Had 16 dry days in January up here. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 1.5 (10 AM Saturday) Animated GIF of past 8 runs. See the trend I have been talking about for a few days of the block strengthening, amplitude increasing, and improved amplification up through Alaska. https://imgur.com/xaf6qyB 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 While we wait for the 18Z run... SEA ended up +3.0 for January and there was 3.83 inches of rain compared to a normal of 5.57 SEA was almost perfectly normal for the rainy season prior to January... and now is running a -1.86 departure (Oct-Jan). Side note... it rained on 68 days in the Oct-Jan period at SEA. Normal days with rain in that period is 68. So for those who say its not normal to have this many dry days in the rainy season... this is actually perfectly normal in that regard. Why are you hell bent on trying to prove That it's rained enuff and some how that has something to do with our mountain's snow pack? It has been dryer than normal almost region wide and snow is running 15 to 35% below what it should be last i checked. I'm not throwing a punch or trying to start something but it's like you want us to believe something that's not real. Kinda strange.. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Snowy Sunday for Bellingham on the 18z. 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 You should know me by now Tim when it comes to potential snowy patterns.I feel like I have a good shot of 3 inches of snow due to the track of the ULL.Also, I am a bit bummed, still recovering from back surgery so can't really enjoy the snow no matter what we get.Hope you have a full recovery man and a fast one! We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 2 HR 54 Arctic trough and low two notches east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 To pass the time....Do you remember the Jan 1980 Portland snow storm? I recall a TV Met (I don't remember his name, channel 6 I believe) that forecast a major snow event for PDX. Everyone else scoffed at the idea.He turned out to be correct. My boss at the time lived near Mall 205 in east Portland and at one point had close to 2 feet of snow. While I lived in Sherwood and all we got was chunky rain.It seems an arctic front got hung up over Portland, with low pressure just off the coast circulating a lot of precipitation over Portland.That’s when I learned anything can happen no matter what they say. We were without power for almost a week with that storm. Good memories I used to live where you currently reside. My best buddy still lives out there in Sandy Palisades Troutdale and I used to live just below Sunrise Park with beautiful view of the cascade range and Mount Hood. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Snowy Sunday for Bellingham on the 18z. Been a pretty consistent theme. I think they're looking good for 3-5" up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Why are you hell bent on trying to prove That it's rained enuff and some how that has something to do with our mountain's snow pack? It has been dryer than normal almost region wide and snow is running 15 to 35% below what it should be last i checked. I'm not throwing a punch or trying to start something but it's like you want us to believe something that's not real. Kinda strange.. I am just saying that the number of dry days this winter has been perfectly normal. But its been a little drier than normal in terms of total precip. You made a comment yesterday about the lack of rainy days being ridiculous... but the number of rainy days this wet season has been literally exactly climo. That is all. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Probably won't make a difference. Need it to move out off BC further south closer to Vancouver Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Hope you have a full recovery man and a fast one!Thanks, had surgery in early December but a few setbacks has prolonged the recovery time, gonnna be a bit before I am back to normal life and work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Man the outflow from the Fraser might be pretty D**n powerful. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 The Arctic front is nearly to Williams Lake now, Shawnigan must be experiencing quite the blizzard.The snow wasn’t overly heavy. It was raining most of the night but it’s currently 14F with a windchill of 0. With light snow falling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Just by a blend of gfs nam and euro complete snow cover looks like a good bet from at least portland north. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 18Z GFS on Monday afternoon... about the same as previous runs. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 2.5 what a gorgeous 500mb pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Geez... Unbelievable how lame the Monday/Tueday period looks now...Yikes. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 I will not be all that surprised if this trends to where the cold trough holds over us/southwest of us and we go right into an arctic blast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Monday night deformation zone formation looks decent... Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Geez... Unbelievable how lame the Monday/Tueday period looks now...Yikes. Yeah... just not seeing how the entire area is blanketed in snow by Monday afternoon. Its not even that cold. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 This deformation band signature is showing up on most models now. It's definitely going to be cold enough with the cold pool and good offshore flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 The 12z EPS keeps the -NAM/-PNA going thru D10-15. Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Monday night deformation zone formation looks decent... Looks good for Portland... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Man if that thing would just shift north and east some and slow down we'd get clobbered. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Yeah... just not seeing how the entire area is blanketed in snow by Monday afternoon. Its not even that cold. It is very possible I do not even see accumulating snow at 1600' unless there is some deformation zone action at some point. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 The 12z EPS keeps the -NAM/-PNA going thru D10-15. EPS has been insanely consistent. It has literally not wavered once. Its going to be a cold month. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Deformation band quickly pulls south. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 You should know me by now Tim when it comes to potential snowy patterns.I feel like I have a good shot of 3 inches of snow due to the track of the ULL.Also, I am a bit bummed, still recovering from back surgery so can't really enjoy the snow no matter what we get.Hope you make a full recovery with limited issues. Back pain sucks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Geez... Unbelievable how lame the Monday/Tueday period looks now...Yikes. This run isn't really any different, as one should expect within 84 hours. Not sure what the surprise is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 And the signal is amplifying towards D15 as the NPAC jet continues to retract poleward above the Indo-China ERW/HC engine. Kaboom. This thing isn’t a one hit wonder. Probably has at least two weeks to run. 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 And no signs of PV recouping over NE-Canada and/or outrageous warm pool convection/+TNH like we’ve been accustomed to in recent years. Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Looks good for Portland... Monday night has good potential down here with a possible deformation band. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Day 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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