February 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest - Part 1

[Blizzard777]

Why Thank U AccuWeather

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Yeah, let me know when an east coast city goes 40 days without a single raindrop.

 

Seattle’s rain does not fall throughout the year, while the east coast’s does. Seattle has a dry season, enough to be considered a “cool Mediterranean” climate in some classification systems.

That's one of the reasons why I love PDX Summers. It's dry and mainly sunny in the Summer. Just wish June would be more like July and August like last Summer.

[TT-SEA]

00z ICON is still the best looking model for central Puget Sound.

 

 

I just noticed that the ICON has shifted west with each of the last few runs and made a bigger shift west on the 00Z run.   Its still playing catch up.    

 

It also seems to over-estimate precipitation in general.  

[TT-SEA]

That's one of the reasons why I love PDX Summers. It's dry and mainly sunny in the Summer. Just wish June would be more like July and August like last Summer.

 

 

^THIS.    

[TT-SEA]

GFS time!  

[El_Nina]

Snow mixing in the rain in Sandy.

[El_Nina]

Wait no I'm just under a tree.

[Guest hawkstwelve]

00z ICON is the nicest run yet for Puget Sound.

 

Much more precip than all other models, which means it's probably overestimating. But hey, fun to see.

[Jesse]

Wait no I'm just under a tree.

You need to tone it down with the puff and posts.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

ICON has some energy moving through Tuesday evening. Would be pretty low snow levels, but probably rain below 1000'. 

[Blizzard777]

Wait no I'm just under a tree.

 

Lol

[Frontal Snowsquall]

ICON final caved, in terms of being a lot warmer...

 

On the other hand it has a nice deformation band over the valley Monday night/Tuesday AM.

Yeah, the models are really starting to pick up on this deformation band. I'm still hopeful Sunday overnight into Monday will produce some accumulations around town but Monday night into Tuesday is what I'm really watching out for.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The ICON solution is a lot wetter later in the week. Would lead to cooler daytime highs.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Why Thank U AccuWeather

Wow that's pretty neat. That must be a new feature, never seen it before. Good to see the percentages of possible snowfall amounts. I'll have to check out what it says for my area later.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

My likes are back and I didn't even have to unlike any old posts!

[TT-SEA]

Definite eastward jump on the 00Z GFS on Sunday.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

GFS time!

It's time for the GFS to deliver the goods! Then hopefully the UKMET, FV3, GEM and EURO will follow.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Good snow storm for western wa on icon possible late week.

[Meatyorologist]

I would like to make a second announcement. In my previous post, I intentionally spread false information to psychologically subvert your mind into thinking that logic matters. In a brazen and fruitless attempt to redeem my name and squander criticism, I'll tell you the truth:

 

-Snow maps underdo accumulations. Both in scope and magnitude, every time. Even in length. The farther out the forecast, the better.

If snowfall accumulations don't pan out, it's because of toxic, weather-manipulating aerosols being sprayed into the atmosphere by our Illuminati government in the sole attempt to piss us snow fans off.

If this happens, stage an uprising against the moon men. That's where the actual government resides.

 

-"Convective" situations are not only the easiest situations to predict, but they also do not exist. Convection was invented by the scientist "Mad Boye" in his obscure, offensive and controversial 1601 scientific research study into why white girls show off excessively in urban areas. How this translated into modern conventional meteorology is still unclear.

Cumulonimbus clouds exist because of that dank kush Mad Boye smoked, still revolving around the earth; completely victim to the irreversible, undying constant that is our jet stream. It's so beautiful that god sometimes cries over it, producing what we perceive to be rain (or if its cold enough, snow).

 

-Models love you. They were built for the sole purpose of fulfilling your wildest meteorological fantasies. People who share any sort of idea that weather models were created for the purpose of scientific study or public/private use are either hopelessly delusional or intentionally and maliciously spreading false information and lies.

 

-Most importantly, TAKE EVERYTHING AT FACE VALUE!!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Definite eastward jump on the 00Z GFS on Sunday.

Yeah can see it good between the 12z and 00z.

[Brennan]

Something to think about too is the fact that 100 mile shift to the models and the rest of the world is completely unnoticeable.... but a 50-100 mile shift to us is the difference between life or death.

[TT-SEA]

GFS now exactly matches ECMWF for Monday morning.   

[SilverFallsAndrew]

A little cooler. Hardly any precip through hour 60.

[The Swamp]

Definite eastward jump on the 00Z GFS on Sunday.

 

Wait a minute.  Not possible.  You said things were "locked in" earlier today.

[TT-SEA]

Wait a minute.  Not possible.  You said things were "locked in" earlier today.

 

I think the models are just settling in on one solution.     Which should happen with 48 hours.

 

As I mentioned... the GFS was west of the ECMWF this morning and now they match exactly.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice snow event for the Blue Mtns.

[Requiem]

Well, pretty big easterly jump from the GFS, a very good development.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Highs or lows?

I would like to make a second announcement. In my previous post, I intentionally spread false information to psychologically subvert your mind into thinking that logic matters. In a brazen and fruitless attempt to redeem my name and squander criticism, I'll tell you the truth:

 

-Snow maps underdo accumulations. Both in scope and magnitude, every time. Even in length. The farther out the forecast, the better.

If snowfall accumulations don't pan out, it's because of toxic, weather-manipulating aerosols being sprayed into the atmosphere by our Illuminati government in the sole attempt to piss us snow fans off.

If this happens, stage an uprising against the moon men. That's where the actual government resides.

 

-"Convective" situations are not only the easiest situations to predict, but they also do not exist. Convection was invented by the scientist "Mad Boye" in his obscure, offensive and controversial 1601 scientific research study into why white girls show off excessively in urban areas. How this translated into modern conventional meteorology is still unclear.

Cumulonimbus clouds exist because of that dank kush Mad Boye smoked, still revolving around the earth; completely victim to the irreversible, undying constant that is our jet stream. It's so beautiful that god sometimes cries over it, producing what we perceive to be rain (or if its cold enough, snow).

 

-Models love you. They were built for the sole purpose of fulfilling your wildest meteorological fantasies. People who share any sort of idea that weather models were created for the purpose of scientific study or public/private use are either hopelessly delusional or intentionally and maliciously spreading false information and lies.

 

-Most importantly, TAKE EVERYTHING AT FACE VALUE!!

Much better!! I accept this and find it to be true, specially when it comes to getting snow in my backyard. I double checked and researched it online, and he is right.

[TT-SEA]

This is still mostly rain in Portland on Monday afternoon... but I think the deformation band might set up nicely there overnight.

 

[wxmet]

Wouldn’t take much more for the GFS to produce an ICON solution. Close to being something special for the Sound. Maybe more eastward shifts possible in future runs.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

I would like to make a second announcement. In my previous post, I intentionally spread false information to psychologically subvert your mind into thinking that logic matters. In a brazen and fruitless attempt to redeem my name and squander criticism, I'll tell you the truth:

 

-Snow maps underdo accumulations. Both in scope and magnitude, every time. Even in length. The farther out the forecast, the better.

If snowfall accumulations don't pan out, it's because of toxic, weather-manipulating aerosols being sprayed into the atmosphere by our Illuminati government in the sole attempt to piss us snow fans off.

If this happens, stage an uprising against the moon men. That's where the actual government resides.

 

-"Convective" situations are not only the easiest situations to predict, but they also do not exist. Convection was invented by the scientist "Mad Boye" in his obscure, offensive and controversial 1601 scientific research study into why white girls show off excessively in urban areas. How this translated into modern conventional meteorology is still unclear.

Cumulonimbus clouds exist because of that dank kush Mad Boye smoked, still revolving around the earth; completely victim to the irreversible, undying constant that is our jet stream. It's so beautiful that god sometimes cries over it, producing what we perceive to be rain (or if its cold enough, snow).

 

-Models love you. They were built for the sole purpose of fulfilling your wildest meteorological fantasies. People who share any sort of idea that weather models were created for the purpose of scientific study or public/private use are either hopelessly delusional or intentionally and maliciously spreading false information and lies.

 

-Most importantly, TAKE EVERYTHING AT FACE VALUE!!

Love your sense of humor!

[TT-SEA]

Warmer zone over western WA on Monday afternoon with the offshore flow...

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like some kind of vort max swings through the Central/South Willamette Valley Monday morning between 4-10a.

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Def gon be some d-band action in the valley somewhere in the coming days.

[TT-SEA]

Portland deformation zone action on Monday evening and maybe still going for Andrew early Tuesday morning...

 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Better deformation down south in Lane county for TWL Monday night.

 

[TT-SEA]

Warmer zone persists over western WA even on Tuesday morning... Eugene gets the colder air as usual. 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Portland deformation zone action on Monday evening and maybe still going for Andrew early Tuesday morning...

 

 

 

Still a little hanging around in the next frame. 

[Guest Sounder]

Something to think about too is the fact that 100 mile shift to the models and the rest of the world is completely unnoticeable.... but a 50-100 mile shift to us is the difference between life or death.

This is a great point that often seems ignored on here. People shriek about "busts" and how whatever model is "out to lunch" with various scenarios, completely losing sight of the fact that most often, a minor shift in the pattern, especially in our climate, can mean massive changes in what we observe in our backyards. The models have actually done a pretty fantastic job at showing the large scale pattern for this event from well in advance. Even if no one in the lowlands sees accumulating snow, it would be far from a bust from what was being shown 8-9 days ago.

[jakeinthevalley]

I would like to make a second announcement. In my previous post, I intentionally spread false information to psychologically subvert your mind into thinking that logic matters. In a brazen and fruitless attempt to redeem my name and squander criticism, I'll tell you the truth:

 

-Snow maps underdo accumulations. Both in scope and magnitude, every time. Even in length. The farther out the forecast, the better.

If snowfall accumulations don't pan out, it's because of toxic, weather-manipulating aerosols being sprayed into the atmosphere by our Illuminati government in the sole attempt to piss us snow fans off.

If this happens, stage an uprising against the moon men. That's where the actual government resides.

 

-"Convective" situations are not only the easiest situations to predict, but they also do not exist. Convection was invented by the scientist "Mad Boye" in his obscure, offensive and controversial 1601 scientific research study into why white girls show off excessively in urban areas. How this translated into modern conventional meteorology is still unclear.

Cumulonimbus clouds exist because of that dank kush Mad Boye smoked, still revolving around the earth; completely victim to the irreversible, undying constant that is our jet stream. It's so beautiful that god sometimes cries over it, producing what we perceive to be rain (or if its cold enough, snow).

 

-Models love you. They were built for the sole purpose of fulfilling your wildest meteorological fantasies. People who share any sort of idea that weather models were created for the purpose of scientific study or public/private use are either hopelessly delusional or intentionally and maliciously spreading false information and lies.

 

-Most importantly, TAKE EVERYTHING AT FACE VALUE!!

So in other words, you could have said that wishcasting is a valid branch of meteorology. In fact, it may be the most important branch. Got it, thanks.