crf450ish Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 The 00Z GFS and FV3 are basically dry for western WA for the next 10 day other than some dribs and drabs of precip on a couple days. GFS is basically dry until 324 hours.http://i.imgur.com/ZpjNE5I.jpg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Side note... the ECMWF on Friday morning showed about 6-8 inches of snow for my area over the weekend. That did not even come close to happening. And in fact... the existing snow cover melted down more. It does not do well with marginal temp situations... it assumes everything is sticking and accumulating but that is rarely the case. It was in the low 40s each day here and did not go below freezing at all except for about 2 hours on Friday afternoon when it was 31 in a c-zone and then was up to 36 by 10 p.m. Something to keep in mind when we see those incredible ECMWF snowfall total maps covering many days.If only there was some way to get people to stop posting those ridiculous Euro snow maps all the time. Very misleading. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Here's a good live webcam from Bend, OR. Looks like they have solid snowcover on the ground already. Their suppose to get pounded overnight. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-A3LyNqR1Fs 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 That's pretty darn impressive considering some of the cold Decembers you've had and Jan 2017.As far as February’s go, we have a shot at 3rd. 1936 and 1989 are out of reach. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Day 22 with snowcover...incredible! I documented each day so far in pics in the winter pic thread. Even though I received 34” in Dec. 2008 I don’t believe it stayed (other than piles) much over 18 days or so. These 22” have really stuck around nicely! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Winter is over... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 I think that low is still going to veer north. Even mesoscale models agree. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Here's a good live webcam from Bend, OR. Looks like they have solid snowcover on the ground already. Their suppose to get pounded overnight. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-A3LyNqR1FsIt's surprising there were areas in the columbia basin that did not have solid snowcover a couple days ago. Constant lows sliding inland into Oregon, constant cold air reloads... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Still steady light snow. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 If only there was some way to get people to stop posting those ridiculous Euro snow maps all the time. Very misleading. I don't like posting the snow total maps covering long periods of time. It usually just amplifies and exaggerates the issues with marginal temps because that is often an issue here. It can do great for specific periods and events... particularly if the temps are below freezing. It did really well overall up here on the 2/8 event for example... when most of the area was in the 20s when it was snowing. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 The 00Z GFS and FV3 are basically dry for western WA for the next 10 day other than some dribs and drabs of precip on a couple days. GFS is basically dry until 324 hours.Hopefully those drought conditions can start sneaking back in down here. We started making some progress moving out of it this month, was getting frighteningly wet! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Low has finally moved northish according to IR. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Hopefully those drought conditions can start sneaking back in down here. We started making some progress moving out of it this month, was getting frighteningly wet! Only 2 inches of rain here this month... almost all on the first day. And then 50+ inches of snow. Still a little bit below normal for precip though. I have a feeling 2019 might actually be the first drier than normal year since 2013 in this area. Low solar and ENSO neutral working in our favor. Sluggish jet stream. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 My friend at Crooked River Ranch has been getting pummeled all day with snow. He's already had a couple trees go down. He had about 4-5" before it even started snowing in Redmond. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Low has finally moved northish according to IR.Good news. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Low has finally moved northish according to IR.Keep it moving! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Remember last week when fresh off a drive through Roseburg I crowned them the worst non-coastal spot for winter weather in the PNW. Now they are getting slammed with a 12"+ snowstorm. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Still steady light snow.No BSF for you tonight! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Only 2 inches of rain here this month... almost all on the first day. And then 50+ inches of snow. Still a little bit below normal for precip though. I have a feeling 2019 might actually be the first drier than normal year since 2013 in this area. Low solar and ENSO neutral working in our favor. Sluggish jet stream. Indeed, the last low solar period from 2008-12 was known for its very dry springs and summers. The 2010 drought is not one I will soon forget. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Hopefully those drought conditions can start sneaking back in down here. We started making some progress moving out of it this month, was getting frighteningly wet! Also.. much of OR will have copious precip over the next 3 days. That is where its needed. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 The scooter stopped at Walgreens and got a can of fix a flat. Snow movin north. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew. Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 HRRR says maybe 10 hours of light snow in PDX Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 HRRR says maybe 10 hours of light snow in PDXHRRR shows some heavier bursts in there too. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Indeed, the last low solar period from 2008-12 was known for its very dry springs and summers. The 2010 drought is not one I will soon forget. Yeah... that was not low solar like this minimum. And 2009 was a gorgeous summer. So was 2012. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew. Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 HRRR shows some heavier bursts in there too.Yep and maybe an afternoon deformation band 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Kind of disappointing how fast the models zip this system through. Probably end up with highs in the low 40s most places. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Precip is further north than modeled. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 It's surprising there were areas in the columbia basin that did not have solid snowcover a couple days ago. Constant lows sliding inland into Oregon, constant cold air reloads...First it was Eastern Washington getting slammed with heavy snow earlier this month, now it looks like it's Eastern Oregon's turn this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Sigh. https://mobile.twitter.com/MarkNelsenKPTV/status/1099900114854789125 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Yeah... that was not low solar like this minimum. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Kind of disappointing how fast the models zip this system through. Probably end up with highs in the low 40s most places. Mark is going with 35 for PDX tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Precip is further north than modeled.Hmm.... Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Indeed, the last low solar period from 2008-12 was known for its very dry springs and summers. The 2010 drought is not one I will soon forget.You know things are slowing down for Seattle and Portland when this shitty banter fires back up. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Mark is going with 35 for PDX tomorrow. Unfortunately he also just stuck a fork in this event. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Mark is going with 35 for PDX tomorrow.Haha. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Unfortunately he also just stuck a fork in this event. Yep, but he’s going off of GFS based models. Maybe things will be more north, who knows? Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Dumping snow in Veneta per cams. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Hmm....How far further north? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kidcubby Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 https://twitter.com/marknelsenkptv/status/1099903552657403904?s=21 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 I have a feeling this will be a blocky spring and summer. Periods of deep troughing which does not always mean wet... and extended periods of ridging. Just a hunch. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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