4/10 - 4/12 Plains/Upper Midwest Powerhouse Blizzard

[gabel23]

Check out these snowfall predictions for North Platte's CWA, wow. 

 

 

[Stormgeek]

Very interested to see what the EURO says, American models have me sitting on the southern extent of the super heavy stuff. This has been such a crazy year that nothing is off the table.

[gosaints]

hard left

[St Paul Storm]

I don’t think this is gonna go very well.

[gosaints]

Euro is north of the GFS as the surface

[St Paul Storm]

850s are colder but this is gonna fly too close by. This is probably a St Cloud to Duluth smash job.

[Stormgeek]

That would be the worst scenario for me... Either give me 12 or give me rain this time in the season...

 

850s are colder but this is gonna fly too close by. This is probably a St Cloud to Duluth smash job.

[gosaints]

That is gonna be a very interesting end game for you guys in the cities.  850 are cold

[Hawkeye]

Ryan Maue tweeted an hourly euro loop

 

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1115679073710350336

[gosaints]

Relatively poor model performance as far as the EURO goes the last 3 runs

[Stormgeek]

Ryan Maue tweeted an hourly euro loop

 

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1115679073710350336

Man, that is pretty incredible. Riding basically on the edge here. The gradient could easily split SPS and myself.

[St Paul Storm]

ARX’s forecast dilemma has now turned into MPX’s problem.

[james1976]

[St Paul Storm]

Still a pretty decent hit for the cities on the Euro from what I can tell. But yeah, it hasn’t performed very well on what could be the last big snow of the season.

[CentralNebWeather]

Ryan Maue tweeted an hourly euro loop

 

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1115679073710350336

That is quite a loop.  It would hit Central, Western, and Northern Nebraska hard if winds are over 60 MPH. 

[CentralNebWeather]

I am concerned about the potential ice before the snow and what it could do to trees and power lines.  Plus it will be a heavy wet snow which will also cause other issues for those farmers that are calving.  Just an amazing winter/spring in Nebraska for extreme weather events with many not being positive.

[gosaints]

My favorite set ups are the ones where I have no idea what is going to happen.  The fronto band tomorrow is a perfect example of that.

[CentralNebWeather]

Anyone have the 12Z Euro snowfall map that they could post?  Thanks

[indianajohn]

Safe to say this is the first time this season I am happy this storm did what almost every other storm did this season GO NORTH!!! LOL!!

[CentralNebWeather]

Blizzard Warning

 

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM CDT

FRIDAY ...

 

* WHAT ...Freezing rain, sleet, and blizzard conditions expected.

Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches locally up to 7

inches, and ice accumulations of up to two tenths of an inch

expected. North winds of 30 to 40 mph gusting as high as 50 to

60 mph.

 

* WHERE ...Portions of central and south central Nebraska.

 

* WHEN ...From 7 PM Wednesday to 1 AM CDT Friday.

 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS ...Travel could be very difficult. Areas of

blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The

hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening

commutes. Strong winds could cause extensive damage to trees and

power lines, especially in areas that receive freezing rain.

Road closures may be possible during the height of the storm.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ...

 

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are

expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds

and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout

conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If

you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get

stranded, stay with your vehicle.

 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can

be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

[Stormhunter87]

At least we have a shot at severe weather although I can deal without the hail threat.

[St Paul Storm]

Point down to 3-5” of snow. I was very skeptical of the models and for good reason. April storms are extremely difficult to forecast and the models struggled until now.

[OKwx2k4]

Awesome mid-spring weather for you folks up there still loving the battle of fire and ice! I haven't been around much in awhile but I've been checking in here and there. I knew my winter was basically a bust in January. I hate that but I'm glad you folks just to my north have had it out since early October. What a winter! Like a train, once it started, it just won't stop.

 

Hat tip to Tom on calling out the "Year Without a Summer". The temp and climate profiles I'm looking at are a perfect walkup to what Tom has saw. I think it's an NE US heatwave year with a few continental and pnw originated air masses. Precip is arbitrary but I think it holds serve where it is into the summer with a slight retrogression west and SW as spring fades and summer starts.

 

Down here, we have had 2 summers, 2 autumns, 2 winters and I wonder if we can do second spring and no summer.

 

It's going to be hard to describe the weather (seasonally) here from 2017-present without telling a long story. Lol.

 

Easiest thing to say....."Well, the drought's over...Thank the Lord." Thank Him indeed.

[East Dubzz]

Wonder if that precipitation in E Iowa is falling right now. Models didn’t show anything at this time yet.

[gosaints]

Slowing Down

[james1976]

Off and on light rain here. Took a while to saturate.

[Iowawx]

Moderate to heavy rain about to move into Cedar Rapids area.

[gabel23]

Long live the nam; only chance I have for snow as it’s the only model showing a secondary band forming. I would like to see one last snow but then again bring on the warm weather. Hoping for a last second trend tonight.

[Stormhunter87]

Based on the 3k nam looks like a straight line wind threat, although with all that cold air I know that hail is in play.

[Stormy]

It's starting to thunder just now. Small mostly virga cells probably.

[St Paul Storm]

0z GFS isn’t bad at all. I’d take it.

[East Dubzz]

GFS still showing a good amount of rain, but certainly nothing like it was even 24 hours ago.

[Hawkeye]

The rain has been very light so far.  It took the bright colors on radar just to get light rain to the ground.  I'm ready for humidity and thunderstorms.

[james1976]

Lot of thunder over here

[St Paul Storm]

Might see 1-2” of slop here. Looks like rain, freezing rain and sleet will be the predominant p-types. Model fail all around I’d say. The NAM was the only one that saw the warm air surge early on.

[Tom]

00z Euro...trending towards a SD winner...CentralNeb riding the edge...all this snow is going to certainly aggravate Spring flooding.

 

On the warm side of the storm, hoping to score some boomers here on Thursday and places just to my east.  Models have been developing a decent line of storms across IL/IN/MI Thu into Fri.

[CentralNebWeather]

00z Euro...trending towards a SD winner...CentralNeb riding the edge...all this snow is going to certainly aggravate Spring flooding.

 

On the warm side of the storm, hoping to score some boomers here on Thursday and places just to my east.  Models have been developing a decent line of storms across IL/IN/MI Thu into Fri.

At least according to this map I am in the purple to pink.  Many models I am right on the edge as you said.  Will be interesting to see what the 12Z models do today.  They are talking thunderstorms with possible large hail this afternoon.  Will hope that is after school so we can get home and put our vehicles in the garage.  Already starting to see closings for Thursday.  Myself and the students will be anxiously waiting to see what our supt. does tomorrow about school.

[james1976]

Downpouring and 38. I could do without this.

[East Dubzz]

It’s sleeting here currently...

[Iowawx]

So far I have 0.45” of rain. I think there’s a problem with radar because radar estimates suggest that about 1-1.5 inches of rain has fallen across the Cedar Rapids area, but based on my rain gauge that seems wrong.