July 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[MossMan]

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Looks like 84F will be the high for downtown Springfield.

[TacomaWaWx]

High temp has been 76 here so far. Another 2 degrees and it’ll be the warmest day this month and also since June 12th when we hit 91.

[Kayla]

Also doesn't look nearly cold enough for Bozeman. Throw it out!

 

Actually pretty accurate for here which is why the Hood River anomaly stood out to me!

[TT-SEA]

79 at SEA again today. Might still get to 80.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Chamber of Commerce type weather continues. Looks like we could see a few 90-95 days towards the end of the month in the valley if the ensembles are on to something. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Chamber of Commerce type weather continues. Looks like we could see a few 90-95 days towards the end of the month in the valley if the ensembles are on to something.

Last week of July and the first week of August are usually the hottest and driest 2 weeks of the year correct?

[Phil]

And absolutely gorgeous here as well. This type of troughy pattern is way better here than what we saw last weekend. Its much more favorable in this area to have the trough centered offshore. Then its about the same here as everywhere else.

 

Currently 78 and mostly sunny with some decorative cumulus clouds floating around.

If you’re happy with this pattern, then why are you obsessively tracking ridging that is 10 days away?

[TT-SEA]

If you’re happy with this pattern, then why are you obsessively tracking ridging that is 10 days away?

Just like the thought of some real heat for a few days. Make it seem like we really had summer.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

If you’re happy with this pattern, then why are you obsessively tracking ridging that is 10 days away?

So we can see if the heat really follows you.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

So we can see if the heat really follows you.

 

Love the sig.

[Kayla]

Just like the thought of some real heat for a few days. Make it seem like we really had summer.

 

Didn't you already hit 90 this year??

[GHweatherChris]

This summer has been very nice, good variability for all!!

[Requiem]

For a pretty long time I really wanted to get out of the NW in terms of colleges- but now as I’ve started traveling and seeing new places it strikes me how amazingly blessed we are to live in one of the most beautiful regions (and one that I have yet to find a rival for). So I think I’ll be sticking around here!

[Phil]

Just saw this bizarre structure in the residual solar rotation rate. Assuming it’s legit, this could have implications for SC25? It’s almost as if the Sun is stuck or constipated.

 

[TT-SEA]

Didn't you already hit 90 this year??

Too early. A July without any heat leaves me feeling empty. Like a December without snow.

[Kayla]

Too early. A July without any heat leaves me feeling empty. Like a December without snow.

 

Longest days of the year are in June just like in December.    

[GHweatherChris]

[Phil]

If July ends up warmer than average, can someone please weenie-tag all of the heat-miser complainers?

 

You’re screwed up in the head if you need a top-10 warm July to be happy.

[TacomaWaWx]

High temp of 76 this afternoon was practically a copy of yesterday here great beautiful weather. Only the 3rd day this month with a 75+ high temp.

[TT-SEA]

If July ends up warmer than average, can someone please weenie-tag all of the heat-miser complainers?

 

You’re screwed up in the head if you need a top-10 warm July to be happy.

Screwed up in the head is creating false enemies based on false pretenses about people's opinions on their weather 3,000 miles away from you.

 

Who are you even talking about? I would be very happy with a sunny month that ended up below normal. But still want a heat spike in there for the full summer experience. Like wanting a good snow event in December or January even if the month ends up warmer than normal.

[TT-SEA]

Both the ECMWF and GFS are cooler around day 9 and 10. The retrogression might not happen... the backing off seems to be starting again. Never gets within a week. EPS will probably start that process next.

 

Should have listened to Jesse. Its not in the cards this summer. The models just dangle carrots 10+ days out.

[Phil]

Screwed up in the head is creating false enemies based on false pretenses about people's opinions on their weather 3,000 miles away from you.

 

Who are you even talking about? I would be very happy with a sunny month that ended up below normal. But still want a heat spike in there for the full summer experience. Like wanting a good snow event in December or January even if the month ends up warmer than normal.

I just had to vent a bit there. Sorry.

 

You guys have had the best weather in the USA and I’m tired of endless 90+ heat. That’s all.

[Tyler Mode]

FYI, our tree die off in Washington...I'm seeing a lot, especially cedars.

http://www.thereflector.com/garden_scene/article_1c398112-a1c1-11e9-a604-63cafa5cee37.html?fbclid=IwAR1OyAWxQvVM2RtyUybNQQmd-dTVPUi0kyP0W3bMEep5VwR6YubxDb4YuHg

[TT-SEA]

FYI, our tree die off in Washington...I'm seeing a lot, especially cedars.

http://www.thereflector.com/garden_scene/article_1c398112-a1c1-11e9-a604-63cafa5cee37.html?fbclid=IwAR1OyAWxQvVM2RtyUybNQQmd-dTVPUi0kyP0W3bMEep5VwR6YubxDb4YuHg

 

 

Interesting that the problems with the bigleaf maples really started in the summer of 2011.    That makes me think other factors are at play... or those trees also hate miserably cold and wet spring/early summer periods.     

[TT-SEA]

I just had to vent a bit there. Sorry.

 

You guys have had the best weather in the USA and I’m tired of endless 90+ heat. That’s all.

 

 

Can't lump us all together.   Did you not get the memo that the weather across the PNW can vary greatly?   

[Farmboy]

If July ends up warmer than average, can someone please weenie-tag all of the heat-miser complainers?

You’re screwed up in the head if you need a top-10 warm July to be happy.

I really think your opinion of hot weather is skewed by the fact you experience 100% of your hot weather in that horrific east coast climate. Our heat is much different than the east coast...

[TT-SEA]

00Z EPS was about the same as previous runs. 

[MossMan]

Hey look...I’m waking up to yet another cloudy morning. At least it is dry. 57.

[TT-SEA]

Hey look...I’m waking up to yet another cloudy morning. At least it is dry. 57.

 

 

Its actually raining in Everett.

 

[seattleweatherguy]

Its actually raining in Everett.

 

Wow. And I read the ips metro star website for I guess in depth data the gfs spits out since I have a hard time reading the runs without it (do want to learn more) but why is it updating every 20 hours versus what it use to?

[ShawniganLake]

Wow. And I read the ips metro star website for I guess in depth data the gfs spits out since I have a hard time reading the runs without it (do want to learn more) but why is it updating every 20 hours versus what it use to?

Do you mean “meteostar”? Hasn’t updated since 6Z yesterday. That site does seem to glitch like that often. Usually gets fixed in a day or two.

[seattleweatherguy]

Do you mean “meteostar”? Hasn’t updated since 6Z yesterday. That site does seem to glitch like that often. Usually gets fixed in a day or two.

 

Yes that website. I wish all other models had something like that so it breaks down the numbers and data.

[TT-SEA]

Yes that website. I wish all other models had something like that so it breaks down the numbers and data.

 

Too bad the data is total crap.   The temperature output on there is complete garbage and way too extreme in both directions.

 

Your phone forecast should follow the ECMWF surface maps fairly closely... it does for me.   Its way better than the GFS data output on that site.

[MossMan]

Its actually raining in Everett.

 

Yuck. Clouds are starting to break up now up here luckily.

[ShawniganLake]

Clear blue skies here this morning. A little cooler with a low of 54F

[TT-SEA]

Clear blue skies here this morning. A little cooler with a low of 54F

Sunny here this morning as well.

[TacomaWaWx]

61 and mostly cloudy after a low of 58 this morning.

[Phil]

Can't lump us all together. Did you not get the memo that the weather across the PNW can vary greatly?

I actually have the North Bend NWS forecast bookmarked on one of my phone tabs. I’ve had it open for the last month. Your weather has been great compared to almost everyone else’s.

[TT-SEA]

I actually have the North Bend NWS forecast bookmarked on one of my phone tabs. I’ve had it open for the last month. Your weather has been great compared to almost everyone else’s.

OK Phil.

 

3 weeks with almost no sun in the middle of summer sucks. No way around it and you would say the same thing if you lived here. And the forecast on my phone was endlessly too optimistic. Constantly teasing decent summer weather but the reality was days of gloomy weather.

 

Don't tell me otherwise.   We experienced it first hand.