October 2019 Observations and Discussion

[jaster220]

Breaking long-standing records..

 

Fron Don Sutherland in NY for Niko

 

With an additional 0.49" rain through 9:53 pm EDT, Detroit's daily precipitation for today reached 1.33". That exceeded the previous daily precipitation record for October 26. That record was 1.29", which was set in 1920.

 

[jaster220]

Midway COOP @ 2.50"?? Wowza

[Tom]

Midway COOP @ 2.50"?? Wowza

2-3” have been common around here. Lots of urban flooding happening underneath overpasses, side streets, etc. The winds are cranking out of the NE. Nice October storm.

[Niko]

Moderate rain attm w a temp at 48F.

[Niko]

Breaking long-standing records..

 

Fron Don Sutherland in NY for Niko

Now, we need more of these records a little bit down the road.

[Niko]

Dry Slot in progress....

[Niko]

Southerly winds are now boosting up my temps. Currently a balmy 55F w cloudy skies. Rain will redevelop again as the back edge of this precipitation moves on in before finally ended by morning.

[Minny_Weather]

Southerly winds are now boosting up my temps. Currently a balmy 55F w cloudy skies. Rain will redevelop again as the back edge of this precipitation moves on in before finally ended by morning.

Whatever rain is on the back edge is getting eaten by the dry air it looks like.

[Niko]

Whatever rain is on the back edge is getting eaten by the dry air it looks like.

Can you imagine how frustrating this would had been had it been a snowevent...ugh!

[Niko]

Temps are rising even more. Currently at 58F. Wow.

[Tom]

Happy Sunday everyone!  ORD picked up 2.18" of rain from the strong system yesterday.  It was the wettest Oct 26th on record.  2nd wettest day of the year so far.  Olga's remnants certainly have left her mark around here.

 

Edit: By this time next week, models will have come in 1 hour earlier....!!!

[westMJim]

Good morning. It was a very wet night last night and new records were set for October 26^th the new records are 1.11” at Grand Rapids. 1.38” at Muskegon and off to the east 1.52” at Lansing. 1.52” at Detroit and 1.16” at Flint. Here at my house I recorded 1.53” of rain as of 7AM (note the above records are as of 12 midnight and thus are for October 26^th) The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 51/31.  For today the average H/L at GRR is 56/39 the record high is 78 set in 1927 and the record low is 19 set in 1976. Last year the H/L was 48/37.

[CentralNebWeather]

34 degrees, winds gusting to 25 mph and a low overcast. Feels like December. Remaining leaves are falling fast.

[jaster220]

Sure we had the the "Olga effect" with this, but these are very impressive winds for the not-so-deep SLP passing through. Seems to be a theme with the new pattern. Imagine if/when we add arctic air mass interaction?

 

IWX -

646 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2019

...HIGHEST WIND REPORTS...

LOCATION SPEED TIME/DATE PROVIDER
FORT WAYNE INTERNATIONAL AP 56 MPH 0101 AM 10/27 ASOS
GOSHEN 55 MPH 0605 AM 10/27 ASOS
DEFIANCE 54 MPH 0405 AM 10/27 ASOS
ROANN 52 MPH 0245 AM 10/27 CWOP
SOUTH BEND INTERNATIONAL AP 51 MPH 0536 AM 10/27 ASOS
GRANT COUNTY MUNICIPAL APT 49 MPH 0215 AM 10/27 AWOS
GRISSOM AFB PERU 48 MPH 0248 AM 10/27 AWOS
3.3 E OTTAWA (NWS/FAA) 48 MPH 0515 AM 10/27 MESOWEST
SOMERSET 47 MPH 0225 AM 10/27 CWOP
HUNTINGTON 46 MPH 0455 AM 10/27 AWOS
LOGANSPORT 46 MPH 0255 AM 10/27 AWOS
PORTLAND 45 MPH 0415 AM 10/27 AWOS
SCOTT 45 MPH 0207 AM 10/27 CWOP 

[jaster220]

Awaiting the final map from NWS, but as of last evening, Calhoun and Jackson counties were leading the qpf charge in the CWA. Ceresco is a tiny village about 5 miles west of here. 

 

 

 

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
822 PM EDT SAT OCT 26 2019

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM HEAVY RAIN 6 SW CERESCO 42.22N 85.15W
10/26/2019 M1.05 INCH CALHOUN MI CO-OP OBSERVER

CO-OP OBSERVER STATION CERM4 6.9 S BATTLE
CREEK.

0808 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 ENE SANDSTONE 42.27N 84.47W
10/26/2019 M0.93 INCH JACKSON MI ASOS

ASOS STATION KJXN JACKSON COUNTY-REYNOLDS
FIELD AIRPORT.

0755 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SSE MARSHALL 42.23N 84.95W
10/26/2019 M0.92 INCH CALHOUN MI AWOS

AWOS STATION KRMY MARSHALL BROOKS FIELD.

[jaster220]

Seeing reports of 40-50+ mph gusts around Calhoun and Jackson counties overnight as the SLP came thru. Per the airport, baro bottomed at 993.5mb around 02:30 here

[Niko]

Temps at 52F attm w cloudy skies.

[Niko]

 

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI

317 AM EDT Sun Oct 27 2019
 

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-280730-

Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-

St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-

317 AM EDT Sun Oct 27 2019
 

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast

Michigan.
 

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
 

Gusty conditions will develop during the early morning hours as the

rainfall ends and a strong cold front moves through the region. This

may result in brief wind gusts in excess of 40 mph through 8am. After,

expect wind gusts up to 35 mph through the afternoon diminishing

before evening.

 

[Niko]

As far as the Halloween storm, it looks pretty impressive. Could have good amts of rainfall w this system:

 

 

 

Large upper level trough deepening over the western half of the N.A.
will setup a quasi stationary boundary over the western Great Lakes
Tuesday lasting through the end of the week. This will produce a
chance for rain Tues/Wed with better chances Thursday and Friday as
a strong wave dropping through the base of the trough spins up a
large low pressure system over the southern Plains that will lift
towards the Great Lakes. At this time, the main low system looks to
stay west of the CWA keeping the area on the warm side and precip
mainly rain.

[Niko]

Ba Bye Olga

 

[Tom]

Gorgeous morning out there today with pristine blue skies, although, its very damp/wet and there are a lot of leaves that fell yesterday.  Many cars sitting outside are plastered with leaves.  Once things dry out, I'm sure I'll hear the neighborhood buzzin' with leaf blowers.  I'm usually the type of guy that waits till there is a sufficient amount of leafs down.  l'll likely wait till next weekend after the Halloween system to rake my yard.

[jaster220]

Gorgeous morning out there today with pristine blue skies, although, its very damp/wet and there are a lot of leaves that fell yesterday.  Many cars sitting outside are plastered with leaves.  Once things dry out, I'm sure I'll hear the neighborhood buzzin' with leaf blowers.  I'm usually the type of guy that waits till there is a sufficient amount of leafs down.  l'll likely wait till next weekend after the Halloween system to rake my yard.

 

My maple out front is half down. Might rake, might wait it out like you. Back fortress of hardy maples are next month's chore. Only a hint of change on those attm. Meanwhile, areas around Jackson and in the countryside between are already past peak. Some even nearing no color due to only grey/brown leafs remaining. It was a dramatic but brief color show this year. Similar to last year, the impending cold seems to be "pushing" the leafs off. 

[Niko]

Winds are really gusty outside. Went and did some shopping and as I was driving, my car was being pulled to the right a lot. Winds gusting up to 45mph at times.

[Niko]

Currently cloudy and windy w temps at 51F.

[Niko]

There are a lot of trees now that are starting to become bare. Also, leaves are all ova the place. Kinda makes it a little dangerous w wet roadways, if braking is stopped abruptly. Gotta watch out on distance.

[Niko]

Feb 5th, 2014 .......Someone decided to take a video of that crazy Winter we had that year. Good job sir!

 

https://youtu.be/VLao-lhuAnE

[jaster220]

Feb 5th, 2014 .......Someone decided to take a video of that crazy Winter we had that year. Good job sir!

 

https://youtu.be/VLao-lhuAnE

 

Amazingly snowy for Detroit proper! 

[OKwx2k4]

Record report from an NWS Norman tweet....

 

"Upon further review, a COOP observer just northeast of Arnett measured 13" of snowfall.

 

This is a new state record for the most snowfall in October."

 

One record down.....Here's to many more this year.

[Niko]

Amazingly snowy for Detroit proper! 

Crazy Winter. I remember walking in sidewalks that were near 3ft in spots, w/o drifts. Winter you experience not too often.

[Niko]

Some sunshine trying to break through, but very limited. Winds are still gusty. Temp at 57F.

[Hawkeye]

Des Moines nws actually has the words "light freezing drizzle" in their afternoon discussion... in October.

[Niko]

It turned completely sunny, but still a bit breezy. Winds gusting to as high as 30mph. They should diminish by early evening. Temp is at 55F.

[jaster220]

From Hoosier @ Amwx (there's my '89er  )

 

Quote:

 

So the last time that Chicago had 0.5" of snow in the month of October?  Have to go back to 1989, which had 6.3".  Only 3 Octobers since then have produced any measurable snow -- 1992 (0.3"), 2006 (0.3"), 2014 (0.1")

 

 

[BrianJK]

What a picture perfect fall day. Abundant sunshine, crystal clear skies, and temps pushing 60. Absolutely gorgeous. Have to enjoy it cause looks like 40s and rain return next week.

[Niko]

What a picture perfect fall day. Abundant sunshine, crystal clear skies, and temps pushing 60. Absolutely gorgeous. Have to enjoy it cause looks like 40s and rain return next week.

Exactly. Its going to get very raw. Heck, might even see a few wet snowflakes at the tailend.

[Niko]

As BrianJK states on his post above, its gorgeous outside right now. Clear skies, no wind and temps in the low 50s (52F).

[Niko]

Temps are dropping rapidly. Attm, 47F w clear skies. Dipping into the 30s tanite.

[jaster220]

As BrianJK states on his post above, its gorgeous outside right now. Clear skies, no wind and temps in the low 50s (52F).

 

Would've been a nice late day to clean up from a bliz which is what TS Olga would've been in winter. 

 

The calm after last night's assault. That one headline is actually in APX's region. 

 

 

Can't remember when their map had zilch tbh

[Niko]

Would've been a nice late day to clean up from a bliz which is what TS Olga would've been in winter. 

 

The calm after last night's assault. That one headline is actually in APX's region. 

 

20191027 GRR quirt map.PNG

 

Can't remember when their map had zilch tbh

That woulda been awesome...hopefully, this Winter we will encounter something like Olga.

[Niko]

Attm, 43 under clear skies. Its so calm outside. Just spectacular.