October 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Jesse]

Nice day. Partly cloudy and 63 after a low of 43.

[snow_wizard]

Really impressive surface pressure map on the EPS with the next trough.  It firmly delivers chilly continental air.  I always like seeing good balance between the offshore and inland portions of the surface high complex.

[Jesse]

39 this morning. Up to 48 under sunny skies.

 

Looks like SLE fell to 39 as well.

[MossMan]

Was sunny, cloudy, and raining when I took this pic a bit ago. Been spending the day winterizing, putting away the summer outdoor furniture, hoses, etc. It can snow soon now. Just need to get the snow plow and chains for my mower.

[Jesse]

Was sunny, cloudy, and raining when I took this pic a bit ago. Been spending the day winterizing, putting away the summer outdoor furniture, hoses, etc. It can snow soon now. Just need to get the snow plow and chains for my mower.

 

Those cedars in the background look like they are on death's door.

[MossMan]

Those cedars in the background look like they are on death's door.

Actually very healthy. They are doing their fall shedding.

[Jesse]

Actually very healthy. They are doing their fall shedding.

 

Probably the best thing to tell your kids for now. Then when they are gone you can tell them you shipped them off to a cedar farm.

[Kayla]

Wow, both the 12z GFS and ECMWF drop 700mb temps down to -18C out here.

 

That's some mid winter type stuff...

[MossMan]

Probably the best thing to tell your kids for now. Then when they are gone you can tell them you shipped them off to a cedar farm.

Do you ever go outside? Cedars shed every fall. Used to be a lot of work at the golf course to clean up all of the cedar shedding. The non shedding parts of the branches are brilliant green and look awesome. But go ahead and continue your little pot stirring...nobody does that quite like you.

[Jesse]

Hit a high of 64 so far today. Should be a great night for Greek Fest in Portland.

[Jesse]

Wow, both the 12z GFS and ECMWF drop 700mb temps down to -18C out here.

 

That's some mid winter type stuff...

 

That's pretty wild.

 

Is this looking colder for you than the last trough?

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Anyone on here would have been fine with 1985, at least in the Seattle area. In spite of being November it remains the best month I have seen here. Some places had 12 consecutive max temps of freezing or below and pretty much everywhere had 10 out of 12. Two major snowstorms in there and snow on the ground for two straight weeks.

Yeah, that's the Granddaddy of all November Arctic Blast in recent memory. I would take that in a heartbeat.

 

Olympia got down to 0 on the 22nd and 23rd. Down here in Oregon, I know Seneca got down to -31. Very impressive frigid temperatures for November.

[MossMan]

Hit a high of 64 so far today. Should be a great night for Greek Fest in Portland.

Watch out for all of the dying cedars that could fall at any moment!

[Jesse]

18z looks the coldest yet for the trough early next week.

[TacomaWaWx]

18z looks slightly better than the 12z regarding the trough early next week. It also shows a big storm hitting on day 10 now in B.C. and WA a bit.

[kokaneekidz]

I guess he got jaya’d pretty bad.

 

https://mynorthwest.com/1538309/dori-cliff-mass-uw-racist-carbon/

 

 According to this,He is racist! And I thought he just drove fast

[Jesse]

https://mynorthwest.com/1538309/dori-cliff-mass-uw-racist-carbon/

 

 According to this,He is racist! And I thought he just drove fast

 

Looks like great fodder for another lengthy political detour here.

[Omegaraptor]

18z looks slightly better than the 12z regarding the trough early next week. It also shows a big storm hitting on day 10 now in B.C. and WA a bit.

That storm looks beautiful. If only it could actually happen but trend south and slam Oregon as well.

[MossMan]

Looks like great fodder for another lengthy political detour here.

Nah, we should talk about the Husky game instead.

[Jesse]

That storm looks beautiful. If only it could actually happen but trend south and slam Oregon as well.

 

So you can complain about it mostly missing your area and start worrying about the next storm?

[MossMan]

So you can complain about it mostly missing your area and start worrying about the next storm?

His dead Cedars might all fall down if the storm trends south.

[snow_wizard]

Even colder on the 18z.  The ensemble mean is almost down to -4 now!

[Omegaraptor]

His dead Cedars might all fall down if the storm trends south.

Trees are holding up fine here.

[snow_wizard]

https://mynorthwest.com/1538309/dori-cliff-mass-uw-racist-carbon/

 

 According to this,He is racist! And I thought he just drove fast

 

How on Earth is carbon and climate change related to being racist?  The liberals just make idiots of themselves on this stuff.

[MossMan]

Trees are holding up fine here.

Nope. All trees in the northwest are dead.

 

Jesse

[Jesse]

Nope. All trees in the northwest are dead.

 

Jesse

 

That must have triggered you bad. I think I got like an eight post return on my one.

[MossMan]

That must have triggered you bad. I think I got like an eight post return on my one.

Just attempting to keep up with your trolling...I’m failing.

[Jesse]

Just attempting to keep up with your trolling...I’m failing.

 

I think you are more than compensating. 

[Jesse]

18z ensembles have really deepened and extended the duration of the trough. Long rang still looking like it has some potential to be wet, as well.

 

[MossMan]

[Omegaraptor]

 

Tofino’s 18z GFS ensembles. Lol.

[TacomaWaWx]

Interesting to see the gfs step up the cold a notch on the 12z then again on the 18z. Interested to see how the long range plays out maybe pretty wet.

[TT-SEA]

This forum is now just Jesse trolling anyone whose opinion is even slightly different than his... and Jesse stroking those who post things he likes.

 

Its pretty much Jesse offering his opinion on every post.

 

All trees are dying... we always need rain... it should always be cold. Toe the line people!

[Kayla]

That's pretty wild.

 

Is this looking colder for you than the last trough?

Way colder. 700mb temps only bottomed out around -11 to -12C with the last one.

 

For reference for those that don’t know, 700mb temps here are equivalent to 850mb temps for the PNW lowlands. So it’s a very chilly trough for anytime of the year.

[Jesse]

Way colder. 700mb temps only bottomed out around -11 to -12C with the last one.

For reference for those that don’t know, 700mb temps here are equivalent to 850mb temps for the PNW lowlands. So it’s a very chilly trough for anytime of the year.

Makes sense with the higher elevation there.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

56/39 today. 

 

65/39 at SLE

62/22 at BNO

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Makes sense with the higher elevation there.

 

"Blackhole" talked about them a lot in his Facebook posts about Utah weather too. He just got a job with the Phoenix NWS, which is pretty cool.

[Jesse]

56/39 today. 

 

65/39 at SLE

62/22 at BNO

I was browsing through the obs for eastern Oregon earlier and was surprised by how cold it’s been over there the last few days.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

18z operational is still pretty dry down here, but points an absolute fire hose at Vancouver Island. 

[BLI snowman]

Looks like a somewhat milder version of the 1985 trough which hit around 10/8-9.

 

Similar trajectory to the 2008 trough which came through on these same dates.

 

Pretty decent record low potential for Thursday and Friday.