December 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Requiem]

EURO looks basically the same if not more north, but we'll see.

[seattleweatherguy]

So what day will it be snowing at 500ft in northern Snohomish Co?

More like 400 feet in King county

[GHweatherChris]

Good to have you back, Rob.

Still confused with his reaction to absolutely nothing...

[GHweatherChris]

EURO looks basically the same if not more north, but we'll see.

Blah

[Requiem]

EURO precip maps anyone?

[Front Ranger]

The second half of this month is gonna screw up what had to this point been a historically dry year many places.

 

2019 is currently the second driest year on record at OLM, after 1944. Now it will almost certainly drop to #3 by this weekend, and could easily get knocked out of the top 5 by end of the month. 

 

For PDX, 2019 is currently the #1 driest year, just barely ahead of 1985. But it too could easily be out of the top 5 ten days from now.

 

SEA will probably be out of the top 5 by end of the weekend.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

EURO precip maps anyone?

Go to pivotalweather.com and choose the ECMWF high-resolution model. Then pick regional for location and select the PNW. Good maps there. And make sure it is the high resolution model. It is free.

[GHweatherChris]

Go to pivotalweather.com and choose the ECMWF high-resolution model. Then pick regional for location and select the PNW. Good maps there. And make sure it is the high resolution model. It is free.

Bless you Brian (100% serious), this forum is becoming just like Facebook groups for some, much rather ask for answers then try and search first...

[Requiem]

Bless you Brian (100% serious), this forum is becoming just like Facebook groups for some, much rather ask for answers then try and search first...

 

Well, sorry I offended you with a question. My mistake.

[ShawniganLake]

EURO precip maps anyone?

Down to 4.2” for Portland.

[Requiem]

 

Not bad. Seems like the general consensus is that somewhere between PDX and Tacoma will be the bullseye.

[Timmy]

Down to 4.2” for Portland.

I would imagine that doesn’t count what has already fallen?

[Blizzard777]

 

Not bad. Seems like the general consensus is that somewhere between PDX and Tacoma will be the bullseye.

Pacific Ocean is going to flood!

[ShawniganLake]

I would imagine that doesn’t count what has already fallen?

Well that’s the 0z. So anything since 4pm or 5pm or so.

[Timmy]

 

Not bad. Seems like the general consensus is that somewhere between PDX and Tacoma will be the bullseye.

seems like the consensus as it has been the passed few days.

[El_Nina]

The second half of this month is gonna screw up what had to this point been a historically dry year many places.

 

2019 is currently the second driest year on record at OLM, after 1944. Now it will almost certainly drop to #3 by this weekend, and could easily get knocked out of the top 5 by end of the month. 

 

For PDX, 2019 is currently the #1 driest year, just barely ahead of 1985. But it too could easily be out of the top 5 ten days from now.

 

SEA will probably be out of the top 5 by end of the weekend.

An atrocity

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Well, sorry I offended you with a question. My mistake.

I wasn't offended, but I do like pointing people to these maps. I think they enjoy seeing the maps for themselves and checking the different parameters.

 

I also like to go to the UW WRF/GFS page, as it takes the GFS data and applies it to the terrain of the PNW for what they hope is a more accurate forecast map. Many parameters there has Oregon, Idaho and Washington.

 

https://a.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/extendedgfsinit.html

 

I find there is pretty good accuracy within a few days for precip and snow totals, especially in my area which is hard to forecast given the terrain gradients here.

[ShawniganLake]

Euro says forget about that chilly Christmas. BSF!

[TT-SEA]

Euro says forget about that chilly Christmas. BSF!

 

 

Totally dry too.  

[luvssnow_spokane]

Quite a bit warmer on tonight’s EURO compared to previous runs. 
 

TONIGHT:

 

PREVIOUS:

[Deweydog]

Emails.

[ShawniganLake]

Emails.

I’m starting to think they were fake. I wonder if he even lives in Culver. Is his name DomeBuster or not. What’s real what isn’t? Biggest forum fraud since Phil’s growing up at Stampede Pass

[Deweydog]

[luvssnow_spokane]

I’m starting to think they were fake. I wonder if he even lives in Culver. Is his name DomeBuster or not. What’s real what isn’t? Biggest forum fraud since Phil’s growing up at Stampede Pass

What?! Phil doesn’t live at Stampede Pass!?? Omg! I feel like such a dope

[van city]

Totally dry too.

Lol.

[Deweydog]

Anyone else experiencing a nasty case of extrapolater’s block?

[TT-SEA]

Lol.

In stark contrast to the GFS which shows a significant front at that time.

[GHweatherChris]

Well, sorry I offended you with a question. My mistake.

Noone was offended.

[luvssnow_spokane]

In stark contrast to the GFS which shows a significant front at that time.

It will most likely end up being some place between the two.

[Dave]

I took a gamble on a fart and lost. The same thing happened in both 2002 and 04-5. Analog?

[Winterdog]

Surely you mean anal-log

[El_Nina]

Isn't 98/99 a good analog now?

[ShawniganLake]

We had about 4” of snow between Christmas and New Years in 2002. Unfortunately nothing that good on the horizon yet.

[Dave]

Up to 46 degrees and light rain. There was a positive splat test, but it wasn't ideal.

[El_Nina]

Up to 46 degrees and light rain. There was a positive splat test, but it wasn't ideal.

The wind is really pushing the cars around tonight too

[MossMan]

No white Christmas this year!

 

March will be our month!!

[Timmy Supercell]

Snow started again, still not really sticking on roads at the moment. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

No white Christmas this year!

 

March will be our month!!

 

What's a White Christmas? The local kids hear tales of this elusive phenomenon that has been missing for a generation.

[MossMan]

Cannot believe the start of the December 1990 madness happened exactly 29yrs ago. I remember it like it was yesterday...I’m getting old.

[Dave]

Cannot believe the start of the December 1990 madness happened exactly 29yrs ago. I remember it like it was yesterday...I’m getting old.

Too many pixels. Needs more fuzz. But it looks a bit chilly regardless.