December 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Weiner Warrior]

Definitely to warm to rain. Next year

[umadbro]

Light sprinkles. Why do I get the feeling this event will underperform?

There wasn't much of an impact expected down your way to begin with.... I thought that was pretty clear?

[Requiem]

I wonder if EURO will keep it’s ridiculously consistent forecast for this AR or cave to the other models...

[Prairiedog]

I wonder if EURO will keep it’s ridiculously consistent forecast for this AR or cave to the other models...

We'll see if it does better than it's ridiculous snow totals last year. 

[Requiem]

We'll see if it does better than it's ridiculous snow totals last year.

Yeah, it was definitely quite the miss this winter. Though it has been quite accurate so far this fall, so I’ll give it that. Bottom line is that somewhere between SLE and Seattle will get slammed.

[umadbro]

I wonder if EURO will keep it’s ridiculously consistent forecast for this AR or cave to the other models...

EURO is great at over doing moisture. GFS is usually pretty good at nailing it down right before the event. I'm expecting the bullseye of the main precip to be right on with the EURO. But the GFS to have the amounts right.

 

I thought this was common knowledge?

[Requiem]

EURO is great at over doing moisture. GFS is usually pretty good at nailing it down right before the event. I'm expecting the bullseye of the main precip to be right on with the EURO. But the GFS to have the amounts right.

 

I thought this was common knowledge?

Well, I apparently lack common knowledge. Anyways, hopefully the EURO is right about the bullseye, we could see some appreciable totals.

[Deweydog]

Chilly rain!

[High Desert Mat?]

Chilly rain!

Did an email tell you that?

[MossMan]

Did an email tell you that?

I haven’t heard much about “Email Man” over the last few days...

[Timmy Supercell]

Most AR's actually rain in K-Falls, so you could say that this one ain't bad for the area in that perspective. Personally I wouldn't mind if it was 45 and moderate showers.

[ShawniganLake]

I wonder if EURO will keep it’s ridiculously consistent forecast for this AR or cave to the other models...

I’m betting it caves. Some cyclogenesis lifts the front north.

[El_Nina]

35 and raining. 0.07" so far

[Requiem]

I’m betting it caves. Some cyclogenesis lifts the front north.

I’m really really hoping not. It would be nice to have an event hit Portland directly once in a while

[FroYoBro]

Chilly Christmas. 

[ShawniganLake]

I’m really really hoping not. It would be nice to have an event hit Portland directly once in a while

Hopefully for your sake you get your 5”.

[ShawniganLake]

Juicy looking front a week from today on the GFS

[FroYoBro]

Juicy looking front a week from today on the GFS

 

The 00z is a beaut so far! 

[ShawniganLake]

The 00z is a beaut so far!

It’s a beaut Clark, it’s a beaut.

[Jesse]

REALLY pissed to see the models sticking to their guns with this rain event...

[ShawniganLake]

Soggy today. 0.69”.

[MossMan]

Soggy today. 0.69”.

Still at .01” here.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Lookin juicy for my back yard 

 

[GHweatherChris]

So much unneeded rain. Blah

[Requiem]

Lookin juicy for my back yard 

 

650DD83F-7386-4BF0-8ADA-330D0ABF411E.png

 

Hopefully okay for mine as well

[GHweatherChris]

There is definite favorite as of now this early for #1 Winter 19/20 trollio!!

[luvssnow_spokane]

[FroYoBro]

There is definite favorite as of now this early for #1 Winter 19/20 trollio!!

Yes

[luvssnow_spokane]

[Requiem]

GFS is actually a bit further south with totals-- which is always nice.

[MossMan]

[GHweatherChris]

Go south

[GHweatherChris]

Live sat animation shows more of a southerly track as of now.

[Timmy Supercell]

Another drought buster

E421857E-19CA-411D-99DD-02B51E06443F.png

 

For a week or two! 

[Blizzard777]

Snowing here in Bend at the moment.

Snowing hard in Bellevue when the first band of moisture came through! 

[Front Ranger]

Live sat animation shows more of a southerly track as of now.

 

Good to have you back, Rob.

[MossMan]

So what day will it be snowing at 500ft in northern Snohomish Co?

[Requiem]

EURO!

[ShawniganLake]

Seems a bit too warm to be Christmas if you’re in Australia

[GHweatherChris]

EURO!

Blah