TT-SEA Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 Poor Tim's relatives. It actually looks much better than it appears on that map... warm and sunny most of the time with scattered thunderstorms. Classic summer weather there. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 It's not exactly common.Once per administration. Vote... Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/1210635942949728256?s=21 D58CE8F7-AEBA-4F4C-9B36-14A125D8385B.jpegGoofus will be goofy. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeorgeWx Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeorgeWx Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 Poor Tim's relatives. They live in Oklahoma? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 They live in Oklahoma? Minisota. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 https://www.nbcchicago.com/weather/chicago-poised-to-shatter-record-for-wettest-may-of-all-time/2274029/ Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 https://www.nbcchicago.com/weather/chicago-poised-to-shatter-record-for-wettest-may-of-all-time/2274029/Might keep the murder rate down. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 I have the same feeling at this point. Although a heat wave to end May might skew it the other way for June. Its totally dismissed by a few people on here... but tracking days with rain seems like its a better predictor of what is ahead than total rain which can be misleading and not as indicative of pattern cycles. Even my area normally has a significant number of dry days in every month of the year based on climo (from 10 dry days in December to 24 in July and August) Its probably the most important statistic for me in terms of rating the weather. Anything near climo is good. Last July - Sept was far above climo in that regard. Last summer was just perfect IMO much better than 2017 and 2018 which were very dry...I think tracking rainfall days per month is a nice indicator as well. Overall things have been nice and balanced since all the rain in late December through early February...there were 60 days out of 70 with rainfall in that timeframe...and 30 out of 31 days had rainfall in January. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 Last summer was just perfect IMO much better than 2017 and 2018 which were very dry...I think tracking rainfall days per month is a nice indicator as well. Overall things have been nice and balanced since all the rain in late December through early February...there were 60 days out of 70 with rainfall in that timeframe...and 30 out of 31 days had rainfall in January.Yeah... its been much more balanced overall in terms of days with rain since the middle of February. Probably close to climo in my area. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeorgeWx Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 00z Gfs gets hot next week 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 00z Gfs gets hot next weekExcellent!! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 Excellent!! Nice to have the GFS on board. It was not on board last week with what looked like a heat wave starting late this week... and which is obviously not happening. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 00z Gfs gets hot next weekWhoa 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 GFS looks interesting at hour 240. With a ULL to the south in California, the cap breaks off and convection springs up throughout western OR. Not often we see a heat wave end in a thunderstorm like that nowadays. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 Whoa Many quotes of heat maps is a sure path to jinxing. Proceed with caution! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 GFS looks interesting at hour 240. With a ULL to the south in California, the cap breaks off and convection springs up throughout western OR. Not often we see a heat wave end in a thunderstorm like that nowadays. Classic convection set up for the PNW. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeorgeWx Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 Excellent!!Cmc even hotter, it was fun not having to water the lawn but that’s over with 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 This seems to be aging well. The writing is on the wall for what happens this weekend and beyond. We get a small downturn in heights over the long weekend which will probably trend progressively less impressive over the next few days, then once that gets out of the way we are clearly in the running for some big time heat to follow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 High of 58 today. Was drizzly much of the afternoon with just a little evening clearing. Nice to get a good old fashioned late May drizzle fest around here, we have been due. Definitely looks like we could pay for it, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 Since we had that 19 day dry streak in April which ended April 18th...there’s been measurable precip 21 out of the last 33 days here. Get the feeling June’s going to be on the dry side since we’ve been leaning towards wetter conditions since mid April roughly but we will see.I know it can be simple to think of things that way but it’s not really how it works. Sometimes things are way out of balance, like some of the very wet and cool springs of the early 2010s, or some of the more warm and dry ones of recent years. There is no invisible hand in the sky making sure there are equal periods of generally wet and dry weather alternating every few weeks. Especially if you start basing that assertion on what just one small part of the region sees. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeorgeWx Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 WhoaWhat high temperatures are you thinking? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 This seems to be aging well. Jinx. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 What high temperatures are you thinking?Brookings in July 2008 but hotter and snowier. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 I believe it does have predictive value... and of course there are extreme ends of the spectrum when it does not work as well. But those are the exception rather than the rule. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeorgeWx Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 Brookings in July 2008 but hotter and snowier.Portland May record high is 100. Hard to imagine we could break it but anything’s possibly nowadays Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 Portland May record high is 100. Hard to imagine we could break it but anything’s possibly nowadaysFor sure. Whatever happens, our third consecutive much warmer than average May is a lock at this point. At least this one will end up a little wetter than the other two. Closer to average. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 What high temperatures are you thinking?75-95. It’s over a week away. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 75-95.It’s over a week away.Those would BOTH be above average high temperatures for the last week of May. Someone is feeling confident! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 Jinx.Reverse jinx. Also referred to as a retrogression jinx. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 Portland May record high is 100. Hard to imagine we could break it but anything’s possibly nowadays June's 102 seems like much more low hanging fruit. Especially considering 7/1/42 hit 105. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeorgeWx Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 June's 102 seems like much more low hanging fruit. Especially considering 7/1/42 hit 105.What day did it get to 102? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 Record highs for late May in my area include years like 1956 and 1983. I would prefer not to see extreme heat at the end of May. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 00z Gfs gets hot next weekModels are starting to gain confidence of an early warm season heat wave as we close out May. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 21, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 I’ve a feeling we are going to be pushing triple digits to close out the month. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 GFS looks interesting at hour 240. With a ULL to the south in California, the cap breaks off and convection springs up throughout western OR. Not often we see a heat wave end in a thunderstorm like that nowadays.Yeah, I'd take what the GFS is showing. Nothing like seeing evening thunderstorms after high temps of 90+ during the day. I remember those happening more when I was just a kid, don't see those often these days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 What day did it get to 102? 6/26/06 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 Record highs for late May in my area include years like 1956 and 1983. I would prefer not to see extreme heat at the end of May. Phil? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 00z GFS ensembles look warmer and drier than previous runs for the weekend and beyond. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeorgeWx Posted May 21, 2020 Report Share Posted May 21, 2020 6/26/06So not that long ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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