TacomaWaWx Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 76/56 today. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Perfect day! We went to Rattlesnake Lake this afternoon and its ridiculously high. I have never seen it that high. Beach is completely gone and the water is way up into the grassy areas near the parking lot. I guess it makes sense since this one of the wettest years in history so far in this area. The Cedar Lake station which is just a mile from Rattlesnake Lake is at almost 75 inches of rain since January 1st. Keeping pace with 1953 as the wettest year in history. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Made reservations in Couer D'Alene for the upcoming holiday weekend... lots of water activities there. Hotels have very friendly cancellation policies now. And northern Idaho is basically operating normally from a virus perspective. If it ends up nice here then we will move it to another weekend. I probably just assured a warm weekend here now... but at least we have options. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Cold July if brent anderson is right https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/latest-clues-to-the-weather-pattern-through-july/763844 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 It’s over. Anyway it’s a lovely 73 at the moment...Perfect. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Good grief. Yes, we’re skipping over -QBO again, similar to 2016. 4 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted June 26, 2020 Author Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Good grief. Yes, we’re skipping over -QBO again, similar to 2016.Excellent news for winter. For this far out, the table is set about as well as it can be. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Night shift? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Night shift?Big night! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Big night!Six months ‘til a COVID/CHOP/CHAZ Christmas!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 GFS still looks great for here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Still 70F at almost 10:45. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Excellent news for winter. For this far out, the table is set about as well as it can be.And check out the electron fluence..this is stupid low. The Sun is in a coma. 4 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 And check out the electron fluence..this is stupid low. The Sun is in a coma. Unprecedented. 4 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Yeah...hard to beat solar min/+QBO/La Niña. As close to a 1950s setup as we can get nowadays. If the IPWP can retract a little farther west later this summer, into the E-IO..look the f**k out. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Night shift?Not until phase 4. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Yeah...hard to beat solar min/+QBO/La Niña. As close to a 1950s setup as we can get nowadays. If the IPWP can retract a little farther west later this summer, into the E-IO..look the f**k out.Holy sh*t. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 The models right now are almost as good as spending time in a high altitude cabin! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 I ran a correlation between non-niño (and niño) snowy SEA winters and JJA geopotential height anomalies. The non-niño snowy cluster has a stronger -PNA signal in JJA than non-snowy non-niño winters. But strangely, the snowy *niño* cluster is much more +PNA/ridgy in JJA than the non-snowy niño cluster. However, that could be due to the relatively small sample size. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 I’m gonna get an extra cord of wood for this coming winter. Going to be brutally cold. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted June 26, 2020 Author Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 As for the rest of summer..IO standing wave/WPWP subsidence consistent with La Niña is a relatively cool/troughy signal in the PNW. And it’s an active signal for Atlantic hurricanes too...you just know 2020 will bring the Katrina redux..because it’s 2020.And it’s a signal that starts to bring drought/death ridge risks for the central US as well starting mid-July. And eventually the entire CONUS (except the NW) joins the torch in August. Ugliness. But my expectations are at rock bottom so anything better than the above will be a win in my book.When you do you think the next opportunity for western ridging is, if I might ask? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 I’m gonna get an extra cord of wood for this coming winter. Going to be brutally cold.Forget winter, you will need that cord of wood for July! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 When you do you think the next opportunity for western ridging is, if I might ask?Maybe July 15-25 +/- a few days on either side? The IO/IPWP cell has been relatively dominant and the equatorial WPAC/dateline region is continuing to cool. Seems to be that whatever western ridging develops should be relatively transient in nature. The tropical forcing is simply ideal for a troughy regime right now. Subsidence right over the WPAC warm pool. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Perfect day! We went to Rattlesnake Lake this afternoon and its ridiculously high. I have never seen it that high. Beach is completely gone and the water is way up into the grassy areas near the parking lot. I guess it makes sense since this one of the wettest years in history so far in this area. The Cedar Lake station which is just a mile from Rattlesnake Lake is at almost 75 inches of rain since January 1st. Keeping pace with 1953 as the wettest year in history.Bro you literally say this every year. It’s *always* the wettest on record up there. Meanwhile.. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted June 26, 2020 Author Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Bro you literally say this every year. It’s *always* the wettest on record up there.Meanwhile..Haven’t checked that in a while. Didn’t realize the soil dried back up here after the early-mid June rain. Lots of dry soil in the US right now. Pretty big contrast from last year where everywhere was wet, with one slight exception... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Bro you literally say this every year. It’s *always* the wettest on record up there. Meanwhile.. I don't say that every year. Last year was quite dry. I am literally just reporting the rainfall stats in this area. The Cedar Lake station has been around for over 100 years as its the source of the drinking water for Seattle. Its been extremely wet in this area this year overall... its not debatable or an opinion. That station is currently 18.88 inches above normal for the year. Just a fact. Although the main reason its been so wet this year is because of the crazy amounts of rain in the first 6 weeks through the middle of February. It has not been extremely wet since... but it has not been dry either. And the lake by our house is higher than I ever seen it. Tonight we were standing on what is normally the beach area and it was almost up to my waist. That lake is fed by run off from Cedar Lake. Its a mile away. Oh... and my lawn is looking a little dry right now despite all the rain this month. 5 days of sun and its already drying out. I won't need to water though since it will rain most of Saturday here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Nice improvements on the 00Z ECMWF. Next week looks pretty decent again and the 4th of July weekend looks spectacular. Too early for any confidence... but its nice to see. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Nice improvements on the 00Z ECMWF. Next week looks pretty decent again and the 4th of July weekend looks spectacular. Too early for any confidence... but its nice to see.Why does it matter. You got big jet skiing plans next weekend? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Why does it matter. You got big jet skiing plans next weekend? So much jet skiing. Although I need to go buy one first. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Maybe you should invite Phil. Maybe he just feels left out. Do you have a side by side he could join you on? As I added... I still need to go out and buy one. Then I can be a jet ski guy! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 As I added... I still need to go out and buy one. Then I can be a jet ski guy!I know you don’t have one and somehow I don’t see you getting a jet ski Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 I know you don’t have one and somehow I don’t see you getting a jet skiNo... that is a young person's game. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Nice day today. 78F here. The kids were excited to get to use the pool. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 My preferences are feeling particularly vulnerable this evening. Nice day though. High of 82. Down to 66 now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 I can’t even drive anymore so operating a jet ski would be ill-advised for this guy. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 26, 2020 Report Share Posted June 26, 2020 Got down to 58 this morning. Mornings have been mild lately. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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