July 2023 PNW Observations and Discussions

[TT-SEA]

The smoke situation up in BC looks pretty good today.   I think that system was helpful.   I doubt the smoke gets too bad down here this week with very little upstream right now.  

 

[TT-SEA]

11 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

On a much more positive note, we are approaching the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula.

Very nice!    

And I see you got past the persistent marine layer now.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

It's true, most of the Willamette Valley didn't get much snow last winter. On the other hand, all of the valley got some snow, and it was one of the more consistently chilly winters in memory. 

[ShawniganLake]

21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The smoke situation up in BC looks pretty good today.   I think that system was helpful.   I doubt the smoke gets too bad down here this week with very little upstream right now.  

 

My mom said some low level smoke has moved into the southern Cariboo this morning.  Strong smell but visibility is still pretty good

[TigerWoodsLibido]

28 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Didn’t snow much in Corvallis either. So many teasing near misses and dustings but no direct hits. Don’t get me wrong, consistent cold is great, but “so close yet so far” over and over gets pretty annoying.

Yeah the south valley is really bad for snow. Once in a while we get a big event but it’s pretty unusual compared to northern areas. One of the big reasons that I want our family to move.

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

My mom said some low level smoke has moved into the southern Cariboo this morning.  Strong smell but visibility is still pretty good

What is the closest town there?

I see its actually raining farther north around Dawson Creek closer to the area with the active fires. 

[ShawniganLake]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

What is the closest town there?

I see its actually raining farther north around Dawson Creek closer to the area with the active fires. 

Clinton or 100 mile house,  Williams Lake is probably the closest major town. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Clinton or 100 mile house,  Williams Lake is probably the closest major town. 

Does look a little hazy around Williams Lake and Clinton.   That is the same area of low level smoke that models show moving down into western WA tomorrow.

[ShawniganLake]

19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Does look a little hazy around Williams Lake and Clinton.   That is the same area of low level smoke that models show moving down into western WA tomorrow.

My mom is pretty sensitive to the smoke. (Bad asthma).  She said it’s quite strong smelling and stinging her eyes but visibility is pretty good.    I’m not really sure how smoke works. I’ve seen it where you can barely see across the lake and you can’t even hardly smell it.  I really have no idea if that means much for us down here tomorrow but I doubt it gets too bad.

This webcam at Bridge Lake is to the east of Watch lake.  Looks a little hazy but not bad.  Air quality is showing a moderate reading there  

 

 

 

 

[Cascadia_Wx]

12z Euro shows 99 for PDX on Wednesday. It usually runs 3-4 degrees too cool so 100+ still seems like a good bet according to what is arguably the best model.

Also shows 87 for today which makes a good case for 90+

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Much warmer and more humid now. So beautiful.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Sure was beautiful driving down to Albany this morning. Nothing beats summer in the PNW. AMIRITE TIM?

[TT-SEA]

For those tracking at home... the 12Z ECMWF shows a perfect day in Seattle for the MLB All Star Game next Tuesday.    Sunny and low to mid 80s.    Summer perfection!   Hope it holds.  

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF shows convection and rain up in BC on numerous days through next week.   This should help keep things in check up there.  

[the_convergence_zone]

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

39 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

For those tracking at home... the 12Z ECMWF shows a perfect day in Seattle for the MLB All Star Game next Tuesday.    Sunny and low to mid 80s.    Summer perfection!   Hope it holds.  

The last time Seattle hosted the All-Star game there were 8 Mariners on the squad. This year their only selection is a starting pitcher with a losing record...Womp womp...

[the_convergence_zone]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The last time Seattle hosted the All-Star game there were 8 Mariners on the squad. This year their only selection is a starting pitcher with a losing record...Womp womp...

We can see the Mariners any day of the week, better to get a look at the stars from other teams. 

Ball should carry well for the HR derby. I'll be in the LF bleachers which usually don't see many balls, but I bet they will be busier on Monday. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

We can see the Mariners any day of the week, better to get a look at the stars from other teams. 

Ball should carry well for the HR derby. I'll be in the LF bleachers which usually don't see many balls, but I bet they will be busier on Monday. 

Well it also means the team isn't doing very well this year. I only follow players, not teams, could care less who wins the World Series. Really not any players worth following on the Mariners. Kirby and Rodriguez are okay, but not stars. 

Edited July 3 by SilverFallsAndrew

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Well it also means the team isn't doing very well this year. I only follow players, not teams, could care less who wins the World Series. Really not any players worth following on the Mariners. Kirby and Rodriguez are okay, but not stars. 

Players are meaningless without the teams.   That is what makes it fun.  You are a depressing wet blanket.   

And you mean could NOT care less.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

 

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Players are meaningless without the teams.   That is what makes it fun.  You are a depressing wet blanket.   

And you mean could NOT care less.  

I just enjoy watching Ohtani play, everyone else is a chump by comparison. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

 

I just enjoy watching Ohtani play, everyone else is a chump by comparison. 

He is pretty incredible. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wish I was down in Coos Bay right now, looks like it's sunny and 60 there with a north wind at 25 gusting to 32. 

[NWbyNW]

This satellite shot from a few minutes ago, one can see the high smoke layer now south of Portland, Oregon.

The smoke models are showing more smoke to come at lower levels by the Fourth of July.  Just adding to some of the earliest smoke we've ever had to the region on top of the smoke we had earlier this year.  Over the next few days, the model is showing some of the smoke will start to gather in the Pacific, west of Oregon.  That is a classic set up where the smoke builds in the Pacific, then blows back in our face.

[the_convergence_zone]

16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Well it also means the team isn't doing very well this year. I only follow players, not teams, could care less who wins the World Series. Really not any players worth following on the Mariners. Kirby and Rodriguez are okay, but not stars. 

Ohtani in the WBC was amazing, nothing MLB does will top that. 

Then on the other end of the spectrum there's a guy like Luis Arraez who is hitting .390 which seems unfathomable, especially since he doesn't have much speed. 

Julio Rodriguez is 22, I'll be shocked if he's not one of the best 5 hitters in baseball by the time he turns 25. He just needs to learn some plate discipline. 

[TT-SEA]

My son and his friends are at Mt. Rainer today.  

[MossMan]

3 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

On a much more positive note, we are approaching the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula.

I have jetskied out at the southern tip of the peninsula, was quite lovely! 

[MossMan]

3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

What is the closest town there?

I see its actually raining farther north around Dawson Creek closer to the area with the active fires. 

[Phishy Wx]

It's July

[TT-SEA]

Brrrr.   Not my son... but I am sure he did this too.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

2 hours ago, the_convergence_zone said:

 

No Hood River fireworks show this 4th due to the Tunnel 5 wildfire.
 

 

[Eugene-5SW]

After a couple days of 89s, EUG has officially reached its 6th 90º of the year. Plenty more where that one came from.

Consider a No. 6 football jersey to be displayed here.

[Phil]

PNW in the goldilocks zone on the LR EPS.

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

PNW in the goldilocks zone on the LR EPS.

Will probably end up being a quick ULL and then retrogression.   Remember all that heavy rain that was going to fall in eastern WA and OR per your July 11-17 map posted last week.   It's in BC now.   Which isn't a bad thing... but its trending north.

[MossMan]

North wind is GUSTING currently! 

[TT-SEA]

83 here... light wind.   Sky is still a deep blue despite thin layer of smoke drifting south.

[T-Town]

11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

83 here... light wind.   Sky is still a deep blue despite thin layer of smoke drifting south.

Very milky and hazy to the west 

[Front Ranger]

3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

My son and his friends are at Mt. Rainer today.  

Don't feed the wildlife, Jacob.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

Don't feed the wildlife, Jacob.

That is his roommate.

[TT-SEA]

34 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Very milky and hazy to the west 

Sensing a little filtering happening here now as the sun gets lower in the sky.   Very subtle. 

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

PNW in the goldilocks zone on the LR EPS.

Certainly a much cooler signal showing up now in all the ensemble means.

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Back from spending my long weekend at Similkameen Falls in the Canadian Cascades (just east of Manning Park). High enough elevation to be nice and cool; in fact I wouldn’t have minded if it was a bit warmer. Was in the upper 30’s F this morning!

There is definitely smoke aloft here.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Oh man they put drinks in front of me again folks. Best be prepared.

Sorry for being an assshole to Jesse. The guy is smart AF and a helluva lot smarter than I will ever be.

[TT-SEA]

Hard to explain the difference between these images.    Look at Vancouver Island.   I think the WA image is more accurate.   The BC image makes it look like the smoke is so thick it's obscuring the sun completely.   I assume it's related to angle but the satellite is in the same position and looking at the same place in both images.   Very confusing.  

 

[TT-SEA]

And looking at a web cam from Bellingham pointed toward the WSW... its definitely not anywhere close to what the BC image implies.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Sky has mostly cleared. 80s night so gonna be a night of glowsticks and getting bombed

[Anti Marine Layer]

4 hours ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

No Hood River fireworks show this 4th due to the Tunnel 5 wildfire.
 

 

They will shoot them anyway

[Frontal Snowsquall]

PDX got to 90 today so at least 3 days of 90+ weather this week depending on if Thursday can get there.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

EUG hit another 90F burger.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Being told there is a fire just south of Eugene. Good lord.

[Phil]

2 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

Certainly a much cooler signal showing up now in all the ensemble means.

 

Please let this happen when I’m in Seattle later this month.