August 2023 Observations and Discussion

[OKwx2k4]

60/90 looking like my numbers each day to close August. Looking like normal end to summer with at least one more heatwave in store for the majority of us.

[Tom]

12 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Yeah, we haven't seen the last of the heat by any stretch.  Might not get to 100 again at ORD, but it's a warm look overall.

I do see the DP's will be lower and more tolerable which will make it "feel" more tolerable.  You gotta look at the bright side of things!

[OKwx2k4]

6 minutes ago, Tom said:

I do see the DP's will be lower and more tolerable which will make it "feel" more tolerable.  You gotta look at the bright side of things!

I agree with that down here too. 100 with a dewpoint of 80 feels far different that 96 with a dp of 60. 

The pattern is changing, just not always "here" yet. 

[Andie]

North Texas won’t see 100’s till Fri/Sat.  
That’s a great change. 

[westMJim]

The official H/L yesterday was 73/52 there was no rain fall and 100% of possible sunshine. The highest wind gust was 21MPH out of the NE. It was a rather cool day state wide. The as is common with a east wind the state high of 78 was recorded at Muskegon. Across the UP there was a touch of fall with the state low at a major location a frosty 30 at  Ironwood. It was also in the 30’s at Houghton and Marquette  with 38 and Iron Mountain with 39.

[Clinton]

Beautiful morning with temps on the mid 50s.  Heat comes back Friday and through the weekend. 

[Black Hole]

We bottomed out at 66F with a dew point of 60F down here. Very nice but we will be heading back up to the upper 80s this afternoon. Still waiting for the first real fall day but we will take what we can get. 

[chescowxman]

Cloudy and still a bit humid today with rain chances increasing from south to north late tonight through Tuesday night. Models are bit all over the place on amounts but a general 0.25" to 0.75" look likely. The weather looks great from Wednesday PM through next weekend. Chilly temps toward the end of the week but warming by the end of the weekend.

Records for today: High 98 (1973) Low 38 (1982) - of note this was the earliest sub-40 degree reading in Chester County since records began in 1888. Record Rain 3.23" (2011)

[Black Hole]

For the southern Plains it's going to be hot and dry (as we all know) for the next week but I am liking the trends in the week 2 period. Looks like a closed low sets up over TX helping to induce moisture transport back north and increases instability/lift. It's not a strong signal, but I could see this kicking up rain chances a bit. Something to watch anyway for us TX/OK folks. 

[bud2380]

22 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

I think I just threw up in my mouth a little bit...

The GFS has been totally broken all summer.  If you look at the dew points they are way too low, which leads to extreme high temperatures.  The Euro is really the only model you can trust for temps right now.  

[CentralNebWeather]

NWS Hastings says well above normal, record temps?, starting Thursday and lasting through at least September 11th or longer. They mentioned it may be the longest late season heat wave that they can remember. Not a fan of this. 

[OKwx2k4]

2 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

NWS Hastings says well above normal, record temps?, starting Thursday and lasting through at least September 11th or longer. They mentioned it may be the longest late season heat wave that they can remember. Not a fan of this. 

Yeah. It appears that it will actually be hotter there again than down here. I think the 2011 heatwave was more confined to the south.

[westMJim]

Yesterday was a very pleasant late summer day with a H/L of 77/50. There was no rain fall and the sun was out 89% of the possible time. The state high was 80 at Kalamazoo the low was a chilly 39 at Pellston. All Michigan locations made it to 70 or better except  Copper Harbor  where the high only reached 69. For today the average H/L is 79/59 the record high of 95 was set in 1953 the record low of 41 was set in 1982. The record rain fall of 1.55” was in 1955. Last year the H/L was 84/67 and there was 0.94” of rain fall.

There is a chance of showers today it will turn cool for Tomorrow and Thursday then become warm to very warm and dry for the Labor Day weekend. Highs will range from around 70 tomorrow to the upper 80’s on Labor Day lows with range from the 50’s then warm up well into the 60’s late in the weekend.

[hawkstwelve]

All eyes are rightfully on Idalia but Franklin is a very pretty hurricane from satellite. 

[westMJim]

We will have to wait and see how many  days of 90 or better September has but so far this warm season here is how  many days of 90 or better at the major Michigan stations. Grand Rapids 11, Lansing 10, Muskegon 12, Holland 8, Detroit and Flint 2. Saginaw 5. Alpena 6, Houghton Lake 4, Sault Ste Marie and Houghton 0 and Marquette 3. It has been a very much hit and miss with 90° days this year.

[Clinton]

18 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

All eyes are rightfully on Idalia but Franklin is a very pretty hurricane from satellite. 

Wow it strengthened much more than expected, currently a category 4 this morning as it nears landfall along the big bend.

[Tom]

Happy Super Blue Moon to all!  It's a wonderful day here and a Taste of Autumn is definitely in the air.  Currently, it's a cool and crisp 58F with a NNE wind churning up the waves on Lake Michigan.  Meantime, Idalia is about to make landfall as our Floridians are bracing the brunt of this powerful storm.

 

Edit: IT's just been downgraded to a CAT 3

[westMJim]

The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 76/55 officially at GRR there was 0.05” of rain fall, here in MBY I had a little more with 0.09”. The highest wind speed of 31 MPH was out of the NW There was 24% of possible sunshine. For today the average H/L is 79/59 the record high of 95 was set way back in 1899 and the record low not only for the date but for the month of 39 was set in 1976 that 39 is the only time it has gotten below 40 at Grand Rapids in August. The record rain fall amount of 2.00” fell in 1955. Last year the H/L was 76/55 and there was no rain fall.

At this time, it looks like most Michigan locations will see a cooler than average August. One exception looks like it may be Muskegon. Today and tomorrow will be cool before warming up for the weekend. Then it looks like there will be a chance of several very warm days but it looks like there will be some wind with the warm reading so it should not be too bad.

[Andie]

We’re still in the midst of summer.  
97 today as the next week climbs into the low 100’s.  
At least there’s hope up north as cooler temps creep further south.  Everyone here is counting the days to temps in the 80’s.   

[Tom]

Today is officially the first day you can wear a hoodie outside bc it’s a wee bit nippy with the wind and in the shade.   Autumn is stopping by for a brief visit.

[chescowxman]

After the overnight showers we should see some great weather through the weekend. We will start below normal temperatures through Saturday....we then start a big warmup that could actually bring the first 90+ day to my station here in East Nantmeal in over 2 years! The last 90+ day was way back on June 30, 2021. In fact we could see a few days in a row over 90 degrees...especially in the lower elevations of the county.

Records for today: High 100 (1953) / Low 39 (1986) / Rain 3.40" (1946)

[Iceresistance]

Slight chance for storms for me on Labor Day Week.

 

 

At this point, I will take even a single drop of rain!

[tStacsh]

Couldn't ask for a better end to summer with this upcoming Labor Day weekend.  I will be heading up north to the lake house on Lake Michigan.   Temps in the 80's, sun and fun at the beach and golf all weekend.   

I expect some schools without AC will be closed next week, at least tuesday.  

[Andie]

Upper 90’s till Sunday then a week of heat as the 100’s return.  Summer isn’t done.  
Lows 78-low 80’s.  

[Tom]

Lake effect clouds blowing in off the lake reminds me of a late SEP or early OCT day.  Not much sunshine with a stiff NNE wind is putting me in fall mode.

https://whirlwind.aos.wisc.edu/~wxp/goes16/vis_color/goes16_mw_3h.html

[Andie]

Blue Super Moon tonight. 

Look Up! 

[jaster220]

On 8/25/2023 at 9:04 AM, tStacsh said:

Just north of my area by a few miles.  But for sure a tornado.  We had straight line winds of 70 mph at least.  Major damage around my area.  Trees down everywhere.   I got my kids in the basement before the sirens even blew after i saw the signature on velocity radar.  Two cells merge and a tornado for sure spun up.  Don't think it was on the ground long, but it ripped apart a few houses and neighborhoods just north of my area. 

Closest call to a tornado in my lifetime.  Much scarier when you have a house and kids.   

My brother in law was on a golf course right where the tornado signature was.  He got trapped there as a tree fell on the road and there is only one way in or out.  

I get what you said. Back in '02 we had an F3 OTG heading right at our place with 2 year olds. Fortunately, the thing split about 1/2 mile before it got to us and we endured straight line winds and little damage. I heard the TV reporter who was caught in it and the adrenaline rush influence was obvious. It was the closest call (too close thank you) I have had personally. 

[jaster220]

On 8/28/2023 at 9:56 AM, chescowxman said:

Cloudy and still a bit humid today with rain chances increasing from south to north late tonight through Tuesday night. Models are bit all over the place on amounts but a general 0.25" to 0.75" look likely. The weather looks great from Wednesday PM through next weekend. Chilly temps toward the end of the week but warming by the end of the weekend.

Records for today: High 98 (1973) Low 38 (1982) - of note this was the earliest sub-40 degree reading in Chester County since records began in 1888. Record Rain 3.23" (2011)

Yeah, I posted autumn of 1981 before, but '82 was the lead-in to my first Super Nino and the holiday season "flip" that was so dramatic (and disgusting since it was my first year owning a snowmobile) I went into a mild depression lol. Especially with the previous winter having been a top-5 season. 

[jaster220]

On 8/25/2023 at 6:55 AM, Iceresistance said:

There was another one in Webberville, MI (Location confirmed), and it was MUCH stronger compared to the one near Grand Rapids, MI

Well, ofc on my day off I had to go "see" if you could really tell there had been a TOR along I-96. Not only was it obvious, but it was obvious the x-way had been so littered with tree debris that it had to have been impassable at certain areas. The worst was just SE of Williamston. Webberville is east of there so between both small towns actually. It was also a long/large area of damage that we typically don't get too much up here any more. I tried to get some decent shots as traffic westbound was cruising at 80+. Eastbound was almost closed as they were still working to recover a vehicle way down in the median. Police news report said it was unclear whether the fatality was a car that just drove into the twister or had pulled over along the shoulder? (it must've been tossed or rolled really hard). I saw a video of a UPS semi driver caught in it and he said "I thought I was going to die". From the evidence I saw days later, it must have been bloody hell to have been caught out there, especially rain-wrapped & after dark! Saw corn just flattened lower than a crop circle for the first time in my life too. Anyways, sorry so tardy posting these, but it's a bit of work getting them from phone to laptop folder for attaching. Prolly a better way but I am not that gadget savvy tbh. Image 1: flattened billboard Image 2: trees sheared off in one of many such places. Image 3: (zoom in far left of photo near my window frame you will see 4 guys working to recover some kind of vehicle)

[westMJim]

9 hours ago, jaster220 said:

the x-way had been so littered with tree debris that it had to have been impassable at certain areas.

I think that I 96 was closed for a while after the storm.

[westMJim]

At this time, it looks like most Michigan locations will see a cooler than average August. One exception looks like it may be Muskegon. Today and tomorrow will be cool before warming up for the weekend. Then it looks like there will be a chance of several very warm days but it looks like there will be some wind with the warm reading so it should not be too bad.

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 72/53. There was no rain fall and the sun was out 90% of the possible time. Southwest Michigan had the warmest readings in the state yesterday as temperatures in SW Michigan were mostly in the 70’s in other parts of the state they were only in the 60’s The overnight low here in MBY so far is the current reading of 48. The week ahead looks to be warm and dry with highs warming the upper 80’s for the most part and lows mostly in the 60’s. We took a road trip up to Bay City yesterday and in spots there is some nice color on the trees.

[Tom]

It is officially one of the coolest mornings of the season ever since I got here back in late JUN.  I left the windows open downstairs on purpose all night and its so refreshing.  It's a cool, crip 52F and a gorgeous glowing Full Moon.  I stepped outside earlier this morning and the amount of light shining down from the Moon is pretty wild.  Not a good day to go fishing!

[Madtown]

Multiple nights in the past week in the 30's. Leaves changing and ferns turning brown. Falls is here. Nice warm up this weekend. That Blue super moon had the big fish moving last night. Only manged the one in the net at 36". Had a 40" class come off boatside and missed 3 others in 3hr window last evening

[Tom]

54 minutes ago, Madtown said:

Multiple nights in the past week in the 30's. Leaves changing and ferns turning brown. Falls is here. Nice warm up this weekend. That Blue super moon had the big fish moving last night. Only manged the one in the net at 36". Had a 40" class come off boatside and missed 3 others in 3hr window last evening

Someone once told me fishing with the Moon light just before sunrise isn't really good bc the big fish easily feast all night long.  Prob better to go just before sunset?

[Madtown]

Fish moon rise, moon set and moon underfoot

 

Full moon and new moon phases offer best chance at trophy fish in my opinion.

[Minny_Weather]

Dew point is in the 50s in Houston. That's insane for this time of year, usually you can't force them out of the 70s. 

[Tom]

Finally, the PHX valley is outlooked to get some pretty good widespread Monsoon storms tonight thru FRI pm...

 

[Andie]

98 today and tomorrow then back to 100 but it feel tolerable compared to the highs a week ago.  
Ready for Fall and rain!⛈

[Timmy Supercell]

2 hours ago, Tom said:

Finally, the PHX valley is outlooked to get some pretty good widespread Monsoon storms tonight thru FRI pm...

 

I follow a facebook group based in Phoenix and sounds like its been a tough go at any t'storms this year for them.

[Andie]

I have family in Tucson.  Better check on them.