October 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 1

[Front Ranger]

3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

24 and snowing in Bismarck ND and might not go above freezing until late next week.   Winter is not wasting any time.

We have single digits currently in central/northern WY where I am.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2

[Phishy Wx]

WOW

 

 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Steens Mountain in SE Oregon.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Phishy Wx said:

WOW

 

 

 

Yeah yeah, can we please drill more so working people can afford their commute? 

[Gradient Keeper]

Watch BLIZZARDS Live

Bismarck, North Dakota

Cam> https://v.angelcam.com/iframe?v=v8rpjkv5r6&autoplay=1&mute=1

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3

(4-run trend)

[Front Ranger]

7 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

We have single digits currently in central/northern WY where I am.

Record low for Casper today was 12, from 2002. Low of 7 so far this evening.

Coldest temp this early in the season on record, beating the 7 from 10/28/91.

 

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4

(4-run trend)

[Cold Snap]

15 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Watch BLIZZARDS Live

Bismarck, North Dakota

Cam> https://v.angelcam.com/iframe?v=v8rpjkv5r6&autoplay=1&mute=1

Hopefully we will be witnessing something similar in the PNW this winter!

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5

(4-run trend)

[The Blob]

Beautiful sky on the drive to work this evening.

[Phil]

12 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

It is really cloudy across the entire northern US this morning from central WA all the way to Maine.  

Didn’t have a single cloud in the sky here. Could see more mid-80s this weekend.  

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6

(4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

(4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8 what excitement.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

30.. going to drop to mid 20s tonight

[Kolk1604]

What about Day 8-10 on the second best model, GEM? 

 

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

What about Day 8-10 on the second best model, GEM? 

 

AR, flooding rains. Euro will look very similar.

00z ECMWF in 1 hour 6 minutes

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10

[SilverFallsAndrew]

29 minutes ago, Phil said:

Didn’t have a single cloud in the sky here. Could see more mid-80s this weekend.  

1) We live 3000 miles away and don’t care. 
2) Tim is booking his tickets to head out there as we speak. 

[Kolk1604]

4 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

AR, flooding rains. Euro will look very similar.

00z ECMWF in 1 hour 6 minutes

Well, to be fair GFS is also wet which I wasn't expecting. 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS re-cap. 10 Day GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly, 850mb Temperatures, 1000-500mb Thickness/Precip

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Down to 41F. Looks like Springfield will finally get down into the 30s and we will see our coldest temps yet.

[Gradient Keeper]

39.9

[Phil]

11 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Starting to look like a HARD ENSO crash next summer. I know Phil says we will probably go 8 years before we see another Nina, but it might be closer to 8 months. 

Crash back to neutral maybe. Short lived/borderline niña episodes are possible but I think we’re done with the heavy/multiyear niñas for the remainder of the 2020s, and that the next 5-8 years should be +ENSO leaning.

I’m not just wishcasting this, I was sounding the trumpet for a prolonged multiyear niña in the early 2020s as early as 2016. Now the script is preparing to flip (IMO). We’ll see if I’m right.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

35.6˚F.

[Phil]

16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

1) We live 3000 miles away and don’t care. 
2) Tim is booking his tickets to head out there as we speak. 

How are your sheep?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

10 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Down to 41F. Looks like Springfield will finally get down into the 30s and we will see our coldest temps yet.

NWS says 29 on Saturday morning for Eugene.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS is delayed but not denied. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, Phil said:

How are your sheep?

How’s ur mom. 

[Phil]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

How’s ur mom. 

Ur just pissed u lost the CFS.

Sorry Andrew.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wow! 

[iFred]

Thinking of doing a downtown Seattle happy hour meetup in the near future. React with beers if interested.

i might be driving down to SF for a work thing soon, so maybe an impromptu Eugene meetup as well.

[Cold Snap]

Down to 33.

[Gradient Keeper]

Sorry, I wasn't awake for Euro. barely am now. I do see the 00z GEFS was wet.

[Gradient Keeper]

Canadian ensembles