November 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Cascadia_Wx]

A beautiful, frosty low of 27 this morning.

Ended up with a 51/26 yesterday. Highs have not been overly impressive with this cool and dry spell yet, but lows have been chilly.

East winds should spread across most the area later today. Will be curious what that does to afternoon temps. Something tells me the extra mixing won’t to a lot to keep things cooler.

[Cold Snap]

Low of 25 this morning. New coldest temp so far this season. Up to 30 right now.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

A beautiful, frosty low of 27 this morning.

Ended up with a 51/26 yesterday. Highs have not been overly impressive with this cool and dry spell yet, but lows have been chilly.

East winds should spread across most the area later today. Will be curious what that does to afternoon temps. Something tells me the extra mixing won’t to a lot to keep things cooler.

Quite a Thanksgiving blessing this year.

[Phishy Wx]

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

But there are significant exceptions.

[Phishy Wx]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

But there are significant exceptions.

a few, cards still stacked greatly against us

[TT-SEA]

Up to 51 in North Bend now... 49 here.   A little breezy but not much.   Just a spectacular late November day.

[snow_wizard]

OLM has fallen on hard times for low temps this season.  Even SEA came in colder than them this morning.

SEA - 30

OLM - 33

MBY - 24

[TT-SEA]

You can see the low clouds entrenched in SW WA and along the east side of Vancouver Island and also across most of eastern WA.   

[snow_wizard]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Up to 51 in North Bend now... 49 here.   A little breezy but not much.   Just a spectacular late November day.

The seepage of dry air has really helped sheltered locations east of Puget Sound get some very decent min temps.  So far this has been a totally clear cold snap here.

[Timmy Supercell]

16 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

While the overall seasons are like that in the PNW, months like Dec 2015 and Feb-Mar 2019 in the mountains produced like a whole winter's worth of snowfall in one bang. 

Also, I bet this winter in NE Kentucky here does more than last winter.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

You can see the low clouds entrenched in SW WA and along the east side of Vancouver Island and also across most of eastern WA.   

That coverage will probably increase over the next few days.

[Phishy Wx]

yeah, we're socked in over here.  28 with freezing fog

[snow_wizard]

13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

But there are significant exceptions.

I wouldn't say that, but I still think one event is reasonably likely.  There are some very good Nino winters on record so that is always possible of course.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

That coverage will probably increase over the next few days.

Don't think much... ECMWF shows about the same coverage through Wednesday and then it starts getting active again.  

[Cold Snap]

Nice frosty morning here.

[MossMan]

12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Up to 51 in North Bend now... 49 here.   A little breezy but not much.   Just a spectacular late November day.

Up to 36 here! 

[antipex]

2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

yeah, we're socked in over here.  28 with freezing fog

No fog here but cloudy and 26. Yesterday we pulled off a 30/18 day.

[snow_wizard]

19 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

That map must represent the odds for any given Nino winter vs total snowfall for Nino winters.  

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Cold Snap said:

Nice frosty morning here.

We had some frost build up yesterday in the really shaded areas but it has just vanished this morning with the much warmer temps.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

That map must represent the odds for any given Nino winter vs total snowfall for Nino winters.  

The legend shows its the odds.

[ShawniganLake]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

You can see the low clouds entrenched in SW WA and along the east side of Vancouver Island and also across most of eastern WA.   

Must be low level fog along the east side of the island.  It’s been crystal clear here all morning and dropped to 27.  We are typically just above the fog layer here when these winter inversions set up. 

[snow_wizard]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Don't think much... ECMWF shows about the same coverage through Wednesday and then it starts getting active again.  

I was just going by the fact the offshore flow diminishes to almost nothing after today.

[ShawniganLake]

15 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

a few, cards still stacked greatly against us

I think a widespread couple inches of snow followed by a couple cold nights would be consider a major victory this year. 

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I was just going by the fact the offshore flow diminishes to almost nothing after today.

Still looks like a decent offshore flow (out here at least) tomorrow morning and again Tuesday morning.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Eugene hit 23 again. 25 at SLE

[MWG]

Woo Air Stagnation till Wednesday  but this means very frosty cold mornings.

[TT-SEA]

Comparison of 12Z ECMWF yesterday (top) and 12Z ECMWF today (bottom) shows a trend towards more AL troughing which  becomes a typical AR set up rather than a cold onshore flow situation.  

[Cold Snap]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We had some frost build up yesterday in the really shaded areas but it has just vanished this morning with the much warmer temps.

Frost has been building up the past few nights here in the shaded areas. Looks like there’s a dusting of snow on the ground in those areas.

[ShawniganLake]

15 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Must be low level fog along the east side of the island.  It’s been crystal clear here all morning and dropped to 27.  We are typically just above the fog layer here when these winter inversions set up. 

Haha. Foggy here now. 

[TT-SEA]

Warm and very wet early next week per ECMWF.

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF shows highs pushing 60 by next Monday and Tuesday with lots of rain and strong southerly flow.

[ShawniganLake]

12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Warm and very wet early next week per ECMWF.

Not good for the ski hills.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Depressing regular season so far. 2002-03 all over again.

[Phil]

36 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

While the overall seasons are like that in the PNW, months like Dec 2015 and Feb-Mar 2019 in the mountains produced like a whole winter's worth of snowfall in one bang. 

Also, I bet this winter in NE Kentucky here does more than last winter.

Considering last winter was the warmest and least snowy on record for the region, that’s a verrrrrry low bar.  

[ShawniganLake]

42 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

OLM has fallen on hard times for low temps this season.  Even SEA came in colder than them this morning.

SEA - 30

OLM - 33

MBY - 24

No wonder the OLM updates have been few and far between recently. 

[RentonHill]

gee whiz!

 

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Not good for the ski hills.  

Definitely not.   Bad trends over the last 24 hours for mountain snow.

[Deweydog]

Wet

[Timmy Supercell]

14 minutes ago, Phil said:

Considering last winter was the warmest and least snowy on record for the region, that’s a verrrrrry low bar.  

At least it saw a very cold late December. But dunno what happened to January 2023, that was almost as warm as Dec 2021.