Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 This month ended up pretty dry IMBY. We only had 4.74" for the month before today. Normally it's quite a bit wetter than SEA here. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 I'm really liking our chances for some kind of a cold snap as we get into week two based on current models and post firehouse climo. Most models are at least hinting at it now. 2 1 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Multiple analogs from 1955 again on tonight's GFS run. About the most antithetical winter you could have to an El Nino. We should be prepared to be surprised. 2 1 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Light snow falling, started just about 10pm. Not expecting much. 1 2 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2024-2025 Snowfall totals: HIghest snow total (per event): Most recent accumulation (non trace): Days with trace or more snowfall: First Freeze: TBD Last Sub freezing Day: Coldest low: Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 3 hours ago, ShawniganLake said: Wow 32/26 by day 10. Crazy! Partial day, so not really. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Cold rain and 36.3˚F here. Atop Burnaby Mountain wet snow is falling tonight: 1 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 00z ECMWF 7 Day Rainfall totals (ending 4 PM Thursday) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Day 8 850s. Chilly N-NE flow. Nice! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Looks like a possible significant cold pool setting up Day 8+ on Euro. Chilly N-NE flow and strong high pressure over eastern Washington. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 5 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 100% it was a total nightmare. In the Salem area we went from January 1996 to late December 2003 without a widespread snow event over 2". There was a decent 2-5" snow event in December 2000 which was strictly for folks west of I-5, and then most areas got 1-3" in January 2002, but it was very elevation dependent with the higher end of that up towards 500'. My timing of living in Portland was really so bad in the grand scheme of things. We did have a good event in January of 1998, but that was the last big snow I saw there outside of the winter of 2003/2004. I moved out in fall 2007. Looking at the data for the airport, not counting 03/04, there was...total...7.9" of snow from Feb of 1998 to August of 2007. Obviously 03/04 was better with 12.3" on its own. Things have sure turned around since then. 2 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 00z GEFS Day 8-16. Nice signal for a strong block over the Aleutians/Bering Sea edging towards Alaska. Fairly close to something good. If future runs shift this to the east things could become very interesting! Patience required.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Black Hole said: My timing of living in Portland was really so bad in the grand scheme of things. We did have a good event in January of 1998, but that was the last big snow I saw there outside of the winter of 2003/2004. I moved out in fall 2007. Looking at the data for the airport, not counting 03/04, there was...total...7.9" of snow from Feb of 1998 to August of 2007. Obviously 03/04 was better with 12.3" on its own. Things have sure turned around since then. At least you got your fill of snow at college! Hopefully the Tulsa area gets a few nice events this winter. You had quite the straight line wind event over the summer. Edited December 1, 2023 by SilverFallsAndrew 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 00z ECMWF re-cap. 10 Day GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly, 850mb Temps, 1000-500mb Thickness/MSLP/Precip Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 49 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Multiple analogs from 1955 again on tonight's GFS run. About the most antithetical winter you could have to an El Nino. We should be prepared to be surprised. Be careful not to over-interpret transient subseasonal overlap. This winter will not resemble 1955/56. 1 1 2 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 "Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: At least you got your fill of snow at college! Hopefully the Tulsa area gets a few nice events this winter. You had quite the straight line wind event over the summer. Yeah that's true! Plenty of snow in Utah to keep me satisfied. Last winter sucked for snow, and before that I was in Phoenix. So it's been 3.5 years since I've seen a decent snow. So yes, I sure hope this year delivers. That wind event was a bit much, hopefully we don't do that again for a while ha 3 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Any final words, fall? 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowySeeker50 Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Currently 39f after a high of 43. 5.88" for the month. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Beat all of you to it. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ken in Wood Village Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 I know it's a new month but it's really early in the morning and I don't see the new thread. I just looked at the NWS forecast and i'm wondering why there isn't a Wind Advisory or a High Wind Warning if we could be seeing wind gusts to 50 mph 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 12 hours ago, Phil said: Interesting. Climatological peak of winter in the West is 3-4 weeks away. Basically follows insolation? Fascinating. Not surprised that December is our coldest month of the year, climatologically speaking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 -1.0 departure at SLE in November. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 maybe an inch so far, next wave arrives in a couple of hours, supposed to be heavier 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Heading to Leavenworth/Wenatchee for the weekend in the Jeep. Going to try Stevens, should be a fun drive! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Moderate Snow, 28 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Just passed Gold Bar. The transition from rain to snow happened in a second. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 Ended November with two consecutive highs in the 30s here. 38/24 on the 29th, and 38/34 on the 30th. Yesterday was a cold and raw end to fall with a slushy rain snow mix at points in the afternoon. Temps peaked around noon and were back down in the mid-30s by afternoon and evening as the precip coverage increased. Lots of very wet snow mixed in at points. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 9 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Ended November with two consecutive highs in the 30s here. 38/24 on the 29th, and 38/34 on the 30th. Yesterday was a cold and raw end to fall with a slushy rain snow mix at points in the afternoon. Temps peaked around noon and were back down in the mid-30s by afternoon and evening as the precip coverage increased. Lots of very wet snow mixed in at points. Not a bad November. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 1, 2023 Report Share Posted December 1, 2023 17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Not a bad November. Yeah it turned out alright in the end. Lots of variety and not bone dry or a total end to end torch, which earns high it marks these days. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 2, 2023 Report Share Posted December 2, 2023 Not too shabby! 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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